"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Corker but waveless at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

Hmmm. Interesting. Another beautiful autumn morning with light offshores but only the tiniest line showing. There were a couple of bods hanging around at the point, but nothing remotely surfable appeared while I watched, and the beach appeared to be unoccupied to at least as far north as No Man’s. Tide was still coming in to the high at 1000.

The wind’s supposed to go NW and pick up later. At the same time the metre or so of 9-sec east swell is supposed to come up a touch more and a metre of southerly swell should be making itself felt as well. The latest MHL spectra chart for Sydney isn’t showing much out of the south that I can see, however at Batemans Bay the spectra is showing some 9 sec 1.4 metre SSE stuff, so maybe…

For about a week the models have been showing interesting stuff happening at the end of the week. The Bureau’s models are showing an east coast low off Batemans Bay early Wednesday. It’s expected to zip away from the coast on an easterly track but as it does, we’ll see a generally southerly swell start tracking up the coast toward us. It’ll mean gale force west to southwest wind in the morning for us, but the swell isn’t expected to arrive until Thursday, by which time the Bureau says we’ll have strong southwest wind going southerly around dark.

Not looking quite as exciting for Thursday as I’d thought earlier, but then again, other interpretations of the data are talking substantial energy arriving for us on Thursday morning. So, who do ya believe? The BoM’s swell prediction or various algorithms generating forecasts out of the NOAA data? Being a big optimist, I’m hoping the algorithms have picked it, because if they’re right, south corners could be pumping Thursday morning and through to Friday.

And, you wanna know something else? The aforementioned models are showing portentially crazy good conditions for early next week… woohoo! come on down autumn!

Have yourself a fine old Tuesday one and all.

dy morning
0745 Perfect but for the lack of waves
dee why point wave
Teaser for hopeful paddlers

From the Bureau…

Weather Situation
A low pressure system will move off New South Wales south coast by Tuesday afternoon and deepen bringing strong to gale force west to southwesterly winds along the south and central coasts Tuesday night. Winds a re expected to gradually ease during Thursday as the low moves away from the coast and a strong high pressure system moves south of the Bight extending a ridge to the western Tasman Sea behind the low.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres in the evening.
1st Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending east to northeasterly below 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.
Wednesday 8 April
Gale Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Thursday 9 April
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 35 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.