Still heaps of swell

Posted by: on May 16th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Wind was light SW as the day dawned. Skies were heavily overcast with the odd shower and as of 0630 it was around 12 at RealSurf HQ. The MHL buoy was picking up 3 metres of 11-sec SE swell as of 0300, having peaked yesterday at 4 metres. Tide was high at 0630 and will be back to low at 1230.

Once there was enough light to see, it became apparent that the swell has dropped a fair amount since yesterday. It isn’t small though. From south Narrabeen to Northy looked to be in the head high range on sets (no one was in the water and it didn’t look very peaky). Collaroy was probably in the waist range and around at Dee Why, sets were shoulder-ish plus at the point and head-ish plus along the beach, but both were pretty fat with the high tide.

From the shape of the forecasts, the swell looks set to fade away over the next couple of days and be down to flatness by mid-week. Wind is set to be an issue soon and it’ll be a factor again tomorrow, although it should be okay for the early.

Have a great Saturday and keep on smilin’!

Northy unappetizing at 0645

Northy unappetizing at 0645

The Gardens not so hot

The Gardens not so hot

Marquesas peak looking do-able

Marquesas peak looking do-able

Set wave at the point 0650

Set wave at the point 0650

Up the beach

Up the beach

Beachy peaks sorta fat looking at 0650

Beachy peaks sorta fat looking at 0650






Weather Situation
A strong high is centred west of Bass Strait, while a deep low lies near New Zealand. A vigorous southerly flow is being generated between these systems, bringing strong winds and large seas to much of the New South Wales coast today. Conditions will ease during the weekend as the high drifts slowly eastwards, with winds developing more of an onshore direction. By Monday the high is expected to be over the Tasman Sea and winds should shift more northerly ahead of the next frontal system, which is forecast to affect the coast mid-week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 17 May
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then tending southeasterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Monday 18 May
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

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