Headed for a very hot day across Sydney and as so often seems to happen, the waves have pretty much gone away. Swell had dropped to about a metre of 12-sec SSE by 0400 and looking at it in the last hour, I’d say it’s weakened further. I couldn’t see anyone in the water at the bits of Dee Why beach I can see from the crow’s nest and the point was flat. There might possibly be a knee high little runner now and then, but the waits will be long.
Tide’s high at 1040 and low again at 1715.
The good news is that today looks like being the low point surfwise this week. A southerly is set to fill in late morning and as it does there should be an increase in the wave energy.
The models are pointing to a combo of variable wind and a longish period ENE pulse for tomorrow morning. Swell energy is forecast to dip back a bit on Thursday and then come back up into the 3+ metre range on Friday when, unfortunately, the S-SSW wind will be ripping along pretty strongly – and it’ll have been raining since Thursday.
The Bureau’s models seem to be showing the wind staying strong, but going more to the SW on Saturday. If that happens, conditions might start coming together for us…
Have a good Tuesday – and vale David Bowie.
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge the northwest directing northerly winds along New South Wales north coast while a low pressure trough is moving along the south coast bringing south to southeasterly change. The trough will weaken on the central coast later Tuesday and winds will turn northerly. A cold front is expected to bring vigorous southerly change during Thursday and Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly in the late morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Southerly below 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower inshore this afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon.
Wednesday 13 January
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres.
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere.
Thursday 14 January
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of rain.