Clean and solid conditions at SE magnet spots as of 0700 this morning. Set wave faces were head and a bit at the exposed spots. There’s some long period component in the mix (oomph as the Goat would say), so this is not a morning for beginners to just jump in the water wherever. Spend some time watching before you paddle out!
Just before daybreak the MHL buoy was detecting 1.5 metres of mainly SE swell with an average period of about 11 seconds. That’s down a bit from yesterday’s peak intensities, but it’s not flat. Wind was light offshore for the dawn patrol and tide was coming into the high at 1100. Water’s still a toasty 25 out at the buoy.
Wind’s due to gradually go southerly at 10-15 kts and then to swing to the NE while backing off in the afternoon. The models suggest it’ll stay about the same size all day and then dip slightly tomorrow. Longer term outlook is pointing toward wave size sticking around at about the current levels, give or take a bit, until mid-week when indications are that we’ll see a south pulse of some sort. Right now it looks like being pretty short-period though.
Have yourself a great Saturday and keep on smilin’!
A weakening high pressure system lies over far northeastern New South Wales, directing east to northeasterly winds over most coastal waters. A trough and southerly change which moved along the southern and central coasts overnight, are expected to stall in the north today. A new high moving in behind this trough should see a return to generally light onshore winds on Sunday and Monday, although there is some uncertainty in the position of a trough expected to linger off the coast early in the week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly about 10 knots in the afternoon.
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Southerly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Sunday 27 March
East to northeasterly about 10 knots tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Easterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 28 March
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the day.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Easterly around 1 metre.
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.