Archive for April 2016

Wee tiny surf options at east spots

Posted on April 30th, 2016 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At 0500 the MHL buoy was showing 1.4 metres of 7-sec ENE wind bump. As expected, daybreak saw overcast skies and light WNW wind. Tide will be low at 0825 and back to high at 1445. The weather radar is showing a fair amount of light precipitation out to the west of Sydney.

Conditions at the best spots (Northy and Long Reef beachy) saw sets into the thigh to waist range – but no where looked particularly juicy. You’ll want to be very keen and equipped with lots of flotation to do anything with this morning’s paltry options. Still, it was super clean and glassy for the first shift, so there is that…

Outlook for the week ahead isn’t too red hot according to the models. If they have it right, today and tomorrow morning could be the peak days until late next week. They’re all saying pretty much the same thing too, so not all that encouraging unfortunately. If you want real energy, you’ll need to head south to Victoria. Looks like they’ll cop some 3-5 metre stuff with pretty reasonable wind on Monday morning… the lucky pups.

south narra shories

Thumping shories at south Narra on sets

wave dy

Unthumping set action at No Man’s 0700

dy beach wave

Bomb peak at kiddies

Hanging around, waiting... and waiting...

Hanging around, waiting… and waiting…

Ripper set at Longy 0700

Ripper set at Longy 0700

whiterock wave

No dice at whiterock

dontals wave

Fishermen probably not noticing the brief bomb at Dontals

Tiny Northy and the crew 0700

Tiny Northy and the crew 0700

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge across northeast New South Wales and directing northeast to northwesterly winds over the coastal waters. The ridge is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days as the high moves further east. A fast-moving cold front will bring a south to southwesterly change to the south coast from Sunday afternoon, extending to northern parts during Monday. Behind the front, a ridge will strengthen over New South Wales later on Monday, with winds swinging back to northeasterly.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Sunday 1 May
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 2 May
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Knee high at Dee Why

Posted on April 29th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

About a metre of 7.5 sec east swell as this morning got started. Wind was light from the WNW under partly cloudy skies. There were a few people in the water at the point and along the beach, but wave faces were struggling to make the knee high mark. If you can’t get in the water, at least you aren’t missing much at Dee Why. To the extent it matters, tide was low at 0730 and will be high again at 1330.
Outlook from the Goat is not super encouraging I have to say. Oh well, what can ya do? Huey’ll be back in his own time I guess.
Have yourself a fine Friday everyone!

dy point surfer

Typical set wave at 0700

dy point surfer

Another little set wave trickles in

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge across New South Wales and directing northeast to northwesterly winds across New South Wales Waters. This ridge is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days as the high moves further east. A cold front is forecast to move up the coast during Sunday and Monday, shifting winds southerly.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 30 April
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.
Sunday 1 May
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning west to northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on April 28th, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 April 2016:Eight day outlook for Sydney:

The ocean is going to chillax for a little while…so why not do the same ?

What..?? You go surfing to do that ??… OK you might be able to get a smaller fun one from time to time at the right place, right tide, right board… At least the winds are expected to be mostly light.  Just don’t expect too much.  If you have low expectations you won’t be disappointed… 🙂

Friday: about 1 1+ metres from East North East

Saturday: around 1 metre North East

Sunday: ditto Nor Nor East

Monday: ditto to that

Tuesday: ditto again

Wednesday-Friday: 1 metre or less

Water temp is around 22.

Get wet… Chill out… Relax… Have fun.

image

Wind:

https://www.windyty.com/-33.894/151.164?-33.894,150.587,9

Tide:

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Friday 29 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

UV Alert from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Around Sydney

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Partly cloudy.Sydney1626
Partly cloudy.Penrith1429
Partly cloudy.Liverpool1328
Early fog.Terrey Hills1525
Early fog.Richmond1229
Early fog.Parramatta1327
Early fog.Campbelltown1228
Partly cloudy.Bondi1825

Saturday 30 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Rain at times.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of rain. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the morning.

Sunday 1 May

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Monday 2 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 3 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning west to southwesterly during the day.

Wednesday 4 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 5 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Sunny day. Slight (30%) chance of a shower later in the day. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h later.


Knee to waist high at Dee Why this morning

Posted on April 28th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Getting into the marginal range this morning at the point. Swell’s coming from the east at around a metre with an average period of under 8 seconds. That means knee to waist on the catchable ones at the point, and something similar along the beach.
Winds were light and from the N to W early. Tide was low at 0630 and is now coming into the high at 1230. By the time we’re dealing with high tide fatness, the wind’s expected to be out of the north at 10-15 kts.
The Goat should be along with his forecast later today and I’ll be interested to see his take on the prospects. The models are generally pointing toward small to marginal across the next week, but some hold out hope for Saturday morning and again on Monday.
Get out for a splash if you can, but take your little wave board and however it plays out, have a top old day!

sydney fog

Foggy city morning

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

hawkesbury fog

Foggy on the Hawkesbury at 0700

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge across New South Wales. The ridge will gradually weaken as the high moves further east. Winds will remain northeast to northwesterly for the rest of the week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Friday 29 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 30 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.


Little waves this morning at Dee Why

Posted on April 27th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light offshores under sunny skies as the day kicked off at Dee Why. Wind is due to pick up from the NE later and be around 15-20 kts this afternoon. At 0600 swell at sea was coming from the east. It was about 1.3 metres out there and 8-9 seconds apart. That makes it a touch smaller than yesterday, but as the pictures show, it was possible to pick up a waist high set at the point. Tide was low at 0540 and will hit high at 1140. It should stay sunny and get to 25 (about 2C above historical average by the way).
Outlook is for waves to stay around the same size through to the end of the week and the long range forecasts are currently pointing toward the front half of next week being more marginal.
Have yourself a great Wednesday everyone and stay happy!

sup at dee why

Up the beach, looking for a wave

dy point surfers

Crew on it this morning

dy point wave

Bomb set at 0710

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge to the northwest and directing southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will turn east to northeasterly during Tuesday, then will remain north to northeasterly for the rest of the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northerly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 28 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 29 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny day.


Tuesday piccies: Mona Vale, Little Narra, Northy

Posted on April 26th, 2016 in At large.

Testing a Fuji XPro2 and a 100-400mm lens, so took it along this morning on errand and again this afternoon. Herewith a few shots from around about.

cooks tce

Cooks Tce around 0850

the basin mona vale

Motoring inside the Basin at Mona Vale (taken from Warriewood lookout!)

mona vale

Mona Vale about 0850

warriewood waves

No takers at Warriewood at 0850

Little Narra 0900

Little Narra 0900

north narrabeen

Northy at 0910

Gardens wave

Smokin’ (totally unmakeable) cylinder Gardens 0915

white-faced heron

White-faced heron at Longy

north narrabeen surfer

Northy at 1430

north narrabeen surfer

Northy at 1430

north narrabeen surfer

Northy at 1430


Waist high at Dee Why

Posted on April 26th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Still a few small waves about this morning at the point and along the beach. It was ranging from knee to waist and a bit at 0730. Wind was lightly offshore but is expected to wander around to the SE before settling to the NE at 10-15 kts this afternoon. Tide will be high at 1050. Swell was coming from the east at 8 seconds apart and with average heights of about 1.5 metres.
Gotta run, so no time to look at the prospects for the week ahead… maybe later if possible. Go well with your day!

dy point surfing

Typical set wave at the point

the point at dee why

Another set wave at the point at 0730

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east maintaining a ridge to the northwest and directing southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will turn east to northeasterly during Tuesday and Wednesday as the high moves further east.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 27 April
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 28 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Waves and crowds for Anzac Day morning

Posted on April 25th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunny skies and light offshores matched to about 1.5 metres of 9-second east swell and combined with an incoming tide (high’s at 1010) were delivering shoulder to head plus wave faces on sets at the point. As you can see from the pics, it was well populated by 0720. Size along the beach is looking more or less the same, but from what I could see, the dire bank situation is unchanged – hence all the bods at the point.
Wind is expected to come around to the E-SE but not get much above 10 kts. Surface conditions were textured early and as the wind comes around, it’ll likely get a bit choppier too.
Swell should stick around all day and then fade a little tomorrow but at this stage it looks like morning waves of some sort or other all next week. The general trend looks downward however, so we could be looking at knee to waist by Friday.
Go well with your Anzac Day one and all.

dy point

Set time at the point around 0720

dy point

Pocketed bodyboarder

dy beach

Wobbly but sizable up the beach

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast, promoting generally southeasterly winds. As the high centre moves slowly east over the next few days northeasterly winds will extend from southern parts of the coast progressively further north.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 26 April
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre later in the evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 27 April
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Big and messy morning at the point

Posted on April 24th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As expected, this morning sees 15-20 kts of SE wind smashing up 2.3 metres of 8-second SE swell. There were a few bods thrashing around in the chaos off the point at Dee Why and a few inside amongst the shorey craziness. Wave faces on the biggest ones were overhead. Tide’s heading to the high at 0930 as I write this and it looked as though skies were clearing in line with the forecast.
Wind is set to stay around the same strength and direction all day and I’d guess the swell will only weaken a bit. As long as you don’t mind very messy onshore conditions, there should be a wave of sorts at many places. But as the pics show, you’ll want to be keen. Beachwatch has question marks over water quality at Collaroy and from Curly south. Bronte to Coogee’s the same and ditto for north Cronulla to Sandshoes.
Tomorrow looks like more SE wind, but down a bit, so maybe there’s a slight hope for slightly cleaner in the early morning, but the swell will have dialled back a touch. Tuesday seems more hopeful again, with the models and the Bureau agreeing that wind will be lightly onshore early, going NE later and swell should still be in the fun range (chest with plusses) thanks to a mix of east and south energy.
Have yourself a great Sunday one and all!

Smashed up beachy at 0740

Smashed up beachy at 0740

dy point

Dee Why point looking pretty wild and woolly

dy point surfer

Bomb set at Dee Why point around 0840

Weather Situation
A strong high over south-eastern Australia is moving slowly east, with a low near Lord Howe Island also moving east. This pattern is generating south to south-easterly winds along the NSW coast, with an area of strong winds over the northern half. Winds will decrease during Monday, and tend northeasterly over the southern parts of the coast, as the high gradually moves into the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers this morning.
Monday 25 April
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 26 April
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then becoming north to northeasterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters


Wind ramping up and the swell with it

Posted on April 23rd, 2016 in At large.

Hello Friends,

A seasonally cool day coming up – at last – with up to 20mm of rain and 20-30 kts of southerly to go with it. As the Goat foretold, the wind has pushed up the swell pretty dramatically overnight and as of 0500 the MHL buoy was showing 3.5 metres of 8-second straight south wind swell. Our first tide of the day is a high at 0855, so there’s that too.

Conditions were comparatively smooth still at 0700 at Dee Why point and just inside along the beach. But the further you went up the beach, the more the wind was ripping it up. Set wave faces were in the chest plus range at the point. Although the period’s pretty short, there was some small activity getting around the corner into Whiterock, but I’m not sure it’s really surfable. Faces looked to be around the chest mark. Relatively clean surface conditions up to about the Marquesas for the early, and the swell was getting into it as well. Unfortunately there are no banks to speak of and waves are basically unloading within about 20 metres of shore. Northy was not looking inviting at all it has to be said. Not really surprising…

Outlook for the holiday weekend’s not too flash. The southerly is expected to go hard today and only throttle back a touch tomorrow. Worse, the dominant direction is set to be more SE by then. Weather should be nicer though. Monday we can expect more SE wind but the Bureau is predicting that it’ll be easing during the day. Swell heights will follow the wind velocities down, but according to the models there should be a chance of shoulder plus on sets pretty much all week. The issue will be the wind and it looks like the best laid plans will involve being up and at ’em early.

north narrabeen

No no Northy

south narrabeen surfer

Sole surfer at south Narra

dy point surfer

Relatively clean at the point as of 0700

dy beach

Dee Why not totally blown out at 0700

20160423_07-03_DON_6479

Weather Situation
A persistent southerly airstream is expected along the New South Wales coast today in the wake of a cold front which moved through far north coast overnight. A secondary southerly surge will bring strong winds to the southern and central coast, reaching gale force over the far north coast this afternoon. Winds will gradually turn southeast to northeasterly during Sunday and Monday as a high pressure system moves over the southern Tasman Sea .
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore early this morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions during the day are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 24 April
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending southerly around 1 metre later in the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 40% chance of showers in the morning.
Monday 25 April
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly below 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


 

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