Gloomy, cool and fading swell

Posted by: on May 26th, 2016

Hello Friends.

Wintery feel to Thursday morning and yesterday’s big and raw swell has subsided into the chest to head high range on the sets at Dee Why. There was a healthy crew in the water from early as folks tried to grab a little of the energy before it fades out. Wind is NNW at 8-10 kts as I write this and the Bureau says it’ll get up to 15-20 kts soon. At 0600 the MHL buoy was showing 2 metres of 11 second SSE swell offshore. Tide was coming in by then and will hit high at 1120.

It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat has to say this evening, but from the look of the models, tomorrow morning could be a low point in the energy settings, but by the afternoon the Bureau says we could again be seeing up to 3 metres of south swell and strong west to SW wind. Saturday is currently forecast to be strongly offshore with 2-3 metres of south swell. Next week looks like being well supplied with south energy but the models are showing southerly wind right across the week, so maybe not too many surf options. By the way, one of the very long range models is currently predicting extremely large south swell and blasting onshores toward the end of the first week of June. Highly speculative at the moment – obviously!

Have yourself a great Thursday and get up to some good where you can!

dy point surfer

Set wave at the point 0720

dy point surfers

The crowd and a set at 0725


Weather Situation
A front near Tasmania and western Victoria is moving east, and is expected to move over the western Tasman Sea during Thursday afternoon. Northwesterly winds will strengthen over New South Wales waters ahead of the front, and shift southwesterly over southern waters on later today and over the remainder of the coast during Friday in the wake of the front. Winds will turn northwesterly on Saturday before shifting southwesterly as the next front moves through.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning westerly in the late evening.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Cloudy. 80% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this evening.
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 27 May
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning, then increasing to 3 to 4 metres later in the evening.
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Saturday 28 May
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

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