Archive for June 2016

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 30th, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

 

 

Updated surf forecast..issued Monday 4 July 2016…

  • Just to show everyone that Mother Nature won’t be told what to do…she currently looks like developing an East Coast Low in the next few days…Depending on how she decides to proceed with the ECL the surf outlook for those days may be quite different to last Thursday’s forecast… Current indications…subject to how the ECL moves over the land and ocean, are:

Tuesday: about 1 metre or so give or take

Wednesday: coming in from the South East 1-2 2-3 metres

Thursday: 4 – 6 metres or more South East

Friday: 3 – 4 or more metres South East

Saturday: 3- 4 metres South East

Will see how she goes..?

ECLs are difficult to predict..

 

Surf forecast issued Thursday 30 June 2016: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How cold has it been, first thing in the morning !!?  Some mornings, the Bureau’s apparent temp for Sydney Airport (which is exposed on the coast) has been zero or less, even if the temperature might have said 7 or 8!  (http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/observations/sydney.shtml?ref=hdr)….Too cool for this little duck.

With more Westerly type winds expected there’ll probably be a few cool mornings in the coming week (maybe not as bad as last, and despite me telling a mate in Mudgee to stop sending cold air down here), but the low air temps don’t make getting wet particularly attractive for most people, even if the water is just under 20.

Surf: Varying from almost nothing, to moderate, to small, to almost nothing, to small…

But there will be waves in offshore conditions on several days for the hardy ones

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday: 1 metre or less at first, starting to come up later (into the night) at places open to dead South swell

Saturday: 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South swell, without much oomph…smaller elsewhere

Sunday: 1 metre or less

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..probably nothing elsewhere

Wednesday: around 1 metre dead South

Thursday: 1-1+ metres North East

Friday: about 1 metre or so North East.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

I’ve seen a few whales this week heading up the coast to warmer climes………… latest sightings here:

http://www.wildaboutwhales.com.au/whale-watching

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

In the Air:

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 30 06:00:00 2016 AUTC

Wind:

https://www.windyty.com/?-33.881,151.180,6

In the Ocean:

Water temp is

 

image

Tide:

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Cloud decreasing. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Friday 1 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 20 to 35 km/h turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

No UV Alert, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 2 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 10 to 25 km/h.

Sunday 3 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds.

Monday 4 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds.

Tuesday 5 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 6 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Thursday 7 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.


Strong wind, not much swell for Sydney

Posted on June 30th, 2016 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Not looking like much of a surf day coming up for Sydney. The Bureau’s hoisted a strong wind warning for north going NW’ly 20-25 kts this morning. As of 0200 the swell was SE at 1.3 metres but with a period of just 8 sec. So maybe, if you take something really big and floaty and find yourself a north corner, there just might be a knee to waist high set every now and then – if you’re lucky.
Outlook is not too amazing unfortunately. It appears that Sydney’s in for 4-5 days of marginal to flat conditions thanks to a regime of short-period wind bump rather than proper swell. If the models are to be believed, the rest days could last until mid next week…

Your first postcard from California comes from the Surfline cam at California Street in Ventura this morning. As you can see, the conditions aren’t too stunning. There’s a weak SW wind swell coming in at exposed spots today, but the models are showing a 20-sec period pulse from the southern hemisphere arriving in the next day or so. There’s a possibility of waist to shoulder at exposed spots from about Ventura south, so your correspondent is hoping to get something worthy of a report. Have yourself a top old day!

california street

California Street this morning. Not too flash


.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia is extending a ridge across the southern Tasman Sea. Winds will turn northwesterly and increase during Thursday ahead of a cold front and southwesterly wind change extending across the coast on Friday. A ridge in the wake of the change will dominate the weather over the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Clear.
Thursday 30 June
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the morning. Reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 1 July
Winds
West to northwesterly 25 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday, then tending south to southwesterly 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Saturday 2 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Grey and dull but there are waves still

Posted on June 27th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Uniformly grey skies, light offshores and comparatively mild temps as the day kicked off. Tide was low at 0725 and is coming back to the high at 1345. Swell has decayed overnight but the MHL buoy was still showing
1.5 metres of 10 second SE swell at daybreak.

Outlook is for the swell to drop a little toward the afternoon, but to come back up tomorrow (although the wind could be an issue if it goes too south). Basically it looks like waves for the rest of the week, then maybe getting a little smaller on the weekend but coming back up early next week.

(Your correspondent will be watch from afar by then as he is off to the northern hemisphere for most of July. So expect lots of postcards from southern California, plus my usual over the horizon thoughts on your surf outlook)

Waves at the point looked to be mostly in the waist to chest range, but with the occasional shoulder plus set. Up the beach it looked a touch bigger. Conditions were clean although the wind definitely has some bite!

Go well one and all and keep on smilin’!

dy surfing

No Man’s peak looking fun at 0720

dy surfing

Small crew chasing the lines at the point

dy surfing

Set arrives for the early risers


.
.
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Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure lies over NSW. Winds will turn west to northwesterly today ahead of the next trough, which is forecast to move up the southern coast during day. Winds throughout will generally shift south to southwesterly and strengthen later today or during Tuesday in the wake of the trough.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon. Reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later tonight.
Tuesday 28 June
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers offshore, 40% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 29 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming variable below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.


Waves for Sunday morning

Posted on June 26th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunny skies and better than that, a couple metres of 10-sec SSE swell lighting up Dee Why with chest to shoulder high sets at the point and along the beach. Tide’s heading into the high at 1245. Wind was out of the west at 10-15kts and it’s expected to move more SW later, but not pick up any more. So there should be waves all day and with any luck it’ll only drop back a bit through to mid week.

Have yourself a top old Sunday everyone!

dy surfing

Set arrives at the point 0845

dy surfing

Nice section at the point

dy beach

Left goes uncaught up the beach at 0845

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure lies over NSW. Winds will turn west to northwesterly on Monday ahead of the next trough, which is forecast to move up the southern coast during day. Winds throughout will generally shift south to southwesterly and strengthen late Monday or during Tuesday in the wake of the trough.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore until mid morning. Turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Monday 27 June
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Tuesday 28 June
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Pics from south Narrabeen this am

Posted on June 25th, 2016 in At large.

Stopped by south Narrabeen for a look around 1000 this morning. Lots of fine looking lines stacking in, but the high tide and banks weren’t playing well together. Sets were solidly overhead, but it was hard to get very far down the line, plus they were weirdly fat some of the time. Quite a few people having a go as well.

sth narrabeen surfing

Can I make the next section?

sth narrabeen surfing

Throwing some spray

sth narrabeen surfing

Rare open one on the inside near high tide

sth narrabeen surfing

Flyer


Cold Saturday morning

Posted on June 25th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

According to the thermometer in my car, it was about 5 degrees at daybreak this morning. Throw in 10-15kts of westerly wind and it was exceedingly brisk. Even so, there were a few people already in the water at Dee Why and at South Narra. Swell’s definitely filling in too. The MHL buoy was showing 2.7 metres of 10 second SE swell as of 0500. Sets at Dee Why beach were shoulder to head, but only waist-ish at the point. I reckon Longy would be a touch bigger than the beach on the outside bombies. Around at south Narrabeen it looked to be chest to head on the sets, particularly where the swell was focussing near Marquesas.

Outlook is for the swell to peak today and fade through to Monday but it should be surfable across the period at spots that love straight south. Later in the week it could be back up again too!
Tide was low at 0545 and will be high at 1150.

CELEBRATE INTERNATIONAL SURFING DAY IN A 70’S MOOD WITH SURFRIDER and TAMAM SHUD

Surfrider Foundation is a not for profit organisation dedicated to the protection and enjoyments of Australia’s oceans, waves and beaches for all people, through C.A.R.E: Conservation, Activism, Research and Education.
http://www.surfrider.org.au/
Join us and celebrate “the influencers/es on Surfing in the 70’s” with 70’s psychedelic super-band TAMAM SHUD and surfing yarns with Greg (Riles) Riley & legends Simon & Mark Anderson, Shane Stedman and others
The night will be filled with awards, auction items, the launch of the ULTIMATE QUIVER raffle, environmental stalls and all around good vibes….
**Ticket price includes canapes & Barefoot wine**
GET YOUR TIX HERE
$37.50 singles, on the door, $30/ea couples
WHEN
Saturday, 25 June 2016 from 6:00 PM to 10:00 PM (AEST) – Add to Calendar
WHERE
Manly Bowling – Raglan St , Manly, NSW 2095 – View Map

sth narra

South Narra line at 0645

Set wave at Dee Why beach 0650

Set wave at Dee Why beach 0650

dy beach

Lines stack into Dee Why beach

dy point

Swell mostly missing the point where it’s only smallish

long reef

Lots of lines at empty Longy at 0655

long reef

Set goes over off Long Reef at 0655

Weather Situation
A vigorous south to southwest flow is expected to gradually ease today as a ridge of high pressure moves over NSW from the west.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres for a time during the morning and early afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 26 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming northwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Monday 27 June
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of rain.


Looking flat on Friday morning

Posted on June 24th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Clear skies and chilly NW wind as Friday kicked off. There’s a gale warning for the Sydney coast, so the wind’s going to pick up into the 25-30 kt range as the day goes along. As the pictures show, there’s really no swell to speak of at Dee Why.
At 0500 the MHL buoy was picking up less than a metre of 10-sec ESE bump. The strong wind isn’t going to help at all so I don’t think there’ll be too many waves being caught today. Tomorrow looks a lot more interesting as indeed does the coming week. The Goat’s forecast landed last night. It makes for interesting reading – and not just for the forecast!
A head’s up that I’ll be scampering off to California on Tuesday, so expect a regular stream of postcards along with my usual over the horizon summaries of the Sydney surf prospects.
Have yourself a top old Friday!

dy point

Nothing much going on at the point at 0700

dee why

Good morning Dee Why

Weather Situation
Westerly winds will strengthen along the New South Wales coast ahead of a vigorous southwesterly change associated with a cold front expected to cross the far south coast this morning and extend to the far north coast in the evening. Winds will reach gale force strength at times today then ease gradually during Saturday as a high pressure system moves over southeastern Australia and extends a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 25 to 30 knots turning west to southwesterly during the day. Reaching up to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore during this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 25 June
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Sunday 26 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to northwesterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 23rd, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 June 2016: Eight day outlook for Sydney :

The Daily ran a good story by John Morcombe this week about ‘The Storm of  the Century’… Not that little blow the other day…but the Sygna storm of May 1974.  Other significant recorded storms are mentioned, but I don’t remember them first hand !…

http://newslocal.newspaperdirect.com/epaper/iphone/homepage.aspx#_articlebd23dea4-41a6-40df-8c0f-c168906535a9

I remember May ’74 vividly because my neighbor’s roof took off and landed on mine at the height of the storm somewhere after midnight. . Virtually all Sydney beaches and many others along the coast experienced major erosion from the off-the-Richter surf and 165km wind.

I also couldn’t believe that a mate, ‘Friendly’, was out in the Water Police boat rescuing people from a yacht in trouble.  The full story of that bravery is here…

http://www.pittwateronlinenews.com/a-cruel-sea-by-gordon-wellings-qc–bc.php

Now what got me onto that…Oh yeah the surf outlook for the coming week. Some larger waves expected at times with offshore wind should make it fun for some.  Different situation to 1974 – not the same wind outlook… but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a bit of scouring/gouging of sand off some beaches….maybe not on the one day, but after a week of sustained sizable waves as looks likely ??? especially if coinciding with high tide ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday: at first around 1 metre or less left over from today at places open to the South…then starting to come up later

Saturday : 2-3, 3-4 metres at places open to dead South swell and then into southern corners, with some oomph at times

Sunday: 3-4, 2-3 metres, and ditto

Monday: 1-2 metres, ditto

Tuesday: 2-3 metres  South East and East

Wednesday: 2-3 metres maybe more, South East

Thursday: upper end of 1-2 metre range East South East

Friday: down in the 1-2 metre range.

Water temp is starting to cool…around 18.

image

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 20 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Friday 24 June

Summary
Min 12
Max 17
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the west, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds north to northwesterly 30 to 45 km/h turning westerly 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

No UV Alert, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 25 June
Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sunday 26 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Becoming cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Light winds.

Monday 27 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 15
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then increasing to 25 to 35 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 28 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 29 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 30 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

In the air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 23 12:00:00 2016 AUTC

Wind :

https://www.windyty.com/?-33.861,151.206,2

Tides :

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

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Hmm, nice lines there Huey

Posted on June 23rd, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A chilly 9 at RealSurf HQ at 0700. Wind was coming from the NW at about 10 kts. As of 0300 the MHL buoy was showing 1.7 metres of SSW at 10-12 seconds. However the forecast tells us to expect it to fade through the day. At first light there were a few hardy specimens at the point chasing knee to waist high little lines on the incoming tide (high’s at 1015). Up the beach toward No Mans there were some nice looking lines coming in, but I couldn’t see any takers. My guess is that they were in the waist to chest plus range.
According to most of the models, today and tomorrow should be close to flat, so this activity is a welcome development for those with the time to get in the water this morning.
The Goat will be along with his forecast later today and as always I’ll be keen to see his take on the outlook. From my reading of the runes, it still looks good for some solid swell from around Saturday afternoon through to Monday…
Have a great Thursday and get up to some good where you can!

dy point

Little one gets caught at the point around 0710

dy beach

Empty lines stacking in at No Mans 0710


.
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Weather Situation
A weak ridge of high pressure over the northern waters will move east as winds shift northwesterly and strengthen ahead of a cold front which is likely to cross southern parts of the coast on Friday as a southwesterly change. Gale force winds are expected over much of the coast during Friday and Saturday, both ahead and in the wake of the front.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southwesterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 24 June
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots, increasing to 25 to 35 knots in the morning, then tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h during the day. Winds tend southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening, then tending southwesterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Saturday 25 June
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Little lines hint at something surfable

Posted on June 22nd, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW wind and swell coming from the SSW as Wednesday got underway along the beaches. In the middle of the night the MHL buoy was showing close to 2 metres at 11 seconds, but the swell angle and the wind are combining to keep the energy away from us. That said, there was a person hanging out at the point a little after 0700 when I grabbed the pics and they did catch a little waist high bump that ran a respectable distance. Up the beach you could see the lines in the ocean, but I’d be surprised if it was any bigger than the point on the sets. Tide’s heading into the high at 0930.
The Bureau’s call is for the wind to be strong again today but it’ll be coming from the west to NW, so there is that.
The models are still showing not much of interest until Saturday. If anything, they project a further weakening of energy levels between now and then.
Saturday currently looks interesting on many of the models. Swell’s expected to be coming from the south at 3 metres at around 10-12 seconds along with WSW wind in the 20-30kt range. Should be sunny as well. It looks like Sunday will be smaller but still above the 2 metre mark, plus the wind should be lighter and still offshore. With luck it’ll stay that way into Monday…
Have yourself a top old Wednesday one and all and keep on smilin’!

Tiny lines but maybe...

Tiny lines but maybe…

After a wait, a little runner appeared at 0710

After a wait, a little runner appeared at 0710


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Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the southwest Tasman Sea is forecast to move southeast. This low is generating fresh to strong westerly winds over New South Wales waters. Winds are expected to ease today as the low moves further away from New South Wales. Winds will shift northwesterly and strengthen on Thursday ahead of a cold front which is likely to cross southern waters on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Thursday 23 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly during the morning. Reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Friday 24 June
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning west to southwesterly 30 to 35 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.


 

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