Archive for August 2016

Marginal but a little something

Posted on August 31st, 2016 in Dee Why.
Up the beach at Dee Why not much

Up the beach at Dee Why not much

A few bods messing about inside but nothing at the point

A few bods messing about inside but nothing at the point

Hello Friends,

Definitely a bit of surf activity this morning. While the point isn’t doing anything there are knee to waist high things as you go up the beach. The WRL cam at Flight Deck was showing a distinctly east component in the mix. According to the MHL data here’s 1.6m of t-sec east dominating the picture.
Wind was light from the north early and it’s expected to pick up into the 15-25 kt range later. Tide was high at 0730 and will be back to 1320.
From the models it looks like the activity level will fade by tomorrow morning and that we’ll then be looking at a couple of days of really marginal stuff. Beyond that some predictions are hopeful about Sunday, while others are metaphorically shaking their heads and saying “naw, don’t get your hopes up”. I’m in the hopeful camp but of course we shall see in due course…
Have a great Wednesday and stay happy!

sth narrabeen wrl cam

South Narrabeen from WRL cam.

bondi surf

North Bondi showing a little line


Dee Why micro this morning and unlikely to improve

Posted on August 30th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy beach

Monster set at Kiddies

dy beach

A little line but is it surfable

dy point

Still micro at the point

nth bondi rsl cam

The view from North Bondi RSL – no waves either

wrl south narrabeen

WRL cam showing micro conditions t south Narrabeen

Hello Friends,

Swell’s about where it was yesterday morning, ie about a metre at 8-9 sec apart from the SE. Wind was out of the west at 0700 but the Bureau says it’ll go NE then north 20-30 kts. At the same time the swell’s predicted to bump up a little offshore. That’s probably not going to translate into much of an improvement surfwise. Tide was high at 0645 and’s now headed to the low at 1230.
There were a few hopefuls scattered along the beach at 0700. They were looking lucky to latch onto a knee high dribbler. The point was again too small to be surfed. And as the grabs from the Bondi and south Narrabeen show, it’s pretty ordinary away from Dee Why as well.
The models are still predicting a brief long period pulse from the south tomorrow during the early afternoon. However, as the forecast indicates, there’ll be 20-30 kts of NW wind with it – so options will be limited to a few corners.
I’m liking the look of Sunday’s prospects however. If the models have it right, there could be head plus waves at south spots. While the wind call is looking ok for Sunday (light west), it’s supposed to be more southerly across the following dayseven as the swell continues.
Have a great Tuesday one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea with a ridge to the north is directing northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. Northerly winds will increase during Tuesday ahead of a cold front bringing a brief westerly change to the southern half of the coast on Wednesday night. Winds will then turn back to the north to northeast on Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, turning northerly 20 to 25 knots in the morning and reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 31 August
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending north to northwesterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 1 September
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots shifting northeasterly during the day then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 60% chance of rain.


Small lines, small waves

Posted on August 29th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy beach

Maybe a little something at 0640

Hint of a line at the point 0640

Hint of a line at the point 0640

bondi beach

North Bondi this morning

Hello Friends,
At 0500 the Sydney MHL buoy was showing 1.5m of 9-sec SSE swell. A little before 0700 Dee Why point was picking up what looked to be the odd knee to waist set – although nobody was in thew water at the time. Up the beach there were similar size options. I grabbed a still from North Bondi RSL’s cam and it looks about the same over there too. Tide was high at 0600 and is now dropping to the low at 1140. Wind should be light and variable this morning and then 10-15 kts NE this afternoon.
This morning’s swell models are pointing toward another week of marginal to flat conditions. The best hope looks like being midweek when we might get a little uptick into the knee to waist range thanks to a very brief (only a few hours) long period pulse. But after that we’re back to marginal until maybe late in the weekend when a potentially fun looking south to SSE pulse could light the joint up…
Have yourself a great Monday one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea with a ridge to the north is directing northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. Northerly winds will increase during Tuesday ahead of a cold front bringing a brief westerly change to the southern half of the coast on Wednesday night.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 30 August
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening. Turning northerly 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 31 August
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Back to tiny for Sunday at Dee Why

Posted on August 28th, 2016 in Dee Why.
Quiet at the point as loan paddler conducts an inspection

Quiet at the point as loan paddler conducts an inspection

dy beach

Kayaker eyes a prospect at 0730

No surf at south narrabeen WRL cam

No surf at south narrabeen

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful day coming up for Sydney. Unfortunately for DY surfers there was nothing going on at the point and only the odd knee high ripple along the beach when I checked it out at 0720. I reckon the best of the magnets will be in the knee to waist range with the odd plus. The MHL buoy was showing a metre of 9-sec SE wind swell. Tide’s dropping to low at 1040 and will be back to high at 1715. Should get to 20 later and water’ll be around 18.
Tomorrow and Tuesday look like being smaller again, but there’s still some hope for a brief long period pulse late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Wind’s expected to be north at around 10 kts, so north corner, south swell magnets are the best bet. Unfortunately the models are generally aligned on this one in that they project the long period stuff to fade rapidly Weds morning.
Have a great Sunday everyone!
ps: I’m doing a radio chat with Simon Marnie a litte after 1000 on ABC 702’s weekend show…


Brisk, breezy, sunny and small but not flat

Posted on August 27th, 2016 in Dee Why.
showry cloud

Showers out at sea 0645

dy beach surfers

A few wave hunters on the prowl by 0645

dy point and paddler

No serious activity at the point

Hello Friends,

Sparkling morning with an icy SW turning making a wine dark sea. One of those mornings where every detail seems to pop. Not a lot of surf activity at the Dee Why end of the beach, but there appeared to be possibilities as you went north toward the pole.

As of 0710, wind was west 10-15kts at North Head. The 0500 data from the MHL buoy showed 1.6 metres of 9-sec SSE swell. Tide’s dropping to the low at 0935 High will be at 1615. It should stay sunny and get to 19. Water should be ok most places and running about 18.

Waves this morning should be in the waist range with the odd plus on the bombs.

MHL’s nearshore forecast projects a gradual declinein swell height across the day and through tomorrow.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough lies across the central New South Wales coast while a high pressure system dominates remainder of the state. This will promote southeast to southwesterly winds across New South Wales waters at first. The coastal trough will weaken later Saturday as the high pressure system moves over New South Wales, turning winds northeast to northwesterly for central and southern waters.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this morning.
Sunday 28 August
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 29 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Friday evening cloud show

Posted on August 26th, 2016 in Dee Why.

20160826_17-28_DSC_2199_1

Just a spectacular cloud…


Little waves this morning

Posted on August 26th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy point wave

Set wave at 0710

dy beach surfers

Surfers hunting for waist plus sets at 0700

Hello Friends,

Light west south west wind under sunny skies at 0700. Tide was dropping to the low at 0830 and there were knee to waist plus waves at the point and along the beach. According to the MHL data as of 0600 swell 2.3 metres and was coming from the SSE at 8 seconds apart.
Wind should stay out of the SW until late this afternoon when it’s due to go SE.
Beachwatch was warning of likely pollution at most Sydney beaches in yesterday’s report but happily this morning sees the majority being unlikely to be polluted.
And the surf outlook for the week ahead? Well, I yield the floor to the Goat
Have a great Friday everyone!

South Narrabeen WRL

WRL cam showing pretty tiny conditions at south Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the Tasman Sea will continue to move east away from the New South Wales coast today as a high pressure system over the Bight moves east and extends a ridge across the state. This will promote southeast to southwesterly winds across New South Wales waters for today, before the strengthening high pressure ridge over the state tends winds northeast to northwesterly for central and southern waters from Saturday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Saturday 27 August
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Sunday 28 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 25th, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 August 2016: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Surf came up today in the 1-2 metre range.  The wind was cold and it was cloudy/sunny so naturally there were a couple of superkeen ones out.

Should stay up tomorrow and Saturday, then down Sunday Monday. Up a bit Tuesday then going down..

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell; smaller elsewhere.

Saturday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range, dead South spots

Sunday: around 1 metre at dead South places

Monday: 1 metre or less dead South

Tuesday: up a little into the 1-2 metre range dead South

Wednesday: about 1 metre or so North East

Thursday, Friday: about 1 metre South East.

Down in the ocean

Water temp is about 18 … a cool patch is close to the coast..

image

Tides:

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

Up in the sky

Wind …and cams:

https://www.windyty.com/-33.680/151.319?-33.652,151.192,10

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 25 00:00:00 2016 AUTC

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower.
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later this evening. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Friday 26 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium (40%) chance elsewhere. Winds south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 27 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Possible early shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 28 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 29 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Patchy morning fog in the west. Mostly sunny day. Light winds.

Tuesday 30 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Wednesday 31 August

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers later in the day. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 1 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds.


Dee Why up closer

Posted on August 25th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy point surf

Head high set faces at the point 1000

dy beach surf

Silver surf – DY beach at at 1000

storm drain cromer

Just a reminder: one of the inputs to Dee Why lagoon – and then to the beach.

Went for a walk to Dee Why and grabbed some snaps along the way. The point and the beach were chest to head and glassy. Waves were a bit wobbly, but they looked fun – particularly to guy with a busted wing. On the other hand, the water looked truly foul with stormdrain pollution.

I’d wait until there’s been at least a couple days of sunshine to breakdown some of the bad stuff…

Your choice of course!


Waves under cold grey skies

Posted on August 25th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy point surfer

Actual waves at the point 0730

dy beach

Peak hunter searching for a wave at No Mans

Hello Friends,

For the last week the models have been predicting an uptick in swell for today. It’s come up and as of 0600the MHL buoy was showing two metres of 7-sec south swell. The point was picking it up and producing occasional sets into the chest plus range It looked to be similar size up the beach. Wind was west 10-15 kts at North Head as of 0740.
The Bureau says the wind’ll go more SW and the swell should come up during the day.
Tide was high at 0725 and is now dropping back to low at 1355. We’ve got a 90% chance of showers and Beachwatch is warning that pollution is likely at most Sydney beaches.
Have yourself a great Thursday everyone!

wrl cam south narrabeen

Swell’s showing south Narra at 0630 WRL cam

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the central NSW coast will move rapidly east away from the coast during today, promoting south to southwesterly winds. A high pressure system will move over the Bight and then slowly move east over southeastern Australia during Friday and Saturday, extending a ridge across the Waters.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning. Turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 26 August
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Saturday 27 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


 

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