The Goat’s New Year Surf Forecast… and TG’s New Year Message

Posted by: on December 29th, 2016

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 December 2016: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The surf should be going down from today’s conditions, but there should still be enough movement in the ocean over the next several days, to get cool and to have fun in the water, along with everyone else!

Friday: down in the 1-2 metre range North East… that means bigger at southern ends of beaches than at northern ends

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday New Year’s Day: about 1 metre or so East North East

Monday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell.. and bypassing most other places

Tuesday: down a little in ditto

Wednesday: ditto and ditto

Thursday: about 1 metre dead South

And in a two for the price of one deal for you… here’s free of charge, gratis, and gratuitous:

TG’s New Year Message

Well, 2016 went by as fast as this year’s winning yachts in the Sydney-Hobart … and that was quick!

Lots of fun things happened and some less than fun things happened at the personal, local, and world levels over the past twelve months for us all I’m sure, or at least I hope the net result was mostly positive for everyone’s memory banks.  If not, then c’est la vie for 2016, and let’s hope for a better 2017!

What’s in store for 2017??  Who knows for sure.  But some things are for certain for the coming year…

The world will keep turning, the sun will come up each day (even if obscured by clouds from time to time), the winds will keep blowing, and waves will keep on rolling onto beaches around the world.  Let’s hope we can all catch plenty of them.

 

Stay well, stay safe in and out of the surf and have fun!

Happy New Year.

TG.

The Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 29 00:00:00 2016 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.903,151.152,6

The Sea

Water temp is around 21 offshore, but as was anticipated in last week’s post the nearshore temp has dropped to freezing according to a sample of users.  The reason for the difference as explained on the MHL website is

“Local currents and other oceanographic phenomena, such as upwelling of cooler water from deeper offshore, can influence the sea temperature at the shoreline.”

Or, blame the the howling Noreasters. And add to that, the contrast with the warmish air temp. .

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Sydney Forecast

View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:24 pm EDT on Thursday 29 December 2016.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Friday 30 December

Summary
Min 24
Max 35
Hot. Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Hot. Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Saturday 31 December

Summary
Min 24
Max 28
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the early afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Sunday 1 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 28
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Monday 2 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.

Tuesday 3 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 4 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 5 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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