Archive for December 2016

Not nice at all but if you’re extra keen

Posted on December 16th, 2016 in At large.
south steyne surfer

Long wait for this little bump to roll in through the mist at south steyne

dy beach

Up toward the pole a small crew winkling out the odd knee plus wave in the rain

Hello Friends,
Socked in at the RealSurf crows nest again this morning, but had to run to Manly so grabbed a couple pics in the rain. Water quality looks pretty bad and beachwatch is basically saying everything south of Avalon to Greenhills in the Shire is either dodgy or outright polluted. Manly lugga was pouring out a toxic looking stew when I went by and Narrabeen lagoon is wide open at the moment, so there’s lots of run-off and stormwater along the beaches.
Manly had some very soft, inconsistent little knee to knee and a bit wave faces for those extra keen types who surf on days like this. No one was in the water that I could see at Curly and at Dee Why the crew were well up the beach toward the Pole where it was maybe possibly waist-ish on the bombs. Again, soft, fat and inconsistent were the watchwords.
Gotta do a radio thing shortly so keeping it short.
Have a great day and maybe give the polluted spots a miss!


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 15th, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 December 2016: Five day outlook for Sydney:

No, it’s not ‘you’….It was hot, now it’s cold…and looks like you’ll be feeling more hotncold in the coming week.

Can’t get too excited about the surf outlook…which isn’t just because I can’t go in at the moment… But hey, Christmas is coming and isn’t that enough for us all to get excited about !??

Surf’s up a little today, but not a lot, after the Southerly change… mainly windblown short period stuff.  Even after the wind drops off and turns a little it’ll still be shortish period, so gentle waves in the main.

Friday: round the middle of the 1-2 metre range East South East

Saturday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range East North East

Sunday: up somewhat at places that like fairly dead South swell say 2- 2+ metres

Monday: down quickly to around the middle of the 1-2 metre range South East

Tuesday: round the middle of 1-2 metre range East South East.

Air The Air

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 15 00:00:00 2016 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.842,151.205,6

Sea The Sea

Water temp is around 21.

image

 

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Rain at times.
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of Rain at times. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Friday 16 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 22
Rain.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of rain. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly early in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 17 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 32
Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 18 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 30 to 45 km/h tending southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Monday 19 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 20 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 31
Late shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 21 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly during the day.

Thursday 22 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.


South Steine for the keen

Posted on December 15th, 2016 in Surf Reports.

Light but steady rain and moderate sideshore wind wasn’t deterring a few
hardy types at South Steyne. Not terrific but hey there were some bumps to
be caught.{CAPTION}


Rainy, small and junky

Posted on December 15th, 2016 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
What a difference a day makes. The heat is gone and it’s raining steadily along the coast this morning.
Wind at North Head was SSE at 10-12 kts as of 0700. The 0400 MHL data was showing 2.5 metres of 8-second S wind bump. Visibility was too low for pictures as I wrote the report, so I’ll have to post something later when I can get closer to the beach. But I’m not expecting to see anything too interesting given the basic settings. Here’s how North Bondi RSL cam looked at 0740

north bondi rsl

North Bondi RSL cam doesn’t make it look too inviting


The forecast tells us we can expect more rain and more SE wind today and tomorrow and the surf outlook isn’t much to get excited about. I suppose if you’re really keen you could find something in the waist to chest range – so long as you don’t mind junky and chaotic conditions.
The Goat will be along later with his weekend and beyond forecast and as always I’ll be interested to see his take on the prospects. From my reading of the runes, we’re in for more so-so than so-good across the coming week. Ah well, on we go, another day closer to the next great session.
Stay happy!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to the Queensland coast and directing north to northeasterly winds in the north while a low pressure trough stalled north of Hunter has established a south to southeast flow over the south. During Friday another high pressure ridge will extend across the Coastal Waters with winds tending north to northeasterly.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Friday 16 December
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting northerly during the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Saturday 17 December
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Heating up and only tiny at Dee Why

Posted on December 14th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy point

High tide at the point and no waves

dy beach surfer

Up the beach a SUP rider picks up a little bump at 0600

Hello Friends,
Heading to a high of 38 today says the Bureau. At 0630 the RealSurf weather station was showing 29 degrees and wind at North Head was WNW at 9-12 kts, so yeah, it’s going to be warm. As the pictures show, there wasn’t much of anything going on at Dee Why surfwise. There were a few folks out on their SUPs looking for little bumps to glide along.
The WRL cam shot from 0530 showed lots of little lines so other more NE-friendly spots ought to be a better prospect than Dee Why.
The MHL buoy was showing a metre 6-second NE wind chop at 0400 which is right in line with the Bureau’s predictions. There doesn’t seem to be any reason to think things will improve on the surf front today. We should see a south change late this afternoon and tomorrow looks likely to be rainy, much cooler and dominated by SE’ly wind. The Bureau says the swell will come up from the south, but the models are predicting only very short period wind bump, so I’m not too hopeful.
There could be a more interesting uptick in south swell energy late Saturday into Sunday morning. Unfortunately it seems likely that the peak swell energy will be accompanied by stiff south wind. Here’s hoping the period will be long enough to let some swell refract into semi-protected corners.
As always, we shall see. So have yourself a top old day and stay happy!

WRL cam

WRL cam at 0530 showing small NE wind lines

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to the northern coast of New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds. On Wednesday, a low pressure trough is expected to bring a south to southeasterly change along the southern half of the coast before stalling and weakening on the north coast during Thursday. A high pressure ridge will extend across the Coastal Waters once again on Friday with winds tending north to northeasterly.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, tending westerly and reaching up to 25 knots in the morning. Winds shift south to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
North to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. 40% chance of showers late this afternoon and evening.
Thursday 15 December
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Friday 16 December
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Busy at Northy

Posted on December 13th, 2016 in Surf Reports.

30 peeps jostling for the occasional waist plus bomb at Northy around 1000.
tide making it a struggle but at least not as soft as curly.{CAPTION}
{CAPTION}
{CAPTION}


Curly knee high

Posted on December 13th, 2016 in Surf Reports.

Another soft and gutless knee high morning at Curly. You know that it’s
pretty ordinary when there are only half a dozen people in the water on a
hot and sunny day.{CAPTION}


Wind swell offering slight possibilities early

Posted on December 13th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy point

Wind swell showing at the point but no takers

dy beach

Little wave just north of Kiddies at 0550

Hello Friends,

At sunrise there were knee to waist high soft little wind swell waves coming into the Dee Why end of the beach. They looked to be around knee high to maybe waist. Tide’s high at 0815 so it was fat and getting fatter when I grabbed the pics. The 0400 MHL data was showing 1.7 metres of 7-second NE bump which is up a bit from yesterday at this time.
Wind was coming lightly from the north as the sun peeped over the horizon It’s due to pick up into the 15-25 kt range as the day heats up to 35.
Looking ahead it seems we can expect the current surf settings to continue through to late afternoon tomorrow when a southerly change is expected to break what promises to be a very hot day.
Outlook remains for a typical summery pattern of short period wind swell in the metre to 1.5 metre range and afternoon onshores. Thursday and Friday currently look like being onshore all day, but modelling for the weekend is predicting light wind conditions for the dawn patrol.
Have a great Tuesday everyone and stay cool!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to the northern coast of New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds. On Wednesday, a low pressure trough is expected to bring a south to southeasterly change along the southern half of the coast before stalling and weakening on the north coast during Thursday. A high pressure ridge will extend across the Coastal Waters once again on Friday with winds tending north to northeasterly.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 14 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
North to northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny day. 30% chance of a shower in the evening.
Thursday 15 December
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters


Curly fluffy but chest high

Posted on December 12th, 2016 in Surf Reports.

Surprisingly fun size at Curly but the longer you watched the more obvious
it was that they were really gutless and hard to catch. And when you did
jag one it was a real challenge to get very far. Still it didn’t look like
a bad day to be in the water even if it was fat and full and sideshore.{CAPTION}
{CAPTION}
{CAPTION}


Choppy, high tide little bumps

Posted on December 12th, 2016 in Dee Why.
dy beach

No Mans appeared to be unoccupied at 0645

Nothing doing at the point maybe inside…

Hello Friends,

8-10 kts of NE wind chopping it up as of 0700 this morning. And it’s going to pick up to be 20-25 kts this afternoon. Meanwhile the MHL data from 0400 showed 1.5 metres of 11-sec period swell coming from the SSE; however, looking at it, I reckon the south is rapidly being replaced by tiny NE wind bump. First tide of the day is a 1.85 metre high at 0720. It’ll be back to low at 1350.
There were a few bods in the water along the beach at the Dee Why end, but I didn’t see them catch anything. It looked to be around the knee to waist range. The point didn’t look surfable at all.
The coming week isn’t looking too exciting. The next four days could be dominated by small, short period wind bump and beyond that the models are not cheerful. There is one model calling for a midday pulse on Thursday – but it’s Robinson Crusoe.
Have yourself a great Monday everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to the northwest and directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. On Wednesday, a low pressure trough is expected to bring a south to southeasterly change along the southern half of the coast before weakening on the north coast during Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 13 December
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 14 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then shifting southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of rain.


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin