Hello Friends,
A light north breeze, clear skies and some knee and a bit high bumps coming into the south end of Dee Why at 0630. According to the latest data from the MHL buoy, there’s about a metre of 7-sec SE wind bump out at sea. Tide’s coming into the 1.7m high at noon, but even at 0630 it looked pretty fat and full for the small number of folks bobbing hopefully about at Kiddies. I reckon they’re looking at knee to maybe waist on the biggest ones.
From the shape of this morning’s modelling, surf conditions don’t look like changing too dramatically across the coming week. The more optimistic predictions have the short period wind bump building a little by Friday ahead of a change to southerlies. Saturday and Sunday could see head plus with sideshores at optimal locations. But right now it doesn’t look like the wind’ll back off enough for anything like clean conditions.
If those same models are right about your correspondent’s prospects, there should be clean, long period waist to chest plus lines winding along the points of southern California next weekend. Expect postcards!
Have a great Monday one and all.
Weather Situation
Southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast will turn north to northeasterly during Monday as a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea strengthens a ridge along the coast. The next south to southeasterly change is expected to develop on Wednesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 17 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Wednesday 18 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
