Archive for January 2017
After visiting a friend in hospital I stopped by Rincon on the way home. Wished I had a mal and a couple hours because there were knee to waist high peelers and astoundingly, only a dozen or so people in the water. Maybe next week…
Hope you’re having fun in Sydney!
Surf forecast issued Thursday 26 January 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Happy Australia Day…hope you all enjoy it wisely.
Variable winds so not much chance for waves to build up over the coming weekend and week. But there are some warm days forecast by the Bureau, so the mostly small waves will at the right times and right places provide an excuse to get wet and get some paddling exercise at the same time.
Friday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South swell at first then more coming in from East South East
Saturday: ditto size… from South East
Sunday: ditto…from North East
Tuesday: ditto..North East
Wednesday: and ditto..East North East
Water temp is around 21 at present…
Happy Australia Day! Not a good day for the surf..middle 1-2 metre range
at places open to the South (like Freshie) but with fresh SE wind..and much
smaller at places not much open to the South (like North Steyne to Manly)
..and with fresh SE wind…
About waist high at Queenscliff at 6.30am Wednesday, with a dozen punters on
it. Wind was light onshore under grey skies. There was a larger contingent
at North Steyne, despite size dropping as you moved further south.
As the screengrab from North Bondi RSL’s cam shows, there’s no energy coming from the south this morning. The MHL Sydney buoy was showing 1.4 metres of 7-sec NE wind bump a couple of hours ago and from the look of the cams I’d say you can expect ankle to knee with the possible waist high bomb at spots well tuned to the lightweight swell conditions.
We had a 1.56m high at 0645, so the run out won’t be adding any energy to the already paltry offerings.
Could be a small bump from the south tomorrow, but the wind’ll be on top of it and the models are mostly saying waist high at best for magnets. Midweek currently is shaping to be dire. There’s a slight hope for a tiny improvement across the weekend, but right now there doesn’t seem to be anything of real interest beyond that.
Meanwhile in SoCal
After dropping yesterday, supposedly there’s another brief pulse headed toward us for later today. Wind is still a factor at exposed spots, but we’re starting to get a few sunny breaks. The ocean looks like chocolate milk from all the run-off out of the hills and the swell is still raw and chaotic looking most places. Not many people in the water. Not sure if I’ll have a postcard for you later today… but check back around mid-arvo to see…
Have a great day!
A high over the Tasman Sea is directing northeast to northwesterly winds over New South Wales waters ahead of a trough that will bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, before stalling around the north coast on Wednesday. Another high is expected to move over the Tasman Sea by Friday, turning winds east to northeasterly for the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Northeast to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times ahead of a gusty southerly change 25 to 30 knots during the late afternoon. Winds easing to 20 to 25 knots by the late evening.
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Becoming cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and early evening.
Wednesday 25 January
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Southerly below 0.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the early morning.
Thursday 26 January
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers
After joining the Womens’ March (against Trumpism) in Santa Barbara I had just enough time to go for a look at surf prospects up the coast. First stop was El Capitan, a quality right that only breaks occasionally (winter only). As the pics below reveal, it was pretty busy in the 13 degree water under cloudy and cold (12) skies. The top of the point was pretty sketchy as the swell combo was alternately standing waves up or making them suddenly burger out. Would’ve been cold, hard work to surf, but every now and then you’d see someone pick up a screamer. The nearby surf options were not in the same league, which is why everyone was at El Cap.
Today’s been raining steadily, so haven’t been out for a look. Swell’s faded, but we’re supposed to get another brief big pulse tomorrow, so hope to get a snap or two to share.
Sorry, no thoughts about Sydney conditions today, but from what I’ve seen of the indicators, you’re probably looking at Ne spots only and then maybe chest on the biggest ones…
Have a good one!
Wind is onshore and fresh East or East North East depending on where you
are..so conditions are tres ordinary .. If you need to get wet watch out
for blueys..those little delights are around at some places.