The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on February 16th, 2017

20 Years of TG’s Surf Forecasts !!

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Yep, TG has officially done 20 years of surf forecasts, and is now into his 21st year (I wonder if he’ll ever grow up??)…

The first forecast went up on 30 January 1997 and there has been a forecast on realsurf.com for the week ahead almost every week since then 🙂

TG’s Surf Forecasts were the first publicly available surf forecasts on the internet in Australia!  We know that was the case – because there wasn’t anyone else!

And they are still provided free, and gratis, and without charge to the viewing public. Talk about value for money.

To all those who’ve said nice things about them and how helpful they’ve been over the years (amazingly a lot of people) Thank you…It’s appreciated and a pleasure.  But don’t let that stop you… Keep on sending ’em :)… TG thrives on praise.

To those (remarkably few) others who’ve felt inclined to nitpick when the forecast for a particular day was out by say a metre.. or three (quite rare, amazingly)… You can go umm… make your own arrangements 🙂  The forecasts come to you with the proviso:  You can’t tell Mother Nature what to do.

http://www.realsurf.com/the-goat-faq/

Now for the week ahead…

Not much in store, unless you ride a longboard or SUP… and at the right tides, you might get a fun little wave.  If you don’t, and you don’t like onshores when the surf is slightly bigger, then Suck it up! (that’s harsh love I know) and Relax.

Friday: around 1 metre or so North East, maybe a little more

Saturday: about 1 metre North East

Sunday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range from South South East, and windy.  Not much is likely to get into protected corners

Monday: going down already to about 1 metre at dead South places, and windy

Tuesday: hmm, ditto

Wednesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Thursday: about 1 metre East South East

Have fun! Keep smiling!

In the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 16 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.879,151.219,5

In the Sea

image

Water temp is around 23.

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 31
Possible afternoon shower.
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Possible afternoon shower.Sydney–31
Possible shower.Penrith–37
Possible shower.Liverpool–35
Possible afternoon shower.Terrey Hills–30
Possible shower.Richmond–37
Possible afternoon shower.Parramatta–34
Possible shower.Campbelltown–36
Possible afternoon shower.Bondi–29

 

Friday 17 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Afternoon shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Hot. Sunny morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 18 February

Summary
Min 24
Max 27
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 35 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 19 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Showers. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 20 February

Summary
Min 18
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Tuesday 21 February

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 22 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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