The 0300 MHL data showed about 1.5 metres of 7-8 sec south wind swell and at 0620 the southerly was already getting close to the 15-20 kt mark. Showers were showing on the radar and it looks like there are broader and more intense areas of precipitation out at sea, heading toward Sydney. I reckon it’ll be a top morning to stay under the doona a bit longer than usual because conditions will likely be pretty sad wherever you look in Sydney.
Outlook for the next three days is distinctly ordinary too. Lots of southerlies and SE’rs and what looks like a week of generally showery weather and consistently marginal surf conditions.
A high is south of the Bight and a cold front is crossing the southern Tasman Sea. The high is expected to move east across Tasmania today in the wake of the front and is expected to become established over the southern Tasman Sea on Sunday where it will remain for the coming week. A trough of low pressure should develop off the New South Wales coast on Sunday and is expected to persist through much of the week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 26 February
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening. Winds turning easterly in the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 27 February
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning easterly during the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.