Minimal wave prospects for Tuesday

Posted by: on February 28th, 2017

Hello Friends,

Outlook for waves this morning is a sparse one. The MHL buoy hasn’t reported in since yesterday evening, so the only live data I could see at 0530 was the North Head wind reading of easterly at 10-15 kts.
The Bureau says you should be seeing 1.5 metres of east which I’d guess will probably have a period in the 7-8 second range – ie knee to waist at magnets.
From the radar, it looked as though Sydney’s beaches might see showers from about daybreak. The Bureau’s long range forecast says on again off again showers and rain for the next 7 days(!)
The models are generally in agreement that the next three days are likely to be more of the same in terms of wave energy – ie, marginal, onshore and not too exciting. There does seem to be a prospect for a bump toward the weekend and then early next week some of the long range projections are suggesting Sydney might see a sort of quasi autumnal combo of SSW wind and south swell into the interesting size range.

Southern California is more or less flat, particularly up in Santa Barbara county. There’s slightly more energy way up north from here at Steamer Lane in Santa Cruz, but even there it’s quiet for late winter. The models say it’ll bumble along at this level for pretty much the rest of the week, but maybe early to mid-next week we’ll get another pulse. Here’s hoping!

Steamer Lane, sunny and small this morning

California Street, Ventura, overcast and not big enough to tempt even a SUP’r

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea and a trough off the NSW coast are expected to persist for much of the week.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 1 March
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 2 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

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