Rainy Wednesday

Posted by: on March 1st, 2017

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says there’s a certainty of rain for Sydney today. Swell is 1.8m and coming from the SE at about 8 seconds apart. Wind was a steady 10 kts from the east at 0500 and it’s not expected to pick up much across the day. So, sloppy wind swell and onshore wind with rainfall in the 20-50mm range – not great. Oh and the tide’s coming into a 1.7m high at 1110. My guess is the water quality will be off too.
Sydney’s forecast continues to be rain, rain and more rain for the next week, which means we can’t expect the surf zone water to get any cleaner.
On the positive side, the models are pointing toward a sustained swell event starting in about a week. The problem is that it also looks as though the wind will be moderate to strongly south across the first few days of the pulse. Of course this is all a long way out, so who knows if it will unfold as the models project.

Across the other side of the lake in California it’s still pretty quiet. Southern California is near flat and Central California is maybe waist to chest and kind of weak and bumpy. What’s worse, the models are currently showing no real change for the next 10 days.
This morning’s framegrab comes from the surfline.com Pismo Beach cam where it looks to be around waist to maybe chest high and kind of weak and junky. Oh, and the water’s around 11-12C.

Pismo beach pier northside showing knee to waist

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea and a trough off the NSW coast are expected to persist for the remainder of the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls.
Thursday 2 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre offshore.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 3 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

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