Archive for March 2017

Sunny skies and little waves

Posted on March 26th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

First clear morning in at least a week sees waist to chest high conditions from Dee Why to No Mans and Longy no doubt too. Wind was very light at 0800 when I checked. A couple of hours ago the MHL buoy was picking up 1.4 metres of 10-sec SE swell. The 1.7m high tide arrived at 0750.

The light winds should prevail through the morning but by midday it should settle into the E-NE.

Obviously it’ll be very busy in the water today, so patience and good humor will be my plan.

Outlook for the rest of the week is about what it was yesterday, ie dropping to near flat by Tuesday then turning strongly southerly and picking up again on Friday. Thereafter it currently looks like being basically S-SE into next week.

Have yourself a top old Sunday one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system southeast of Tasmania with a ridge to the north is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front will bring a brief southerly change along the southern half of the coast during Monday night/Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 27 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.
Tuesday 28 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

Waves for Sunday morning at Dee Why

The occasional wave at the point for the crowd of hopefuls

No Man’s producing the odd set

Kiddies wave at 0800


Clean, full and busy on Saturday morning

Posted on March 25th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

High clouds, light winds and an 0705 high tide were combining with a 2 metre, 10-sec SE swell to deliver waist to chest high sets at most spots. Magnets looked to be getting the occasional shoulder-ish bomb every now and again.
Waves looked pretty fat and full when I checked around 0745. But there were heaps of folks in the water, so I’m guessing said waves looked a little more interesting up close.
Outlook is for this little bump in the swell to fade out as we head into the new week. Right now the models are coming up rather bleak for our prospects. There might possibly be something in the way of a south pulse late in the week, but if you want real waves, you should head down to Vicco as it looks like they’ll be copping a serious dose of swell energy from an intense system currently winding up in the southern ocean.
Unfortunately it doesn’t currently look as though we’ll see any of it up our way. Ditto for the cyclone way up north.
Have a great Saturday one and all!

High tide lines at No Mans

Kinda fat but rideable on sets at the point

Set provokes surfing at DY 0745

Weather Situation
A high pressure system southeast of Tasmania with a ridge to the north is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change along the southern half of the coast during Monday night?Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers during this afternoon and evening.
Sunday 26 March
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 27 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Clean with waves early

Posted on March 24th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Mostly grey skies with the odd sprinkle at 0700 for Dee Why. Swell perked overnight and there were sets into the chest plus range. The MHL buoy was showing 2.5 metres of 10 sec SSE swell and wind was light from the westerly quarters. We had a 1.6 metre high tide at 0615 and it’s now heading to the low just before 1300. Showers should decrease this morning and by the afternoon we could have sunny breaks. Wind should come around to the south soon.

Gotta run, so have yourself a great Friday one and all!

Set at the point about 0715

DY beach producing the odd set too

Fun size for the early risers

Weather Situation
A low pressure system in the central Tasman Sea extends a trough to Queensland coast, while a high pressure system lies to the south of Tasmania. Southerly winds to the south of the trough will gradually turn southeast to northeasterly over the coming days as the low and high move further east and the high extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon. Winds decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon.
Saturday 25 March
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming north to northwesterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 26 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then decreasing to about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 23rd, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 March 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

According to the radio yesterday, Sydney had 19 days in March (out of 22) that were wet… so make that 20/ 23 today.  Despite that, and a few severe Thunderstorms, the Beachwatch website suggests that most Sydney beaches are unlikely to be polluted today:

http://www.environment.nsw.gov.au/beachapp/oceanbulletin.aspx?NoMobile

Great news!… Personally I’ll wait for a bit more sunshine to get onto the water. My own simple rule: If it looks dirty, it is dirty.

Surf:

Friday: about 2 metres, 2+ metres on the sets South East

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, with occasional sets

Sunday: going down in the 1-2 metre range South East

Monday: about 1 metre or so East South East

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Thursday: 1 metre or less East North East

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 23 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.552,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc,d:me

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers.
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 24 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Rain clearing.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the early morning and clearing by the late afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Saturday 25 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 26 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 27 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 28 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 29 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 30 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.


Where’s that south swell?

Posted on March 23rd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The MHL buoy was picking up 2 metres of south swell at 0600. But there was nothing of real interest along the beaches because the average period was around the 7 second mark. Not that it matters much but wind was around 10-15 kts from the SSW. Tide was high at 0520 and is now dropping to the low at noon.
My morning run-around took in Dee Why and the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretches and the word is that you’re not missing a thing. The swell energy level is very low so when there is a wave, it’s gutless dribble. Size ranged from knee to waist and a bit at the better peaks. Wind was light inshore at 0800 when I grabbed the pics.
The Goat should be along with a forecast later, so I’ll be interested to see what he thinks of the prospects. If I don’t miss my guess, it could be fun here and there by the weekend…
Have a great Thursday one and all!

South Narra lumps

Keen person jags a little runner up at Northy

Bobbling along in the white water at Kiddies, 0800

Sort of a wave at No Mans about 0800

Unappetizing scene at Dee Why 0800

Weather Situation
A deepening trough of low pressure lies over western New South Wales and extends to the southwestern Tasman Sea where it links to a low pressure system. This is expected to bring a southerly change to the northern coast today as the low moves towards New Zealand and a high pressure system moves across Tasmania and over the southern Tasman Sea. This high will extend a ridge along the New South Wales coast over the weekend, steadily turning winds southeast to northeasterly.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Friday 24 March
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots before dawn.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Saturday 25 March
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of rain.


Surf report

Posted on March 22nd, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Hasnt really done anything all day. And that water quality is not
attractive. And there’s another severe Tstorm on its way..

www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN65152.shtml


Just about flat, but not quite there

Posted on March 22nd, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Wave energy has cogged down another notch and the surf options have decreased from yesterday’s paltry options. The MHL buoy was showing 1.2 metres of 6-second east wind bump at 0500. At 0700 wind was light from the NW. The next tide is a low at 1110.

Looking around at Dee Why and the Collaroy Narrabeen stretch revealed glassy but very small and weak conditions everywhere. Take your floatiest surf option and a heap of patience I’d say. Biggest wave face I saw was (briefly) chest high. But mostly it was more like ankle to knee – and not consistent.

Outlook is for a southerly to kick in overnight and tomorrow morning it’s supposed to be 15-25 kts as the swell starts to come up. At least a couple of the fine-grained wind forecasts are showing the possibility of early morning offshores… so might be worth setting the alarm on the offchance…

Have a great day everyone!

The view from Collaroy Plateau this morning at 0800

Soft bumps at Northy

Momentary wave face near Gardens

Extracting a little energy at Kiddies this morning

Waiting for another knee high set at Kiddies

Heaps of seaweed at Dee Why this morning

Catching a little bump at Long Reef

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge to the northwest directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change along the south coast later today, extending to Sydney Waters Thursday morning before weakening on the north coast in the evening.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 23 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Friday 24 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Surf report

Posted on March 21st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Severe Tstorm warning

www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN65156.shtml

www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN65152.shtml


If you don’t mind a grovel there are options

Posted on March 21st, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another grey old morning in Sydney with dribbly bumps for the keen. Wind was light from the north a little before 0800 when I grabbed the pics. It should pick up from the NE later and the wind sell should stay east at about a metre at 8-9 seconds. Next tide is a low at 1000.

The current conditions, more or less, look likely to persist until Thursday when the Bureau tells us we can expect to see a south change which ought to bump up the wave heights a bit. Unfortunately the models show the wind staying onshore from the SSE through Friday, before swinging around to the ENE for the weekend. The long range models are showing a similar pattern of marginal mostly onshore conditions well into next week.

Have yourself a top old Tuesday one and all!

Moment of vertical face at Dee Why beach about 0800

Slow left at DY beach

Long Reef producing the odd tiny ripple for the keen

No dice for the point

Collaroy-Narrabeen very small

The odd knee plus at the north end of the beach

No takers at south Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge to the northwest directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change along the south coast later on Wednesday, extending to Sydney Waters Thursday morning before weakening on the north coast in the evening.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers inshore, 50% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 22 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 23 March
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Surf report

Posted on March 21st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Still cloudy , calm to light NNE wind, waves are small, water is too dirty
brownish murky unhealthy for me.

And there’s rain all over the place

www.bom.gov.au/products/national_radar_sat.loop.shtml


 

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