Archive for March 2017

Surf report

Posted on March 20th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Swell has dropped..NE wind picking up..
More rain lokely..water ordinary. .lone boogie rider out


You could surf this morning – if you’re keen

Posted on March 20th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

This morning sees marginal but not flat conditions at protected stretches. There’s about a metre of 8-sec east wind swell out at sea and the wind is lightly NE under mainly cloudy skies. The Collaroy to Narrabeen stretch looked pretty junky but it was showing chest plus wave faces on sets. When I checked it a little before 0800 I could see only one person in the water along the southern stretch and catching waves looked like hard work. Around the corner at Long Reef there were lots more folks in the water. They were riding mostly longer boards to cope with the gutlessness.Tide hits low at 0850 and will be back to high at 1445.
Surf outlook is for wave energy levels to further decrease across the day and to trend steadily toward near flatness across the week ahead. The showery weather is set to continue too.
Hope to be proven wrong of course!
(Your slightly jetlagged correspondent has returned to the RealSurf wheelhouse after two long months away. Huge thanks to the Goat and Michael M. for keeping the local content conning while I was sending postcards.)
Have a good one!

Working with what there is at Longy a little before 0800

Shutty-downy dribble at Longy this morning

Well, at least it’s not blown out.

The only person between Long Reef and Northy for the early

Wind starting to chew up the little wind swell about 0740

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will direct northeasterly winds over New South Wales Waters for the first half of the week. A trough approaching from the west is likely to bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Wednesday and to the north coast during Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers during the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 21 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 22 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Surf report

Posted on March 18th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Very ordinary..

Showers
Wind cuŕrently 30-50kph SE..
BoM has large surf warning today and tomorrow
Swell 3.3 m offshore SE but only 8.5 seconds so not enough period for much
too get into sheltered southern corners..so waves at beach around 2 metres
or so open beaches smaller in sheltered corners but messy.

Don’t bother.

Best bets
Coffee shop..good book..stay indoors don’t add to traffic

Outlook for next few days…
——-
(Surf equals surf at the beach. . swell may be bigger offshore.))

Bom has a large surf warning for today and tomorrow

Surf forecast

I hate to say it, but the current outlook is for similar or a variation on
more of the same… Showers (or two), onshoreish wind (or fresh southerlies
for variety), choppyish short period waves and generally rubbish… with an
occasional patch of blue sky, even sunshine, to make you think it’s fining
up and settling down at last. Might be semi OK Monday, Tuesday.

On the plus side: warm air temps, warm sea temps.

So the Surf:

Saturday: around 2 + metres East South East windblown

Sunday: around 2 + metres East North East and onshore to Nor East

Monday: around 2 + metres North East, with a fresh Noreaster

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range North East, might be OK before a southerly
change chops it up

Wednesday: ditto, with southerly wind

Thursday: starting to come up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places.

If none of the above appeals to you…

Just relax, keep calm and say it again: “Oh well We need the rain”… And
keep saying it to make yourself feel better.

Remember, it will get better.

There will be sunshine and perfect waves… Sometime 🙂

*In the Air*

[image: MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 16 00:00:00 2017 AUTC]

*Wind*

www.windytv.com/?waves,-33.883,151.200,5

*In the Sea*

*Water temp* is about 23

[image: image]

*Tides*

Low 7 am Sat

www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/
tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf


Not a nice morning for Sydney

Posted on March 17th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Pretty much un-delightful in Sydney this morning. 20-30 kts of southerly is smashing up 2 and a bit metres of straight south junk. The weather radar is showing a heap of rain offshore and some showers along the beaches as I write this. And that’s in line with the forecast which puts the chance of more rain at 95%.
I very much doubt that anywhere has a worthy wave. And with around 25mm of the wet stuff in just the last 24 hours, I reckon the water will be vile.
The forecast has the baleful conditions last through the weekend. By the time the wind backs off (around Tuesday) the wave energy seems likely to have faded significantly as well. Sigh.

C-street sliders if you have a SUP or a really long longboard


This is the last full day for me in SoCal then it’s time to wave g’bye to sunny flatness and head to windy, rainy Sydney…

Grim morning surfwise today

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough lies off the central and northern New South Wales coast, with a small low pressure centre within the trough off the central coast. Meanwhile, a high pressure system over Tasmania is slowly moving east over the southern Tasman Sea, while a cold front slips to the south. This front has brought a strong to gale force south to southwesterly change to coastal waters. Winds will ease and tend southeast to northeasterly during the weekend as the low pressure trough off the northern coast deepens.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots, possibly reaching 40 knots at times this morning and early afternoon. Winds turning south to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres in the middle of the day.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers, heavy at times offshore in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions during the afternoon and evening for beaches exposed to the south are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 18 March
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times inshore in the morning.
Sunday 19 March
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 16th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 March 2017:  Seven day outlook for Sydney:

I hate to say it, but the current outlook is for similar or a variation on more of the same… Showers (or two), onshoreish wind (or fresh southerlies for variety), choppyish short period waves and generally rubbish… with an occasional patch of blue sky, even sunshine, to make you think it’s fining up and settling down at last.  Might be semi OK Monday, Tuesday.

There’s a big High out over the Tasman that’s sending us all the above. A Low that might form off the Goldie is uncertain at this stage according to the BoM.

On the plus side: warm air temps, warm sea temps.

So the Surf:

Friday: let’s just say about 2 metres or so windblown from South East after an expected southerly starts puffing away

Saturday: around 2 + metres East South East windblown

Sunday: around 2 + metres East North East and onshore to Nor East

Monday: around 2 + metres North East, with a fresh Noreaster

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range North East, might be OK before a southerly change chops it up

Wednesday: ditto, with southerly wind

Thursday: starting to come up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places.

If none of the above appeals to you…

Just relax, keep calm and say it again: “Oh well We need the rain”… And keep saying it to make yourself feel better.

Remember, it will get better.

There will be sunshine and perfect waves… Sometime 🙂

In the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 16 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windytv.com/?waves,-33.883,151.200,5

In the Sea

Water temp is about 23

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Showers.Sydney26
Showers.Penrith28
Showers.Liverpool26
Showers.Terrey Hills24
Showers.Richmond28
Showers.Parramatta25
Showers.Campbelltown27
Showers.Bondi26

 

Friday 17 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 24
Showers. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 18 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 19 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h turning northeasterly during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 20 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 21 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Morning shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 22 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.


Surf report

Posted on March 16th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

It’s howling onshore ENE, NE..cloudy occasional showers heavy at times.
.choppy messy surf. Not even worth a pic. Don’t add to traffic probs..stay
indoors or in your local coffee shop.


Spots that like NE wind the go

Posted on March 16th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

What’s with the rain Sydney? Is it ever going to stop? Looks like the forecast was right for this morning. Wind’s NE at around 15-20 kts and swell is 2.7 metres from the NE at about 9 seconds apart. Exposed spots like Collaroy are smashed up, but protected corners, like over the bridge at North Bondi, were looking comparatively clean. Ocean temp is around 24 and next tide is a 1.6m high at 1140. Water quality has to be suss with all the rain, but Beachwatch says it’s okay north of Narrabeen.
Your correspondent will be heading home from SoCal this weekend and it doesn’t look as though there’ll be any waves before I go. Still hopelessly tiny in my part of California. And it looks as though when I get back to Sydney the wind will still be mostly heavily onshore until around mid next week. And it’ll probably still be showery…
Have a great Thursday!

wind-ripped Collaroy at 0730

Wave activity, but wind beaten at south Narra -WRL cam

Clean in the north corner at Bondi

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea with a ridge to the northwest is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales south and central coasts while a low pressure trough is deepening off the north with winds tending east to southeasterly there. A southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the Southern Ocean is expected to move up southern and central coasts during Friday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Friday 17 March
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots late morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times offshore in the morning and afternoon.
Saturday 18 March
Winds
Southeasterly 25 to 30 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.


Surf Report

Posted on March 15th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Arvo update

Onshore fully..ENE E wind 30-40 k s

Really only for ths superkeen


Junky east wind swell on onshores this morning

Posted on March 15th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

This morning sees junky onshore conditions thanks to 20-25 kts of E-ENE wind and about 1.5 metres of 7 second east wind bump. For connoisseurs of onshore slop, it looks as though there are a few waist to waist and a bit faces to be found at the most exposed spots. But for anyone with anything else to do, it’s a good day to pass on surfing in Sydney.
Tomorrow might have a few more options as it’s expected that the wind will go around to the NE and that the swell will come up too. I’m not too hopeful about the quality though.

Small and onshore at Bondi too


Your correspondent has been away from the world of computers and internet as he spent a few days out in the deserts of California. There’s been a bit of rain out there and it promises to be a good wildflower season. Meanwhile, back along the coast it’s been foggy and micro. So, sadly, I don’t have any fresh surfin’ postcards to share. Who knows, maybe I’ll have something tomorrow…

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the southern Tasman Sea and a low pressure trough lies over inland New South Wales. These two systems are directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Another trough is expected to develop off the northern coast in the latter half of this week, with winds likely to tend east to southeasterly as a result. A southerly change associated with a Southern Ocean front will move up southern and central coastal waters on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Thursday 16 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 17 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Windblown slop

Posted on March 14th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

North Narrabeen was offering nothing but windblown slop at 7am, under mostly
grey skies.


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin