Archive for May 2017

Very small Dee Why for Sunday

Posted on May 28th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NW wind was blowing across a near flat sea on Sunday morning. Skies were clear and temps mild, but you’re going to have to be a real optimist. An incoming tide is heading to its 1.5m peak at 1020, so there’s another issue. Dee Why’s not happening, but if you have something floaty and a fair amount of patience you might be able to find a soft lump somewhere with better alignment to the metre of 10-sec east wind swell.
This morning’s run of the models see prospects looking more or less as they are now until the middle of the week when some predictions are showing a significant pulse from the south arriving overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Wind is forecast to be out of the SW and pretty strong too. If it happens I guess we can call it the first swell of winter.
Have yourself a great Sunday one and all!

No takers at the point or along the beach at 0850

Messing about in boats at Dee Why

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea will move east ahead of an approaching cold front. Northerly winds tend fresh to strong west to northwesterly this afternoon before a west to southwesterly change associated with the cold front affects southern parts of the coast this evening, and extends to the remainder of the Waters on Monday. A second south to southwesterly change is expected late Tuesday in the far south, extending north during Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots increasing 15 to 25 knots during the morning and early afternoon. Winds shift westerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 40% chance of showers offshore late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Monday 29 May
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 30 May
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning north to northwesterly below 10 knots during the morning then tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.


Surf report

Posted on May 27th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Earlier, at the right tide, it was

Saturday:around 1, 1+ metre South East with an occasional slightly bigger
one from time to time



Curly Saturday 1115

Posted on May 27th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Busy as you’d expect on a Saturday with glassy conditions and sunny skies
and waist high faces. Very soft and pretty inconsistent but if you were in
the spot there were moments of fun on the 1 to 2-turn waves.





Little waves at focal points

Posted on May 27th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Happy to report that there’s a bit more activity this morning than I expected. It’s pretty much focused in the central to north ends of the beaches I looked at. Biggest sets were producing wave faces into the chest high range but mostly it was more in the waist high range on the catchable ones at spots like Northy or the Pole.
Next tide is a 1.6m high at 0925 and it’ll be back to low at 1510.
Wind should be light and variable this morning before settling into the northerly quarters.
The good news is that the current conditions in terms of swell (it was a metre at 10 seconds from the SE with a little NE component bending it in to east exposures at 0500)
Outlook is for these conditions more or less to continue for the coming week. So, nothing spectacular wave-wise that I can see on the models, but it shouldn’t fade out completely – and if the Bureau’s estimates are correct, there’s a possibility of something interesting at the end of the week. Might be an idea to shuffle the calendar for Thrs-Fr…
Have a great Saturday!

First rays of sun light the Northern Beaches

Dontals dribble

There’s a whale in there!

No Mans showing a little something

The Pole offering a few

Good morning sun

Northy crew getting a few little runners

South Narrabeen cute but too small to surf

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the region is bringing mostly light winds to the Waters. Winds will tend north to northeasterly on Sunday as the high moves east over the Tasman Sea. The next south to southwesterly change is expected to develop on the south coast later on Sunday and affect the remainder of the coast on Monday. A second southwesterly change is expected late Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower.
Sunday 28 May
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 20 to 25 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 29 May
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Surf report

Posted on May 26th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Waves as forecast..tight tides etc…possibly should have said “smaller
than yesterday..somewhere in 1-2 range South East with occasional pulse at
times from Eastish getting into places it didn’t yesterday.”

Rideable on longer boards at right tide, but wind went SE…

And she had it to herself.

Don’t bother now…you’ve missed it




Curly snaps

Posted on May 26th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Fat full and fun but soft




Sunny, offshore, micro

Posted on May 26th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Chill to the air and a steady westerly blowing under clear skies when your correspondent climbed aloft to have a look at the ocean for the first time this morning. Alas, as the pics show, Dee Why is, if anything, smaller than this time yesterday. The MHL data from 0500 showed a metre of 10-sec SE bump. High tide is 1.6 metres at 0830.
Prospects for Dee Why are not looking fabulous for today or tomorrow. I’d say finding something in the knee plus range would be doing well.
As for the week ahead, well, may I refer you to the Goat who has, as always, rolled out the charts and taken a look at our prospects.
I’m making a run to Manly this morning, so if I see anything of interest I’ll follow this up with an update.
In the meantime, have yourself a great Friday everyone!

Only the faintest hint of a line at 0740

SUP’r pokes around while the point slumbers on

Weather Situation
A southwest to southeasterly flow over the waters, established by a high pressure system will tend north to northeasterly on Sunday as the high moves east over the Tasman Sea. The next south to southwesterly change is expected to develop on the south coast later on Sunday and affect the remainder of the coast on Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly below 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. 20% chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 27 May
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Sunday 28 May
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending westerly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 25th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 May 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Weather looks good for the weekend and early next week, with corresponding moderate to small surf conditions until later in the week.  As with today, there’ll be waves to ride at some places at the right tides if you want have some exercise. If you just want to get wet, the water temp is starting to edge down the scale slowly. More cool mornings will probably see most people staying away till the day warms up, so you’ll have it all to yourself 🙂

Surf:

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East and with enough of a pulse to get into some places the small dead South swell today didn’t

Saturday:around 1, 1+ metre South East with an occasional slightly bigger one from time to time

Sunday: around 1, 1+ metre of North East windswell

Monday: down, 1 metre or less

Tuesday: around 1 metre or less with a possible little pulse showing at times at places open to dead South swell

Wednesday: probably similar – despite larger dead South swell offshore going straight past – until later when there might be a little pulse showing on beaches open to the South

Thursday: at this stage it’s looking like being in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places.

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 25 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 25 07:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19-20

The East Coast Current is starting to slow its southward push and warm water is starting to retreat up the coast. Whales should start appearing in numbers soon as they head north for their winter hols.

image

Tides

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/tides/#!/nsw-sydney-fort-denison

Weather from the Bureau:

Friday 26 May

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Areas of fog in the early morning, mostly in the west. Mostly sunny day. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 27 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Areas of morning fog, mostly in the west. Sunny afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 28 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 29 May

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the afternoon then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 30 May

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 31 May

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 1 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Focus at Curly

Posted on May 25th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Manly baaically flat but Curly picking up chest plus sets for 20 lucky
punters at 0900




Surfing could be a challenge

Posted on May 25th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Chilly start to Thursday along the beaches. Skies are clear early and the wind is WNW. The ocean looked close to flat at Dee Why, although the MHL buoy off Sydney was detecting 1.2 metres of 9 second SSE swell.
I couldn’t see anyone in the water at 0700. At 0730 the tide hit a 1.6 metre high and it’s now dropping to the low at 1330. The Bureau’s forecasting a small bump around midday, so I’ll keep an eye on it just in case.
It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks about the surf week ahead because your correspondent is not exactly brimming with hope. No complaints though, it’s been a reasonable if unspectacular autumn thus far.
Have yourself a great Thursday everyone!

Some haze across the city this morning

0710 at Dee Why beach and point

Only a tiny line showing at No Mans around 0710

Weather Situation
A southwest to southeasterly flow over the waters, established by a high pressure system will tend north to northeasterly on Sunday as the high moves east over the Tasman Sea. The next southerly change is expected to develop on the south coast later on Sunday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 26 May
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 27 May
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.


 

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