Hello Friends,
As dawn broke, wind was light from the SW and tide was dropping to the low at 0755. Skies were heavily overcast following some overnight rain. The MHL buoy was picking up close to 1.4 metres of 13-14 sec SE swell at 0500 – which is more than the Bureau was forecasting.
The Bureau’s modelling predicts the swell will fade slightly across the day but the wind should stick around at roughly the same velocity.
The only spot with a wave on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch was up at the very north end where a small group of enthusiasts were skimming in on the knee high combers. Around at the Longy to DY stretch, the optimal location was a zone from around the pole northward where I spotted a few waist and a bit sets in the mix. There were a few bods at the point, but it was struggling to reach the knee high mark. Quality was not overly impressive, but the surface conditions were dead glassy.
Outlook for tomorrow and Monday is for southerlies in the 15-25 kts but I am liking the look of mid-week on the models. If they have it right, Sunday and Monday are meh, but Tuesday-Thursday currently are shaping to maybe even be classic offshore and solid fun size waves in the shoulder plus range.
Here’s hoping!

Weather Situation
South to southeast winds are mainly affecting the waters with the prevalence of a high pressure ridge through southern New South Wales and Victoria. These winds are expected to generally strengthen along the coast over the weekend in response to the development of a low pressure system well offshore over the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 18 June
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Monday 19 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.