TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on July 27th, 2017

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 July 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

We’ve had some good conditions this week and some days of pleasant surf.  It popped up again today with the MHL buoy showing peaks of 3-7 metres  before dropping back to 2-4 metres dead South at sea later today.

Weather forecast is for continuing offshore conditions till Sunday, then southerlies Monday to Thursday.

Surf outlook is for waves of some sort for the week ahead~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday: down from today, in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell, with some little sets, and getting knocked down thru the day by windy offshore wind, before coming up a little later at dead South places

Saturday: down to around 1-1+ metres dead South places

Sunday: small waves, 1 metre or less, for Heidi to have a little paddle on her birthday 🙂

Monday: smaller, with a little teasing pulse from the SE from time to time

Tuesday: might be up a little say 1-1+ or into 1-2 metre rnage at dead South places if a Low expected to form Monday off the South Coast tracks as currently expected, but who can say for sure

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places (ditto)

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, before turning North East later from the wind.

Have fun! But keep your eyes open, especially if you’re in the water early in the morning, or late in the evening (neither of which has become a good idea these days, unless you’re happy to be mistaken for something else) see below

TG.

From Wednesday:

Surf club: At around 5:20pm the restaurant manager alerted ABSLSC and the Club rang the shark alarm. The 8 or so surfers that were still out at South Av and the 2 at North Av all paddled in on the next waves. An onlooker on the beach ran up to the restaurant to raise the alarm.
This is the 3rd report of a Great White at Little Av we’ve been told recently.

From: Dorsal Shark Reports – Australia

Public Shark Report: NSW – SYDNEY – LITTLE AVALON. 17:20, 26 Jul 17, 2m, Great White, Sighting from shore, Liv and Emma were sitting on the rocks, watching their friend who was surfing, when they saw a great white shark breach just behind him. They were able to see the white belly and mouth of the shark.

The girls urgently called their friend in to shore who confirmed seeing something darting around underneath him but assumed it was a dolphin. Onlookers also saw the shark.

Thanks for the report Liv and Emma!

In the Sky

Look at all those squiggly lines, going round in circles ~~~~~~~~~~~~what can they mean?? TG’s Handy Guide for You: The Hs mean Happy days for the weather… The Ls can mean possibly Large wind and surf when it goes the right way.

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 27 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

And aint this purdy to look at>>>>

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 27 08:30:00 2017

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.900,151.200,5

In the Sea

Water temp is slowly creeping down… now around 18-19

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from The Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 28 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Possible morning shower. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting west to southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 29 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of frost in the outer west in the early morning. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 30 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 26
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 31 July

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending southeast to southwesterly during the evening.

Tuesday 1 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Possible morning shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (20%) chance of a shower during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 3 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

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