Archive for July 2017

Clean and small on a beautiful morning

Posted on July 25th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says the swell will increase this morning and they’ve issued a warning for deceptively powerful conditions by this afternoon. But, as you can see from the pics, as of 0740 it was just catchable at the point and maybe waist high up the beach toward No Mans. At 0600 there was 1.4 metres of 9-sec SSE out at sea. Down at Eden the swell was 1.75m at 13 seconds. Tide is running into a 1.5m high at 0945 and by the time the projected swell is hitting, it’ll be dropping to a lowish 0.4m at 1530.
So, it looks like you should hit it early if you’re looking for cruisy little lines or leave it until this afternoon if you want to gamble on something a bit more intense. Bear in mind that the wind will be around to the NW in the afternoon.
Outlook for tomorrow is not all that exciting (swell’s supposed to drop to near flat again) but Thursday should see the south swell perking into the solid range during the morning as the wind fades to light and variable across the middle part of the day. The long range models are all over the shop. Most are predicting flatness from the weekend onward, while a couple of others are showing roaring southerlies and biggish SE swell from Tuesday through Wednesday. As always, they predict and we wait to see…
Have a great Tuesday everyone!

The odd little wave at No Mans 0740

One-wave sets delivering cute little sections at the point

No Mans

Can’t surf the point much smaller than this


Weather Situation
A persistent ridge of high pressure lies over northern New South Wales as a series of cold fronts moves through the southern parts of the state during Wednesday and Friday. This pattern will direct northwest to southwesterly winds over New South Wales Waters, with winds tending fresh to strong in the south with the passage of fronts.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Surf conditions in the afternoon and evening may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 26 July
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning and early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 27 July
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


Big stuff all gone and back to tiny

Posted on July 24th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Three days of thumping swell dried up overnight and Monday morning sees ankle to knee dribble at the point and knee to waist and a bit as you move north along the beach. Tide is filling into a 1.5m high at 0855 and wind was coming from the WNW at 7 kts. The MHL buoy was showing less than a metre of 12-sec SSE swell at 0500 but the Bureau’s swell model is hinting at a possible bump up around midday. And tomorrow looks like maybe coming up again in the afternoon as a long period pulse arrives from the south. Outlook for the rest of the week varies from model to model, but the more hopeful predictions are suggesting 2+ metres for Thursday morning. Here’s hoping!

Back to tiny at the beach

Waist high set at No Mans

Weather Situation
A persistent ridge of high pressure lies over northern New South Wales as a series of cold fronts moves through the southern parts of the state over the coming days. This pattern will direct northwest to southwesterly winds over New South Wales Waters, with winds tending fresh to strong in the south with the passage of fronts.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon then tending west to southwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 25 July
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 26 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.


Gallery: Sunday morning, Dee Why

Posted on July 23rd, 2017 in Top stories.

Swell a bit smaller and slightly less consistent, but the beach was firing up more than the day before.

Click here to see all 155 images!!

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)


Gallery: Saturday, Dee Why point

Posted on July 23rd, 2017 in Top stories.

Check out my snaps from Saturday midday when the swell was near its peak.

Click here to see all 104 pictures
 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)

 ((c)Don Norris)


Sunday rocking the crowd for good reason

Posted on July 23rd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Grabbed this morning’s pics right on the 0800 1.5 m high tide. As you can see the point was firing nicely thanks to 2.4 metres of 134 degree (SSE) 14-sec swell. Wind was light and out of the NW at about 5 kts, so the point had a bit of surface texture going on. Looked to be head and a bit with the solidly overhead bomb both there and north along the beach. Sunny skies, pumping swell and Sunday gets you crowds, so if you’re going in, I’d take the cruisy attitude.
Swell is expected to fade a fair amount over the next 24 hours, but there should be waves all day (the wind’ll be a factor in south corners though). Monday morning may still have a few scraps left but the big stuff will likely be all gone. This morning’s models are showing a very long period dead south pulse arriving mid to late Tuesday which should, with luck, perk the energy levels into the interesting to fun range from midweek…
Have a great Sunday everyone!

What 2.4 metres at 14 sec from 134 degrees looked like just before high tide

Point doing its thing and the crowd doing its as well

Solid sets still in the mix at 0800

1.5m high tide activity up the beach

Weather Situation
A high pressure system will shift northwards to northern New South Wales today as winds freshen and shift west to northwesterly ahead of a cold front moving through the southern parts of the state. Winds will then tend southwesterly on Monday in the wake of the front, before tending northwesterly again ahead of the next frontal system mid-week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 24 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning southwesterly in the late morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 25 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Picture taking at Dee Why 

Posted on July 22nd, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Good size crowd at the point chasing the rideable ones. Solid overhead sets particularly with crew surfing guns. Regular storyboards not always the right tool. Will post a gallery in next day or so…



Dialled up

Posted on July 22nd, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
At daybreak the wind was coming from the west at a steady 10 kts and temp was about 8 degrees under mostly clear skies. Swell is out of the SSE at 13 seconds and out at sea it’s 3 metres. Along the beaches it’s probably 3 metres on faces at exposed spots, maybe even a bit bigger than that on the bombs. Dee Why and Collaroy were really the only surf options I saw this morning on my radio report run. Both were intensely crowded at 0700 but Collaroy was around waist high while Dee Why was solidly overhead on the bigger ones.
Outlook is for the swell to peak this morning but to remain solid for another 24 hours at least. Wind should be offshore too. Know your limits!
Tide was a 1.46m high at 0710 and is now dropping to the 0.36m low at 1250.
Have a great Saturday everyone and I’ll try to grab a few pics of the action to share later.

Pocketed at the point 0700

Late take off not ending well at the point

Empty up the beach

No surfing at Northy this morning


Weather Situation
The combination of a deep low pressure system near New Zealand and a high over southeast Australia is directing fresh southerly winds along the New South Wales coast today. The high will move to the state’s northeast later today, with most coastal areas returning to light to moderate winds. On Sunday winds are expected to freshen and shift westerly as a cold front skims across the south, easing again on Monday as the high across the north reasserts its dominance. A more significant cold front is forecast to affect the region mid-week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly during the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 3 metres, tending southeasterly 3 to 4 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 23 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 24 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, reaching 2 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Manly styling

Posted on July 21st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Cold but clean waist to chest sets at Manly this morning. Bit of  a wait for the sets and you needed to be in the spot but some quality sections to be had. Much more consistent toward Queenscliff end.

 


Cold and offshore

Posted on July 21st, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Icy wind but heaps of chest to head and a bit waves at the point thanks to around 3.2 metres of 11-sec south swell. Tide was a 1.4m high at 0610 and will be back to a 0.4m low at noon.
Wind was coming from the west at 13-20 kts as I tapped out these words. The Bureau says that both it and the swell should weaken a tiny bit around midday. There’s a 30% chance of a shower along the coast but it should mostly be partly cloudy today.
If you don’t mind a chilly change in the carpark, it shouldn’t be too bad once you’re in because the water is around 19C – which is about 10 degrees warmer than the air at 0745.
The Goat rolled out his forecast last night, so if you’re wondering about the outlook, have a look!

Plausible looking left at No Mans 0720

Offshore and icy at the point

Hardy crew on it at 0720

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system near New Zealand and a high pressure system over southeast Australia are directing vigorous south to southwest winds along New South Wales coastal waters. The high is forecast to move slowly eastwards across New South Wales today and during the weekend, with coastal winds easing in response. Winds are expected to freshen and shift west to northwesterly on Sunday as a weak cold front moves across the south of the state.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 22 July
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting northwesterly during the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 3 metres, tending southeasterly 3 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 23 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 20th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 July 2017:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

What an interesting week ahead.  Even if you’re not going in the water it should be fun to watch.

Currently 3-4 metres offshore SSW but late today there were waves around 2 -2+ metres or so at places open to the South. Waves all week of varying size and mostly offshore conditions.  Should be interesting.

But no place for beginners, people who aren’t fit, and O Fs.

Friday: up from today, say 3-4 metres at dead South places and enough period to get into protected corners

Saturday: still around that size but South East and more oomph in the sets and more getting into protected corners

Sunday: easing back a little to 2-3 metres but still with long period oomphy sets

Monday: the offshore winds should knock it back a bit, but say 1-2 metre range dead South places

Tuesday: coming up again in the 1-2 metre range dead South, with solid period sets that’ll mean it should get into protected corners

Wednesday: something similar

Thursday: similar size and period but South East so it may appear bigger

Stay safe.

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 20 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 20 07:30:00 2017

Down in the Sea

Water temp

is hanging in there at 19-20

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds west to southwesterly 35 to 45 km/h decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 21 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Frost in the west at night. Winds west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 22 July

Summary
Min 4
Max 19
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Patchy fog in the outer west in the early morning. Frost in the morning, mainly in the west. Light winds.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 23 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 24 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning west to southwesterly during the morning.

Tuesday 25 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 20
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 26 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 27 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.


 

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