Dropped but not hopeless

Posted by: on August 30th, 2017

Hello Friends,
As of 0600 the MHL buoy was detecting 1.7 metres of 14 sec SSE swell out at sea. Along Dee Why beach that was translating into the odd waist high bump for the patient and well-positioned people in the water. Tide hits low at 0805 and will then run into a 1.4 m high at 1450. Weather should be partly cloudy and a mild 19 ahead of a late S-SE change this afternoon.
The Bureau says the swell should come up, but not this morning. By tomorrow they’re warning it will ramp up into the 2-3 metre range under partly cloudy skies and with winds from the S-SW at 25-30 kts. Friday should see the wind back off a bit and the swell will be off the peak, but still a reasonable 2-3 metres from the south. The models are showing the quality surf lasting into Saturday morning at this stage. Next week currently looks quiet for the front half, but on Thursday morning when yours truly is getting wheeled into the ear surgery at least one of the long range models is showing very good prospects for pumping and clean conditions under sunny skies…
Have yourself a top old day and go well with your plans!

A few folks in the water at No Mans around 0730

Point looking marginal but there should be something along the beach

Weather Situation
A slow-moving low over the Tasman Sea continues to direct southerly winds along the New South Wales coast whilst a high south of the Bight extends a ridge to southeast Australia. A cold front will move along the New South Wales coast today bringing a strengthening southerly airstream. The high is expected to move over Tasmania in the wake of the front with a ridge of high pressure extending northwards across the state. Another low will develop over the Tasman Sea and as it moves towards New Zealand the ridge will move over the east of the state before a high centre develops over the northern Tasman Sea on the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres later in the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Thursday 31 August
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
South to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots.
2.5 to 3 metres.
Southerly 2 to 3 metres inshore, increasing to 3 to 4 metres offshore.
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 1 September
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

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