Archive for August 2017

Pumping Saturday

Posted on August 19th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Dead south, 3 metres at 11-12 sec means solid head to head and a bit on the sets at Dee Why point as the day kicked off. Plenty of size along the beach, but it was way too lined up to be worth the considerable effort involved. The Collaroy to Narra stretch was a victim of the swell direction and long lines, but you might find something at Collaroy proper. Tide was high at 0600 and is currently headed to the low at 1145.
Wind is brisk from the SW and set to ramp up into the 25-35 kt range before swinging south this evening. Swell is set to peak into the 4-6 metre range offshore during the day and then it’ll fade back into the 1-2 metre range by late Monday. Wind will be southerly tomorrow says the Bureau, so it looks like the optimal prospects are today. Monday could be okay as there should still be fun size swell and the wind goes more variable.
Have a great Saturday and beginners, know your limits!

First rays of sunshine

Uncrowded shutdowns

South Narra shutting down

Nice looking section at the point

No takers at Northy

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system lies over the eastern Tasman Sea, while a high is centred near Adelaide. This pattern is maintaining vigorous winds along the New South Wales coast today, and is generating a large southerly swell. Winds will ease significantly during Sunday as the high drifts over southeast Australia and the low loses influence. By Monday the high is expected to be over the Tasman sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 35 knots turning southerly in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
3 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres during the day.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers, mainly offshore. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 20 August
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching 35 knots offshore at first, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 4 to 6 metres, decreasing to 3 to 4 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 21 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then tending westerly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Big wind on the way and little waves early

Posted on August 18th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
In big rush this morning, so here are some pictures of the offshore and tiny conditions at Dee Why-Longy. Basically it’s knee high on the sets at the north end and ankle to knee at Dee Why. We’re in for a windy day and gradually increasing energy from the south. But I reckon waves won’t be much until maybe late. Tomorrow should be interesting though…
Have a great Friday!

Plumes

Dead flat at the point

Little ones at Longy end 0730

Weather – Mostly sunny.
Winds – W 35 to 55 km/h.

Rainfall – 0mm in the previous 24 hours

Expected maximum temperature – 18oC

Ocean temperature – 19oC

Swell – Southerly below 1 metre.

High tide – 1.76 metres at 17:20

Low tide – 0.46 metres at 10:45

Weather Situation
Vigorous west to southwesterly winds today will shift south to southwesterly during Saturday as a low pressure system moves eastward across the southern Tasman Sea. Winds will begin to ease on Sunday as the low moves further east and a high pressure system approaches from the west.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots turning southwesterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore late this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 19 August
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 30 to 35 knots turning southerly in the late morning.
Seas
3 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the day.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers offshore, 40% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 20 August
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 4 to 6 metres, decreasing to 3 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 17th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 August 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The weekend looks like being pretty wild and wooly, if a Low does what it’s expected to do off the south coast.  Surf will be up but should be only for the fit and experienced, if it’s rideable at all with a lot of wind behind it for most of the time. Otherwise, everyone else can stay out of the water and do something else till early in the week when it should be more manageable.

Friday: Slow and smallish for most of tomorrow daytime, but starting to build later in the evening/ night at places that get dead South swell

Saturday: Up into the 3-4 metre region dead South, with enough of a period to see waves at eg DY Point and The Bower, but with windy Southerly type winds and cool air temps

Sunday: Let’s call it 4-5 metres early on, easing back to say 3-4 metres later, and with those windy S type winds and cool air temps continuing

Monday: 3-4 metres South East early on, with NW winds knocking it down slowly to 2-3 metres later

Tuesday: Easing back through the 1-2 metre range dead South with occasional SE sets

Wednesday: Around 1 metre or so South East

Thursday: Around 1 metre dead South.

Vale Steve Parkes. Rest in peace.

TG.

In the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 17 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 17 06:30:00 2017

Winds

Oh, how they’ll blow>>>

https://www.windy.com/?-33.861,151.198,5

In the Sea

Water temp is currently 18, but should warm up a bit as the southerly swell comes through.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Friday 18 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 35 to 50 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

 

Saturday 19 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h turning southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day then tending south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 20 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the afternoon.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 21 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.


Another lay day folks

Posted on August 17th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends
Another day of rest for surfing interests in Sydney. Conditions at most beaches bear a strong resemblance to a lake shore. So, no surfing for us today.
The Goat should be along with a forecast later, so I’ll leave it to him to fill out the details for the week ahead… but just quietly I reckon we’re in for an interesting weekend!
Go well with your day everyone.

WRL cam showing the lake that is the ocean at south Narrabeen

Tiniest of tiny lines at Dee Why as of 0730

Weather Situation
A vigorous westerly flow over the waters will gradually become south to southwesterly by the end of the week as a cold front moves north over the Tasman Sea and a ridge of high pressure moves over the state from the west.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 18 August
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning southwesterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the evening.
Saturday 19 August
Winds
Southwesterly 30 to 35 knots turning southerly during the afternoon.
Seas
3 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.


Strong wind, weak swell

Posted on August 16th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

20-25kts of WNW wind whipping off the beaches and out to sea where it’s sending white horses to the horizon.
As the pictures show there’s essentially no surf at Dee Why or Longy. And from the forecast, it’s set to stay that way until dark. The Bureau says there could be a little south pulse tomorrow, but the swell models aren’t seeing it – but this weekend is a different deal altogether. The consensus seems to be that overnight Friday a significant south pulse (3+ m @ 10-11 sec) will begin to fill in. Wind call is favourable too, so it could be quite the weekend for waves.
Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Wind blowing it flat at Longy

Wow! Surfer gets 2 sec ride at Kiddies

Pretty sky this morning

Hello Friends,

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea, while a cold front approaches from the west. This pattern is generating increasing north to northwesterly winds, with a vigorous westerly change to affect most waters today as the front moves through. Another front is expected at the end of the week, bringing a strong southwesterly change.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower inshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Thursday 17 August
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 18 August
Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 35 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.


Flat or near enough

Posted on August 15th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Nothing much to report from Dee Why this morning. It looks entirely consistent with the data coming from the MHL buoy at 0500 which was showing about a metre of 10 sec SSE bump – which is to say that there didn’t seem to be anything above knee high. Tide was low at 0730 and will be back to a 1.5m high at 1405.
Outlook is for conditions to stay tiny until around Saturday when on current indications we could see a strong south pulse (3-4m range) – along with blasting SW wind. So on to other things for now I’d say.
Have a great Tuesday everyone!

Tuesday tiny lines

Little shutdowns at No Mans


Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea. North to northwesterly winds will increase today as the next cold front approaches, which is forecast to bring a vigorous westerly change to most waters on Wednesday. Another front looks set to bring a southwesterly change at the end of the week.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower late this afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 16 August
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 25 knots turning westerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 17 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Waist to waist and a bit at Dee Why to Longy

Posted on August 14th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Air quality was pretty ordinary this morning when I stopped by Longy to grab a few pictures. Visibility was under 2 km and there was a strong smoky smell. Wind was light from the west when I checked it around 0730. Swell was out of the south about a metre at around 10 seconds apart and that meant mostly waist high wave faces along the Dee Why to Longy stretch. There were people scattered all along the beach, but there weren’t any obvious standout peaks. I think the deal is that you see something interesting, paddle out and then wait…
Tide was low at 0640 and is now coming into the 1.5 m high at 1300.
Outlook is rather so-so. Depending on the model you look at, waves will stay about the same over the next 24-48 hours before it cogs down into the marginal range as we get to the back half of the work week.
So, if you can get in, do so, and if not, well you’re definitely not missing all time waves.
Have a top old Monday!

Soft section near the Pole

Smoky Dee Why

Catching one near the lugga – and at the point

Longy shories offering the odd moment of interest

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia with a ridge to the east is bringing light and variable winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will turn north to northwesterly over the next few days as the high moves over the Tasman Sea extending the ridge to the northwest.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 15 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 16 August
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning westerly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


Soft little lines at Dee Why midday

Posted on August 13th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Little waves have continued through the morning and as we got to the 1215 high tide, there seemed to be knee to waist plus waves along the beach but nothing much at all where the point was concerned. Wind was still light and swell was even up a tiny touch over earlier in the day and it’s a wee bit more east too. The weeks of small surf however have really smoothed the banks away and as a consequence shutdowns are plentiful but sections are not.

Catching a little bump at DY at noon

Too small for the point, but the beach is plausible


You could find a little something

Posted on August 13th, 2017 in Dee Why.

pics up now words in a bit…

Lotta waiting for not much at the point


Up the beach a little wave


Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia with a ridge to the northeast is directing west to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will become light and variable today before turning north to northwesterly on Monday and Tuesday as the high moves over the Tasman Sea extending the ridge to the northwest.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
South to southwesterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 14 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then becoming north to northwesterly about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 15 August
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Northy Sat arvo

Posted on August 12th, 2017 in North Narrabeen, Surf Reports.

20 people at the alley getting surprisingly fun looking chest high rights and lefts.


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin