"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

North ends the go

Hello Friends,

Another very small day, but if you’re really keen, it should be possible to find a little something at a north end. Sets will probably not get much above the waist high mark on the bombs. Tide was low at 0715 and is coming into a 1.4 m high just before 1400. The 0700 data dump from the MHL Sydney buoy was showing 1.7 m of E (73°) at 8.5 seconds. Outlook according to the Bureau is for the NE component to fade today and for the wind to be NW most of the day (although it was still pretty calm at 0900).
I’m keen to see what the Goat will say about the weekend’s prospects. The Bureau’s modelling shows significant swell out to sea late in the weekend, but the other models aren’t too exciting looking. If I had to take a punt, I’d circle Sunday on the calendar for potential activity at south swell magnets.
Have a great Thursday and here’s hoping for the weekend…

Nothing happening at the point at 0830
One person hanging out at No Mans at 0830. Probably should paddle up the berach…

Weather Situation
A high is over the Tasman Sea and a trough of low pressure through central parts of New South Wales is moving east and is expected to reach the northeast in the afternoon. Strong northerly winds ahead of the trough will turn southwest to southerly and generally ease during Thursday. A ridge of high pressure will extend across the state in the wake of the trough and will persist through the weekend. Light to moderate westerly winds and sea breezes are expected on Friday under the influence of the ridge and fresher southwest to southeasterly winds on Saturday as a cold front moves past Tasmania to the southern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the late morning.
Friday 29 September
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 30 September
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 knots before shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.