Waist and a bit at NE magnets early

Posted by: on November 18th, 2017

Hello Friends,

The Bureau’s forecast (see below) notes ‘Very little change to this pattern is expected over the next few days.’ So, what we’ve got is pretty much what we’ve had for the last week – namely not much. As the pictures show, most places are just barely surfable. The NE wind bump is about a metre out at sea and because it’s only 6-8 seconds apart, it’s gutless and struggling to make the waist high mark even at magnets like Northy.

The wind was 10-15 kts NE from early and it will build to 15-20 kts before long. Tide’s heading into a 1.7 m high at 0900, so on top of everything else, it’s fat and full too. And just to round out the picture, the Bureau says we can pretty much count on seeing a shower or two across the day.

Outlook for the week ahead is not looking all that interesting on the models – for the most part. They’re generally calling for a steady supply of small mainly east wind swell along with onshore wind. Several of the models are showing 12-13 sec east swell Mon-Tue, but after that the consensus is flat to near flat for the back half of the week. Here’s hoping they’re under calling it.

Have yourself a top old Saturday everyone!

Hopeful at the Pole 0625

Waiting for the coffee machine to warm up

Nothing surfable at the point

Showers out at sea 0620

Surfboat in search of surf

Sole wanderer communes with nature at south Narra

Small waves at Northy 0615

Fat set scuds into Northy at 0615

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Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales northern coast, and is directing east to northeasterly winds across coastal waters. Very little change to this pattern is expected over the next few days.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers inshore this morning, 60% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 19 November

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Monday 20 November

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

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