Still really small and junky but not totally flat

Posted by: on November 19th, 2017

Hello Friends,

Light east wind ruffling the surface from the get-go at Dee Why this morning. There were a few keen types looking for ankle to knee high bumps at Kiddies (it’s too small and gutless for the point).  Outlook is for the easterly to bumble along in the 10-15 kt range all day. The MHL buoy was detecting 1.2 metres of 7-sec east wind swell as the day kicked off. Tide is coming into the 1.7 m high at 0930 and will be low at 1600. Should get up to 24, although the Goat tells me the water was damn chilly for this time of year at Avalon where he was on patrol. He reckons closer to 16 than not!

Not too impressed with the forecast models this morning I have to say. A broad fetch north of NZ looks like sending a pulse toward the NSW north coast, but if the Bureau’s projections are correct, it won’t be felt much south of about Coffs. That said, some of the models are still showing longish 12-13 sec period east stuff getting down out way from late tomorrow into Tuesday morning – when we’ll have E to SE wind at 10-15 kts. Hope the Bureau’s low-balling it…

Have a top old Sunday everyone and if you’re near a wireless (or have the ABC app on your phone) at 1015 or so this morning, I’ll be on Simon Marnie’s 702 ABC Weekend Show learning a thing or two from shark expert Rob Harcourt.

Folks scratching about for little waves at 0645

Up the beach, a searcher searches

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Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, and is directing southeast to northeasterly winds over coastal waters. Very little change to this pattern is expected during the next few days.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

Monday 20 November

Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

Tuesday 21 November

Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

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