The Goat’s New Year Forecast

Posted by: on December 28th, 2017

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 December 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Christmas drinks, Christmas dinner, Christmas Day, Boxing Day drinks and dinner, grandkids’ birthday parties, surfing, cricket, the Sydney Hobart, and now New Years Eve coming up… a veritable cornucopia of Summer Fun!  Hope you’re all keeping up OK.

The surf’s been mostly small, but there have been waves enjoyed by many, perhaps too many at times! at some places where the banks aren’t too bad, at the right tides. And the weather has been perfect(ly hot) on some days, to spend time in the warmish water.

It looks like more of the same into the first part of 2018… which ain’t all that bad ’cause you’ve got enough going on without over-exerting yourself in the surf.

A couple of gratis, gratuitous messages:

Watch out for extreme UV levels even on cloudy days at the beach… we don’t want the kids or you getting too much of it.

And

Watch out for people doing breaststroke going backwards in a rip, even on small days. There are lots of visitors around who haven’t any experience with the surf or rips, so you might like to share some of your knowledge with them, and you might even get a buzz out of helping them out of trouble.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North East windswell

Saturday: around 1 metre or so North East

Sunday: up a little at places facing dead South, say in the 1-2 metre range but onshore, so you can rest up for New year’s Eve

Monday: about 1 metre or so South East, so you can rest up after New Years Eve

Tuesday: about 1 metre or less dead South places

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: ditto again

Have Fun! Stay safe on the roads and in the surf.

Happy New Year!

TG

 

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 28 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 28 07:30:00 2017

Wind

https://www.windyty.com/

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a pleasant 23, so you can comfortably stay in for hours, whether you want to or not waiting for a wave. Plenty of wind variations ahead so it shouldn’t get colder.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 29 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower from the afternoon, most likely in the evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 30 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Rain easing. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 95% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of rain in the morning. Medium (40%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the afternoon or evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 31 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers in the morning, clearing during the afternoon or evening. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h shifting east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 1 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 2 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.

Wednesday 3 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 4 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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