Archive for December 2017

Dee Why and Longy mobbed

Posted on December 24th, 2017 in Dee Why, Surf Reports.

Party wave! That’s the call echoing up and down the Dee Why Longy stretch this morning. As the pics show it’s around the knee high mark up the beach at Longy and maybe a bit smaller as you go south. Wind not a factor as of 0900


Sunny and hot Collaroy-Narrabeen

Posted on December 24th, 2017 in North Narrabeen, Surf Reports.

Hello Friends

Out and about without my proper camera so using the phone and binocs rig. Already warm at 0800 and waves are tiny. Collaroy-Narrabeen looks to be knee to maybe waist on the biggest ones. Wind is light for now.


Little waves to be had for the early

Posted on December 23rd, 2017 in At large.

Near the Pole at 0645

Hello Friends,

If you were in the right spot around 0700 this morning, you could get a waist plus set wave – but you need to be patient because the wait between rideable sets was impressive. Tide was low at 0545 and will be back to a 1.6 m high at 1210. The MHL buoy was detecting 1.3 metres of 8-sec SSE bump at 0500 and wind was coming lightly from the north.

As the day warms up to the toasty 29 high, the wind will swing to the NE and build to a summery 15-20 kts by high tide. So get in ASAP I’d say – and be patient.

Christmas eve looks like being hotter and smaller, but there seems to be some hope for a south pulse on Christmas day – although the wind’ll be southerly and it’ll be rainy… so, there is that.

As for the week ahead, well, the models are all saying there should be some bumps from the SE but it’ll be weak, short period stuff in the knee to waist range.

Have a great Saturday one and all!

 

Dee Why beach set activity at 0640

Optimists at the point 0645

Lotsa folk at the north end of the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch

Really small, but not flat

The only person in the water from south of Marquesas

Weather Situation

A ridge of high pressure extends along the Queensland coast from a high over the Tasman Sea. East to northeast winds today ahead of a strong and gusty southerly change expected on the south and central coasts on Sunday, extending to the north coast on Monday. Another high centre is expected to move over Tasmania on Monday then to the southern Tasman Sea on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly early in the morning then tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 24 December

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southeast to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon or evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, rising 2 to 2.5 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny morning. 60% chance of showers in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm inshore in the afternoon.

Monday 25 December

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Really small but there are bumps

Posted on December 22nd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Maybe slightly bigger than yesterday morning

Hello Friends,
It looks a tiny bit better this morning than yesterday. There were a few more people in the water along the beach north from Dee Why – which is a hopeful sign – and the weather is sunnier too. Wind at 0720 was coming lightly from the east at 6-8 kts. Waves are still tiny (1.2 m) and short period (6-7 sec), but the direction has settled more to the ESE. Beachwatch was calling the water temp 21 yesterday. Next tide is a 1.7 m high at 1130. We’re headed for a high of 25 with a chance of the odd light shower. Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Outlook? Well I suggest having a look at the Goat’s Christmas forecast here.
Have a top old Friday everyone!

Hopefuls out for a paddle at 0715

Weather Situation

Winds will tend east to northeast today as a high pressure system moves over the southern Tasman Sea. A significant southerly change is expected on the south and central coasts on Sunday, extending to the north coast on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then decreasing to below 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 23 December

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 24 December

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then shifting southerly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast

Posted on December 21st, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 December 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Will it be cold? Or will it be hot??

Will the surf be up? Or will it not???

Should I eat a little? Or should I eat the lot??

Should I go for a surf? Or stay in the cot???

There’ll be a bit of everything for you in the lead up to, during, and after Christmas… but not necessarily in the order you might desire them.

For the surf: in short it’ll be mostly small, except for a small pop up surf day on Christmas day !!! Yay, you sayl

But that looks like being accompanied by a cool southerly wind with occasional showers …

So if you want to… after seeing what Santa has left you under the Christmas tree, you can flail about in the wind and the water on your new toys without concern that they or you are not performing (“because of the conditions”), before getting stuck into the full traditional Christmas day of overeating, then zonking out. Perfect.

Friday: 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: pretty much ditto

Sunday: about the same but East North East. Bureau says chance of Thunderstorms so even though it’ll be a hot one, don’t stay in or on the ocean, or out in the open at the beach if they are near you

Monday, Chrissy Day: up, with wind and a shower or two, into the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South

Tuesday, Boxing Day: down to 1 metre or less dead South, with wind and a shower or two, so you can relax some more

Wednesday: maybe 1 metre or so East/South East

Thursday: about 1 metre East

Have a Great Christmas!!.. Try not to overdo it.

And stay safe, in and out of the water.

TG

In the Ocean

Water temp has settled down to a comfy 21, 22

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

In the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 21 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 21 04:30:00 2017

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 24
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Shower or two.Sydney24
Shower or two.Penrith27
Shower or two.Liverpool26
Shower or two.Terrey Hills23
Shower or two.Richmond27
Shower or two.Parramatta25
Shower or two.Campbelltown26
Shower or two.Bondi21

 

Friday 22 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 23 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 24 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 33
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly during the afternoon then tending northwest to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 25 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Tuesday 26 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the morning.

Wednesday 27 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Not sweltering but still tiny

Posted on December 21st, 2017 in Dee Why.

Grey and flat start to Thursday

Hello Friends,

A steady 12-14 kt SE wind was blowing from before 0730 this morning and yet, in the corner at Dee Why it was relatively smooth. Unfortunately as the pics show, there was no sign of significant swell.  The latest MHL data from 0500 was showing 1.2 metres of 7 second SSE wind bump. Not that it matters to surfers today, but the tide was low at 0420 and will be back to a deep 1.7 m high at 1055. The BoM says we’re going to a high of 24 and we’re likely to see the odd shower.

The Goat should be along later with his thoughts about the Christmas week’s surf prospects, so it’ll be interesting to see how his thoughts compare to the various swell models’ predictions. My take is that we’re facing another week plus of short period wind bump – and therefore marginal prospects.

Have a great Thursday and don’t worry if you can’t get to the beach today!

 

Lone SUPster looking for something to glide on at 0730

Weather Situation

A south to southeasterly change will extend to the far northeast today and weaken over the far southeast before tending east to northeast during Friday as a high pressure system moves over the southern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Friday 22 December

Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 23 December

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Hot and tiny Wednesday

Posted on December 20th, 2017 in Dee Why.

No sign of a wave at the Dee Why end of the beach

Hello Friends,

Yep, it’s hot along the beaches too. And as so often happens with these conditions, wave activity is minimal at best. I couldn’t see anyone at Dee Why as of 0700. A scan of the local cams suggests there isn’t much anywhere else either. Good for a swim I guess.

Not that it matters much, but we’re headed to a 1.75 m high at about 1015. Wind should pick up from the NE soon and it’ll build to 15-25 kts ahead of a 20-30 kt south change this afternoon.

At 0500 there was a mix of north and SSE bump, but although 1.4 metres at sea, the average period was less than 8 seconds.

This morning’s swell models continue to be uninspiring. The most optimistic is predicting short period and small to tiny wind bump until Monday when there may be some hope of a brief spike in the energy levels at south magnets.

Have a top old Wednesday and stay cool!

 

No Mans micro at 0700

Weather Situation

A front will bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast today, while a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern coast. The change is expected to weaken and stall on the northern coast overnight and Thursday, as a new high develops over the southern Tasman Sea. This high should bring a gradual return to northerly winds along most of the coast by the weekend, before the next southerly change on Sunday and Monday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, tending southerly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon then becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon and evening.

Thursday 21 December

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southeasterly early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Friday 22 December

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Late morning Nth Narra

Posted on December 19th, 2017 in North Narrabeen.

Next stops at little Narra and Northy. Same size as Mona and Warriewood but breaking closer to shore and therefore a bit snappier. But rides just as brief.


Mona and Wazzawood

Posted on December 19th, 2017 in Mona Vale.

Out for a bike ride so will toss up a few pics as I go. Looks like a reasonable crowd at Mona Vale where wind still light and waves are knee plus but very slow and weak. Not as energetic at Warriewood but similar size.

Above Warriewpod bomb set 1030


Ankle to knee at best

Posted on December 19th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Yet another grey start to the day along the beaches. As of 0700 the wind was coming lightly from the SW, but the Bureau has a strong wind warning for later when it expects 15-25 kts of N to NE. The MHL data from 0400 is consistent with what the pictures taken 3 hours later show, ie ankle to maybe knee high thanks to 1.2 m of 7 second south wind bump. Tide was close to its midpoint when I took the snaps. It’ll be a 1.75 m high at 0940. It should be sunny later as we head for the high of 31.

Tomorrow’s set to be very hot (38 on the coast) and unfortunately the swell models are not overly hopeful for any significant improvement over today’s barely there waves. Most of the predictions are saying we can expect 7-8 sec stuff at 1.2-1.5 m from the NE.

The long range models don’t show any significant change to the mainly small, short period conditions across the next 10 days. Typical summer conditions in other words.

Have a great Tuesday everyone!

A few hopefuls in the water at 0650

Doesn’t look like a wave at No Mans as of 0650

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A front will bring a southerly change to south and central parts of the coast on Wednesday, before stalling on the northern coast during Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 20 December

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Thursday 21 December

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin