Happy New Year 2018

Posted by: on January 1st, 2018

Little bumps only

Maybe surfable right in the corner

Quiet up the beach

Happy New Year Friends,

Traditional late start for me this morning. When I finally climbed aloft around 0910 for a look at the situation, the sun was beating down, the wind was light and appeared to be very small to near flat at Dee Why. We’re heading to a high of 28 along the beaches today under mostly sunny skies (extreme UV from 0840-1700). Tide was a deep 1.96 m at 0810 and is now dropping to a 0.19 m low at 1450. The MHL buoy was seeing a metre of 6-sec east wind bump as of 0700, so figure on ankle to knee with maybe the occasional waist on the bombs. Also figure on full force crowds because it’s such a perfect beach day.

From the look of the models, the short period barely there wind bump is likely to dominate for the front half of the week, but we could see a slight uptick in energy Wednesday when it seems we’ll also have southerlies and showery weather.

Some of the long range models are a bit more hopeful for early next week when you might start seeing average periods creeping up into the 10-sec range and swell coming from the ESE in the metre-ish category. By then your correspondent will be in the northern hemisphere for a few weeks.

Have yourself a top old New Year’s Day and best of luck if you go for a splash!

 

Weather Situation

North to northeasterly northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast ahead of a weak and brief southerly change on the south and central coasts during Tuesday. A stronger southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea is expected to develop along the south coast late Tuesday and extending to the north coast overnight.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 2 January

Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 3 January

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

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