Missable Tuesday morning

Posted by: on January 2nd, 2018

Flat conditions at 0800

Barely a hint of any activity at the point and in the corner

Hello Friends,

I can keep it very short for the first Tuesday in 2018 – it was flat at Dee Why as of 0800.

Looking around at the cams, it would seem the best you can hope for is a ankle to knee high at stretches optimally aligned to the short period SSE bump. Tide is a deep 2 m high at 0905.

The Bureau’s modelling shows a very brief short period south swell event tomorrow morning, but there’ll be south wind with it , so the quality outlook is not too exciting. But at least there’s a prospect of non-flatness.

After that the models show a return to short-period flat to near flatness well into next week. But, the long range call for 10 days out currently is a little more hopeful. We’ll see… by then your correspondent will be watching and commenting on the indicators from the other side of the planet.

Have a great Tuesday everyone!

Weather Situation

A weak trough will stall then decay on the northern coast during today. A more vigorous southerly surge associated with a cold front passing to the south is forecast to move along the coast on Wednesday, while a high pressure system in the Bight extends a ridge to the east. This high is expected to move to the Tasman Sea later Thursday and Friday, bringing a gradual shift to generally northerly winds over most waters.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm later tonight.

Wednesday 3 January

Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Thursday 4 January

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

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