Doing the rounds on a tiny morning

Posted by: on February 13th, 2018

Another vain attempt to get into a Curly burger at 0900.

 

After a long wait, someone finally gets a take off at Curly.

 

Student surfer working on her form on a killer set at Dee Why around 0910.

 

Two optimists.

 

0915 and as the flags go up, the onshore is starting to kick in.

 

Hello Friends,

Not much to add to my earlier report from Manly this morning. Curl Curl was, if anything, smaller than Manly, while Dee Why was a tiny bit bigger than either. Surface conditions were just beginning to chop up with the arrival of the east wind and the swell was struggling to make the knee high mark on the catchable ones. Plus the lulls were really long for what is basically wind chop. So, if you have to miss it today, I’d be unconcerned.

Cyclone Gita has been doing some serious damage to our Pacific island neighbours over the last 24 hours and it looks like intensifying as it moves westward. Tonga and American Samoa have been hit hard. Latest reports say winds were hitting 260 kph in Tonga and as of midnight the call was for it to be at Category 5 intensity by the time it gets to Fijiian waters. The latest predictions show it arcing toward the south as it enters the Tasman between here and NZ. And that should mean all the forecast models’ predictions for solid to big east swell are likely right.

We could potentially see the forerunners Thursday afternoon, with the swell filling in overnight and becoming obvious at east exposures Friday. Right now it seems we could have overhead to 2x overhead conditions from late Friday through to midweek. And the wind call doesn’t look too bad for the mornings either – light onshores basically.

Could be interesting…

Weather Situation

A weak trough lies about the Illawarra coast, and another along the north coast. These troughs will dissipate later today, with generally northerly winds becoming established by Wednesday morning as a cold front approaches from the west. This front will bring a southerly change to the south coast later Wednesday and the north coast during Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Easterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon.

Wednesday 14 February

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 15 February

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy

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