The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on February 15th, 2018

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hey, you know those Warnings on labels that you never read?… And those Alerts on things you just ignore???

Well here’s TG’s upfront Alerting Warning

The Surf Forecast below, particularly for later in the week is what is likely to happen IF Severe Tropical Cyclone Gita out in the South Pacific BEST TRACKS where she is currently expected to (Gita herself isn’t expected to come near Oz). IF SHE DOESN’T, the Surf here could turn out smaller. The BoM says that Tropical Cyclones have a reputation for being unpredictable.

And another thing… Current weather forecasts suggest more chopping and changing SE/ NE onshore winds.

So I wouldn’t get too excited about the Outlook for Wave Quality if the Big Waves do come.

Stay cool and Go with the Flow…

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range East; watch for the sets in the upper end of the range

Saturday: ditto similar

Sunday: ditto and up a little on the sets

Monday: similar

Tuesday: up into the 3-4 metre range East South East and sets (What did I tell you??.. see above)

Wednesday: 2-3 metre range East South East and sets (ditto?)

Thursday: 1-2 metre range South East 

Apropos nothing in particular, or maybe as a homage to possibly Big(ger) Waves, here’s a little something to enrich your education and entertainment experience…Learn something new each day
Tick off all those you’ve been to! And yes… there is a “Big Wave”!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia%27s_big_things

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 15 06:30:00 2018

There’s Gita…off to the right

Colour Forecast map for next 4 days

Down in the Sea

Water temp’s about 24

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Oh, here’s some more Large Surf warnings for you…

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower at night. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 17 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning northeasterly in the late morning and afternoon.

Surf conditions in the evening may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 18 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 19 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Tuesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 24
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 21 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 22 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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