Sunny skies, light NW breeze – and less than half a metre of 12-sec SE swell. Couldn’t see any sign of a wave at the Dee Why end of the beach and given that, I’d be surprised if there was a wave anywhere else this morning.
So the obvious question is; when will we see an improvement? And the answer is: not long. The Bureau says the swell should ramp up tomorrow morning. Unfortunately it’s looking like the wind will go from the SW to southerly as the swell ramps. So, maybe there’ll be a little window of opportunity, but then again, maybe not. Wednesday looks a little more hopeful, particularly in the afternoon when the wind is set to swing from the SE to the NE as the swell pushes along at 2-2.5 metres from the south.
The models predict northerly wind on Thursday as the south swell fades toward the metre mark by Friday morning. Beyond that, the long range consensus is not too fabulous. If they’re right, the second week of NSW school holidays could be marginal to near flat. But I wouldn’t be locking in plans on that basis, because those long range predictions are highly speculative.
Have yourself a top old Monday everyone!
Beautiful morning light making Dee Why glow
A low pressure system to the far southeast of Tasmania is moving slowly east directing westerly winds across the western Tasman Sea. Winds along the New South coast will tend southwest to southeasterly during Tuesday as a high pressure system moves near Tasmania extending a ridge to the north.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
- West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
- Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Tuesday 17 April
- Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly during the morning.
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Wednesday 18 April
- Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
- Around 1 metre.
- Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.