Can you dial the expectations down any further?

Posted by: on September 11th, 2018

Hello Friends,

Swell perked up into the two metre range at 9 seconds from the SE yesterday afternoon, but it faded away overnight. As of 0400 it was back to 1.3 metres at 8 seconds from the south. From the look of Dee Why you’d be doing well to find something in the knee high range. At report writing time the wind was coming from the NW at 4 kts. However the Bureau tells us to expect the wind to come around to the NE and to ramp up to 15-25 kts. For the record, the next tide is a high at 0920 and it’ll be back to low at 1515. Ocean temperature is 17C according to Beachwatch. I wonder if it’ll drop after those NE winds….

Tomorrow is shaping to be windy too (N→NE→NW) and there doesn’t look like much hope for an improvement to the energy levels. So, if you have to miss a day, tomorrow might be a good choice. That isn’t to say later in the week will be much better, because this morning’s swell models are uniformly uninspiring. There does seem to be some hope for an improvement early next week… maybe….

Have a top old Tuesday one and all!

Nothing doing at No Mans 

A couple of folks hanging out at Kiddies as of 0740

 

Weather Situation

Winds tend northerly as a high pressure system over eastern New South Wales moves into the western Tasman Sea this morning. A trough and southerly change look set to affect the southern half of the coast on Wednesday, before stalling and decaying as the Tasman high returns to dominance later Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Morning cloud clearing.

Wednesday 12 September

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then shifting southwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 13 September

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Sunny.

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