Smooth, grey and lightly raining early

Posted by: on September 26th, 2018

Hello Friends,

More light rain for this morning – which is a good thing for parched gardens but makes the small to micro swell conditions less inviting. Wind was lightly offshore but waves were struggling to reach the waist high range. I’d call it ankle to knee with the odd waist. The MHL buoy data seemed to be offline, so no numbers to report this morning.

Tide will hit the 1.56 m high at 0850 and back to a lowish 0.35 m at 1450. Water is sitting on 18C.

This morning’s forecast from the Bureau says we can expect the swell to bump up a little across the day as the wind comes around to the SW. As noted for the last week or so, we’re expecting to see some long period south energy tomorrow and the Bureau has posted a warning about dangerous conditions. If we get into the 15-17 second range shown on the models’ outlook, there could be some solid sets. But, at those long periods, the lulls between sets will be equally long.

Beyond tomorrow’s pulse, the outlook is for a return to small to marginal conditions across the weekend and into next week.

Have a great Wednesday every one!

Down from yesterday

 

Tiny line at No Mans 0715

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Tasmania is extending a ridge into the Tasman Sea, while a low pressure trough lies just off southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast. This trough will shift to the north coast tonight before weakening on Thursday as the high becomes dominant over the Tasman Sea. Northerly winds will increase on Thursday ahead of the next front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Friday, before continuing to the north on Saturday. Behind this, a new high is expected to move across from the west on Sunday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming east to northeasterly about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.

Thursday 27 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 28 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

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