Swell’s faded away pretty dramatically this morning compared to 24 hours ago. Wind was out of the north at 9-10 kts under sunny skies. As of 0600 the MHL buoy off Sydney was showing about 12 seconds of 1.4 metre SSE (158-164°) swell. As the pictures show, this meant the point was too small to have any takers and up toward No Mans it was maybe a touch bigger but again, with no one in. My guess is that it might be a touch bigger up toward Longy (knee to waist plus?). The Bureau says it’s likely to fade across the day.
Tide hits a 1.62 m high at 1010 and is back to a lowish 0.36 m at 1620. Water’s around the 18C mark.
Not too exciting on the outlook. Tomorrow is going to be cloudy and southerly but there doesn’t seem to be much hope for much, if any, improvement to the energy levels. The models are showing very short periods and heaps of wind unfortunately.
As of this morning the surf prospects for next week are still shaping to be very small to flat until (maybe) late in the weekend. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing big seas south of the content all week, but they don’t show the energy ’rounding the corner, so to speak, until maybe next weekend. Maybe.
So on that cautiously hopeful note, may I wish you and yours a fine Friday!
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will promote fresh northerly winds along most of the coast ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast today, before moving up the north coast on Saturday. On Sunday, a new high pressure system is expected to move across from the west.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
- North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
- 1.5 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
- 2nd Swell
- East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
- Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 29 September
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
- 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
- 2nd Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre.
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the late morning and afternoon.
Sunday 30 September
- South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to southeasterly about 10 knots during the day.
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
- Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Partly cloudy.