Archive for September 2018

Minimal activity Monday

Posted on September 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A beautiful morning for the start of another work week – and it doesn’t look like you’ll be distracted from your duties by the surf. At least where Dee Why’s concerned, there isn’t any.

Out at sea, the MHL buoy was showing a metre of 9 second swell from the S by SSE (154-160°). At report time the wind was coming from the west.

The coastal waters forecast says we can expect the swell to come up into the two metre range from the south. For what it’s worth I’m not seeing anything obvious in the MHL data from stations to the south of us, but I’ll keep a hopeful eye on it.

Wind is expected to go south later this morning, so there is that.

High tide’s at 0830 and it’ll be low again at 1430.

A quick scan of the long range swell prediction models suggests that we’re in for tiny to marginal energy levels through to next weekend – at least. Typical spring conditions I’d say.

Have a great Monday everyone!

A sunny morning but no waves

 

Looking clean but too small to surf at 0740

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is drifting over New South Wales, and is expected to reach the Tasman Sea on Tuesday, bringing a gradual shift to northerly winds in most coastal areas. A trough and southerly change look set to affect the southern half of the coast on Wednesday, before stalling and decaying as the Tasman high returns to dominance.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre by evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 11 September

Winds
Southerly below 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly before dawn then increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly below 1 metre in the evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 12 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Very quiet on the surf front

Posted on September 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

This morning’s picture tells the story. Even with four on the oars, it was a struggle to get into the tiny waves at Dee Why beach this morning. Not too surprising when you consider the swell was only a metre at 7 seconds from the south as of 0700.
Skies were bright thanks to high clouds and wind was out of the WSW at 10-15 kts. Beachwatch reported a ocean temperature of 16C with water quality being good along the Northern Beaches (apart from Queenscliff where pollution is rated as possible).
High tide was at 0745 and we’ll be back to low at 1335. It should be sunny and breezy from the SW with a high of 21.
There’s not much prospect of an improvement to the surf prospects today, but from the models, it looks like maybe there’s a little improvement coming our way tomorrow morning. I’d say maybe knee to waist if we’re lucky (as opposed to the current ankle to knee)
Have a top old Sunday everyone!

Even a surfboats had trouble getting into waves this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over central Australia is extending a ridge over New South Wales in the wake of a trough which delivered a southerly change to the coast. This high will drift slowly east during the next few days, to be over the Tasman Sea by Tuesday, bringing a gradual shift to northerly winds. The next trough and southerly change looks set to affect the southern half of the coast mid-week, before stalling.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 10 September
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 11 September
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.


Very small but there were bumps early

Posted on September 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Pretty quiet out there this morning. Solid overcast skies and a light breeze from the SSW as of 0630. The MHL data from 0500 showed 1.9 metres from dead south at just 6 seconds apart. So, as the pictures show, it was in the knee to maybe waist high range and very weak. Conditions were not being improved by the incoming tide (1.46m high at 0655). The only people I saw in the water were 3 or 4 at Kiddies.

The marine forecast tells us to expect the wind to be S-SE 15-25 kts today along with an 80% chance of showers.

Water’s still sitting on 16C.

Sunny conditions are set to resume tomorrow, plus the wind should be more SW. The Bureau and most of the models are indicating a 10-11 Sec half-metre east swell too, so there could be the odd little line on mid-tide. Monday-Tuesday mornings’ outlook is about the same. Beyond that the only hope for an improvement doesn’t appear on the predictions until Sunday-ish.

Have a top old Saturday and stay happy everyone!

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough, moving along central parts of the New South Wales coast this morning, will reach the far north tonight, accompanied by a southerly change. Behind this, a new high pressure system will push across the state from the west, to be centred over the coast by Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this morning.
Sunday 9 September
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then tending south to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 10 September
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly during the day then becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


The Goat sends a postcard from Newquay

Posted on September 7th, 2018 in At large.

7pm ..onshore ..cold for an Aussie..and there’s a surf school on!

TG

Lovely Newquay, UK


Tiny NE bumps around the place

Posted on September 7th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A mild sunny morning to remind us that spring is on the way. And there are even tiny, weak NE windswell waves to be had at the magnets. As you can see from the pics, the biggest ones are struggling to get to waist high. Waits are long and rides are short and gutless. Looking at the MHL data from 0700 swell at sea is around 1.5 m and 6-7 second period from the NE. Wind was light from the NW and tide hit a 1.37 m high at 0600. Beachwatch says the ocean’s still on 16°C.

Although it was mainly sunny as the day got started, the Bureau says it’ll cloud up and we have a 90% chance of showers.

I’m not too cheerful about the look of the swell model predictions for the next week. I guess the good thing is that there should be little bumps if you’re really keen to get wet. Think knee to waist more or less.

Have yourself a fine old day and keep on smilin’!

Longy at 0820

 

Weak and small, but catchable at Longy

 

Gardens tinyness 0815

 

Pretty quiet at Kiddies

 

Carparks bomb set

 

Variegated wren doing the spring territory business

 

Some sort of contest at Northy

 

About the best of bunch and it’s pretty marginal at Northy 0810

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system near New Zealand is extending a ridge to the north coast, while a front has crossed southern coastal areas this morning. A southerly wind change associated with the front will continue to extend northwards reaching central parts of the coast this evening, and the remainder on Saturday. After this, a new high pressure system will push across the state from the west with winds generally easing.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning then shifting southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a gusty thunderstorm.

Saturday 8 September

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Sunday 9 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Smooth but small

Posted on September 6th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not much wind as the day got started, so conditions looked smooth – but very small. There were a few bods poking around near Kiddies, but the point was struggling to be plausibly surfable. At 0500 swell was 1.4 m at 11 seconds from the S-SSE (148-152°) and as I write this, North Head is recording calm conditions. Tide was high at 0500 and is now dropping to a low of 0.48 at 1045. Beachwatch reported that the water temperature was down to 15°C yesterday morning.

Wind is set to build up from the N-NE later (the Bureau has a strong wind warning for 20-25 kts later and there’s a 60% of showers.

There isn’t much of interest in this morning’s long range forecasts. Near term looks like being small to just about flat through the weekend. If you’re an optimist, some of the models are showing the potential for a slight uptick Monday – but I’m not overly hopeful at this stage.

Have a great Thursday everyone and keep on smilin’

Misty city 0655

 

Fog on the Hawkesbury before 0700

 

The point not attracting any takers

 

Little bumps along the beach

 

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge over the Waters. The high will drift slowly east today promoting northeasterly winds. Increasing northerly winds will precede the next cold front, which is forecast to cross the southern coast on Friday, continuing to the north on Saturday. A new high pressure ridge begins to build on Sunday, with most areas seeing a decrease in wind strength.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Friday 7 September

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Saturday 8 September

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning then becoming south to southwesterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Wind not too bad early

Posted on September 5th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was only 2-3 kts early but it was coming from the SSE. Looking back at the history, it appears to have faded at around 0530, so I think the light air won’t last long enough for the bump to subside. Swell looked to be waist to chest plus along the beach and at the point, but I didn’t catch anyone on a wave when I took the pics. The MHL buoy was showing 2 metres of 12-sec SSE (158-160°) at 0500. According to the Bureau, the swell should come up a bit and the wind will go around to the E-NE at 10-15kts. Tide hits a 0.5 m low at 0935 and is back to a 1.6 m high at 1615. Ocean watch says water is 16°C and flagged potentially dodgy water at Queenscliff.

Outlook is for the short period stuff to continue tomorrow, but for the swell direction to swing more east and for the wind to be out of the NE by late morning. The next 3-4 days are shaping to be small and marginal with light to moderate onshores but not going totally flat. Scrappy in a word.

Have a top old Wednesday and kudos for keeness if you get wet!

 

Kiddies set

 

Set at the point

 

Another wave at the point 0640

 

No Mans 0640

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge into New South Wales, while a weakening low pressure trough lies along the northern half of the coast. The high will continue to drift slowly east during the next day or two, bringing a gradual shift from southeasterly to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas. Increasing northerly winds will precede the next cold front, which is forecast to cross the southern coast on Friday, continuing to the north on Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Thursday 6 September

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 60% chance of showers.

Friday 7 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Postcard from the Isle of Wight

Posted on September 4th, 2018 in At large.

No surf at the main surfing beach. Lovely day though.
TG


Scrappy but the odd sunbeam

Posted on September 4th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not the most appetizing morning for a surf – despite the occasional sunny break. Wind was out of the ESE at 10-15 kts before 0700. Swell has shifted around a bit more to the SE (156-160°) and is a couple of metres at 11 seconds. So there is energy, but as the pictures show, it’s really messy thanks to the wind.
There’s a 70 percent chance of more showers too.

Sadly it looks as though the dire onshore situation will last through to Thursday evening – although it looks like north to NE wind on Thursday so there might be a few options in the corners for tiny wind bump excitement. Sadly there’s nothing much of interest in the very long range swell models this morning. Here’s hoping it improves before we get there.

Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!

 

The point and Kiddies only for the desperate at 0630

 

Just as messy at No Mans

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge into New South Wales, while a trough lies along the coast. The high will drift slowly east during the next few days, bringing a gradual shift from southeasterly to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas. Increasing northerly winds will precede the next cold front, which is forecast to cross the far southern coast by early Friday, and remaining parts by the end of Saturday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots offshore in the morning. Winds tending easterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Wednesday 5 September

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 6 September

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.

PICS: Thursday morning 30 August 2018 Dee Why point

Posted on September 3rd, 2018 in Top stories.

Swell and weather came together for 30 or so people at Dee Why point on the last Thursday morning of August…

Dee Why point firing (click pic to see entire gallery)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)

 (Don Norris)


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin