"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Lightly onshore early

Hello Friends,

Definitely activity along the beaches, but the quality? Not so much. Couldn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why when I grabbed the snaps a little after 0715. It looks weak, messy and fat. Plus there’s more rain in the mix, so water quality is unlikely to improve.
The MHL data showed 2.2 m of 9 second stuff from the SSE and the NE.
Tide was low at 0650 and is now coming into a 1.5 m high at 1320.There’s a 90% chance of rain and the wind will pick up to 20-25 kts from the NE. The NE swell comnponent should pick up too, leading to the Bureau warning of large and powerful surf conditions.
Outlook is for the NE regime to continue through Wednesday as the combo NE-S swells fluctuate around in the 1-2 metre range. The swell models tell us to expect the wind situation to last through Thursday before finally backing off on Friday morning.
So hang in there, it’ll get better.
Have a top Monday!

City pokes above the fog at 0720

 

Lion Island fog peekaboo

 

No Mans at 0715

 

Flabby but not flat

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating southeast to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, a coastal trough is deepening along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast, generating strong to gale force winds in the far north. This coastal trough is expected move further offshore today while the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 16 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 17 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.