The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on November 22nd, 2018

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 November 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How’s that wind!? 40-50 ks with 70-80 k gusts NW / WNW. Blew my hat off a couple of times! and gave my hair and car a light dusting of red soil from someone’s paddock out west, to mix in with the drops of water from a sudden shower.. ahh the Marvels of Nature.

Timed my visit to the beach just as the wind was really picking up and everyone was getting out because no one likes spray in their eyes… so missed out.  Memo to self: Must try harder. Maybe tomorrow…?

Hmm.. more wind and smaller surf.  We’ll see.

Oh you’ll see so many different estimates of the surf outlook from looking at computer models and that Low down south

But here’s TG’s best guess to help you…

Friday: down from today… 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots..not much elsewhere

Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Monday: coming up into the 2-3 metre range South East

Tuesday: down into the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range East South East

Thursday: coming up 2- 2+ metres only at dead South places.

Enjoy.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 22 03:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 22 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Dust haze. Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of a shower mainly in the north and east this morning. Winds northwesterly 20 to 25 km/h tending westerly 25 to 30 km/h in the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day.

An Air Quality Alert of POOR for the Sydney region has been issued by NSW OEH today as PM10 levels are forecast to exceed national air quality standards.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze. Sydney 26
Windy. Dust haze. Penrith 26
Windy. Dust haze. Liverpool 26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze. Terrey Hills 24
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze. Richmond 26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze. Parramatta 26
Windy. Dust haze. Campbelltown 25
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze. Bondi 26

Friday 23 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Becoming windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 24 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 25 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 26 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Tuesday 27 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly later.

Wednesday 28 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower during the morning. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

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