The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on December 13th, 2018

Surf forecast issued Thursday 13 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Sydney’s about to cop a heap of rain as I put hoof to keyboard and there’s thunder and lightning coming too..  Don’t run around like a headless chook..get your washing in! Don’t play tennis.  Get inside and stay inside for about half an hour or so. Don’t go out if there’s Thunder about.

Nasty Severe TC Owen way up north but the Bureau expects it to be Ex TC Owen by late Saturday and make a lot of rain up north.

Outlook for the weekend looks like good rainfall here, and for the surf? well

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday: up a bit into the 2, 2+ maybe 3 metre area East North East

Monday: down into the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: down again to around 1 metre or so North East

Wednesday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East

RIP Scott Dillon.. passed away at 90.  Bought a few boards off him in my younger days.  Once watched him and Dave Jackman go out at North Steyne to ride the Queenscliff Bombie.  No one else in the water.  I gave them no chance of even getting out through the monster surf. The sea seemed to make a gentle winding passageway as they casually paddled between giant waves.  You couldn’t see them the waves were so big and I was expecting to see their gun boards washed end over end to shore. Then Scott caught a monster all the way to shore and just strolled up the beach  It was absolutely amazing to watch the whole thing It was like it was stage managed for them.

Pretty to watch.

TG.

Nice story on him here

https://www.pacificlongboarder.com/news/RIP-Scott-Dillon/?siteregion=AU

Up in the Sky

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 13 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 13 07:30:00 2018

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Friday 14 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Rain increasing.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Patchy fog in the early morning. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly in the evening then tending east to northeasterly in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 15 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 16 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 17 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 18 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 19 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 20 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly later.

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