Looks like head high lines at the right spots this morning. As of 0400 the MHL buoy was showing a combo of NNE and SSE. The longer period, lined up stuff was coming from the NNE and the more choppy mix of short and longer period components were coming from the south. At first light the surface looked reasonably smooth on the cams, but the wind is supposed to get more southerly as the morning goes along. Also, the north east swell is supposed to fade, so getting in early at a magnet is the plan. Tide’s low at 0800, so there should be a little extra push this am.
Outlook is for the energy levels to subside across the next couple days and then the models get a bit contradictory for early next week. Fortunately we’ll have the Goat’s words of wisdom tomorrow evening, so maybe he can bring some clarity.
Santa Barbara continues micro and Ventura’s dropped as well. The only decent wave I spotted on the local cams was down at Trestles where it was sideshore but shoulder high and pretty fun looking. Unfortunately for me it’s like being in Dee Why and knowing there are fun waves at Treachery – if I was prepared to spend the hours getting there.
A southerly change has moved through southern and central parts of the coast, and is expected to slowly extend throughout the the remainder today, with fresh northerly winds forecast ahead of the change. A high pressure system over the Bight will slowly move east and strengthen during the next couple of days, extending a ridge to the coast in the wake of the southerly change. By late Friday the high centre will have shifted into the southern Tasman Sea and direct northeast to southeasterly winds along the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly in the late afternoon.
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Southerly around 1 metre.
Thursday 14 February
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the morning.
Friday 15 February
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly during the morning.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly around 1 metre.