Archive for February 2019

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

While you’ve been enjoying? warm weather in Sydney I’ve been enduring cold winds coming up from Antarctica. To make matters worse the winds didn’t even bring up any surf where I’ve been.

Between the cold air, the cold water, and the .. surf… I haven’t seen any reason to take my board off the car, so far.  Maybe tomorrow?

But you don’t care about that do you?

And hey… In Victoria I’ve seen so many Goat’s Cheese this, Goat’s Cafe that, Goat’s Meat !!??!!… thank goodness I’m back in NSW !(?)

So in Sydney, I don’t think I’ve missed much surf from what I’ve been told.

Friday: easing back into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Saturday:around 1 metre or so or possibly less South East

Sunday: 1 metre or so East

Monday:coming up a little in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Tuesday: coming up at places open the dead South after a change, say in the 1-2 metre range at those places

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 14 10:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 14 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.369,150.538,5,i:pressure,m:cNpakoE

Down in the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around say 22ish.

Where I’ve been… mostly greenish.. see below… which just isn’t right for Summertime surfing…not that I’ve seen any surf.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast updated at 8:16 pm EDT on Thursday 14 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 15 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 17 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 18 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 19 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 21 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day


Lumpy and bumpy for the early

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a mostly overcast start to the day in Sydney, but there are still a few waves to be had around the place thanks to the 2 metres or so of mainly south 9 second swell. Still some nort. . component in the mix, so conditions are floppy and bumpy with sets at best exposures getting into the shoulder high range. Tide is dropping to the  low at 1030 and then will be back to high at 1620. As of 0700 wind was light from the W-SW. It should go around to the SE then move to NE later.

The Goat should drop a forecast later today, so as always I’ll be interested to see his call. A quick glance at the models says it could be small and marginal through to late Sunday early Monday, but then you might see a little uptick into the fun range.

From Ventura north to Santa Cruz conditions are too junky and messy for surfing. But way down south in southern Orange county, it’s still rideable looking…

SW wind destroying an already weak and choppy NW bump at Campus point, Goleta this morning.

The stormy conditions haven’t smashed Trestles yet. Only 6 people in the water and there are shoulder high sets!!!

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Bight will slowly move east and strengthen during the next couple of days, extending a ridge to the coast. By late Friday the high centre will have shifted into the southern Tasman Sea and direct northeast to southeasterly winds along the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 15 February

Winds
Easterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 16 February

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Waves in Sydney, but not everywhere

Posted on February 13th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like head high lines at the right spots this morning. As of 0400 the MHL buoy was showing a combo of NNE and SSE. The longer period, lined up stuff was coming from the NNE and the more choppy mix of short and longer period components were coming from the south. At first light the surface looked reasonably smooth on the cams, but the wind is supposed to get more southerly as the morning goes along. Also, the north east swell is supposed to fade, so getting in early at a magnet is the plan. Tide’s low at 0800, so there should be a little extra push this am.
Outlook is for the energy levels to subside across the next couple days and then the models get a bit contradictory for early next week. Fortunately we’ll have the Goat’s words of wisdom tomorrow evening, so maybe he can bring some clarity.
Santa Barbara continues micro and Ventura’s dropped as well. The only decent wave I spotted on the local cams was down at Trestles where it was sideshore but shoulder high and pretty fun looking. Unfortunately for me it’s like being in Dee Why and knowing there are fun waves at Treachery – if I was prepared to spend the hours getting there.

Fun looking A-frames at Lower Trestles this morning

Campus Pt Goleta, good day for a class excursion

California Street Ventura micro this am

Weather Situation
A southerly change has moved through southern and central parts of the coast, and is expected to slowly extend throughout the the remainder today, with fresh northerly winds forecast ahead of the change. A high pressure system over the Bight will slowly move east and strengthen during the next couple of days, extending a ridge to the coast in the wake of the southerly change. By late Friday the high centre will have shifted into the southern Tasman Sea and direct northeast to southeasterly winds along the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 14 February
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 15 February
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Longer period swell this morning?

Posted on February 12th, 2019 in At large.

Nothing much at Campus Point in Goleta this morning

California Street, Ventura: set catches longboarders out of position


Hello Friends,
Overnight it looks as though the 1.3 metre SE wind swell you had yesterday has gone from 5-6 sec to 11-12 seconds from the east. With any luck there’ll be some chest plus faces to be had at optimally aligned spots. Wind was pretty light early and coming from the SW, but as the day heats up to the predicted high of a scorching 37C, it’ll pick up and swing to the SE later. Ocean temp was 22C yesterday, so probably the same again today. Tide is low at 0800 and then back to high at 1400.

Apart from being quite a bit cooler tomorrow, it also looks as though the long period stuff will fade out and it’ll be back to choppy and gutless again. The interesting stuff on the models of a few days ago has also faded and it now looks as any size will be confined to the far north coast…

Santa Barbara is still micro, but there’s slightly more energy south of here in Ventura and on down the coast to the Mexican border. Up north in Santa Cruz it looks like fun head to head plus at magnets like Steamer Lane…

Have a great day!

Bit of size up north. Steamer Lane, Santa Cruz

Weather Situation

Fresh northeasterly winds extend across the Waters ahead of a strong southerly change forecast to move through southern parts of the coast later today, and the remainder during Wednesday. A high pressure system over the Bight will slowly move east and strengthen during the second half of the week, and extend a ridge to the coast in the wake of the southerly change.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 13 February

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southwesterly before dawn then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 14 February

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Not much in CA or SYD but…

Posted on February 11th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

A warm (27C) mostly sunny day coming up for Sydney this Monday and then hot tomorrow. 1.3 metres of 9-sec SSE wind swell out at sea early this morning and a light westerly as of 0530. The wind should swing to the north by daybreak or shortly thereafter and then as the day warms up, it will go around to the NE as it ramps into the 20-25 kt range.
Tide’s low at 0710 and high again around 1315.
Surf prospects don’t look exceptionally interesting, but you might find a little waist-ish bump at spots that like a lot of south.
Some of the models show swell perking up tomorrow – so for once, there could be waves on a hot day. Beyond that there seems to be the prospect of an extended period of east swell from late in the week. What isn’t clear at this point is if you can expect to see much in Sydney or if it’ll be hitting the far north coast only…
We’re seeing grey skies, the odd spot of rain and a small, weak west line here in Santa Barbara. There appears to be a touch more activity up at Santa Cruz, but it’s not exactly pumping.

Micro lines and no takers on a showery Sunday morning at Campus Point, Goleta

Dodgy water, tiny lines for longboarding California Street, Ventura (Surfline)

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system lies over the western Tasman Sea. Light coastal winds under the influence of the high will turn north to northeasterly and freshen in most areas today ahead of the next cold front. This front is forecast to push a southerly change through the region later Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 12 February
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 13 February
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly during the early morning then southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Micro Saturday for Sydney

Posted on February 9th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Early risers encountered almost no wind this morning. Unfortunately, the tiny gutless east wind swell is looking awfully feeble. About the best you can hope for is a gentle takeoff on a waist plus lump that will subsequently end a few seconds later as you slow down and sink out as it turns into low energy froth.
The wind will pick up soon as it builds into the 20-25 kt range from the Northerly quarters ahead of a strong southwest change this evening. You have a hot (33C) day coming up too.
The MHL buoy was seeing less than a metre of 7-sec easterly wind chop at 0400. The south change overnight doesn’t promise any improvement in surf prospects, although tomorrow will be much cooler – so there is that.
Tide is high just before noon today.
Outlook is pretty ordinary if the swell models are to be believed. There seems to be some hope for an easterly pulse midweek, but right now it doesn’t look like being a big one, plus there could be south wind with it…
California continues to bump along at the very small end of the surfability range. Locally here in Santa Barbara there’s nothing, but if you go south to Ventura, there look to be some longboardable lines at C-Street. Sadly, the water down there is probably quite unsafe due to the rains of a few days ago. And, more rain is due from late today…
Herewith a couple of postcards:

Faded away to nothing at Campus Point near Goleta CA

California Street dodgy water lines

Weather Situation

A high pressure system to the east of New Zealand is moving slowly east and will maintain a ridge to the north coast today, while a cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring a vigorous south to southwesterly change to southern and central waters later today, and to northern waters Sunday morning. A high pressure system will slowly track east from the Bight in the wake of the front, reaching the western Tasman late Sunday with an associated an easing of winds over New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 10 February

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Monday 11 February

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Another warm one coming up

Posted on February 8th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The forecast says 30 degrees and a 70% chance of a shower this afternoon for Sydney. There was a 1.4 metre bump coming from the E at 9 seconds apart in the wee small hours. Wind was faintly from the NE at daybreak and tide was heading toward a high at 1120. Ocean is 22C.  My guess is that there could be some weak little waist-ish bumps to be had at open stretches before the wind gets up.

Here in Santa Barbara the weather is bright and sunny and cool with a light SSE onshore and, as the pic below shows, no wave energy to speak of. Way up north from here at Santa Cruz they’re getting some scrappy looking shoulder plus stuff, and down south in San Diego they’re seeing waist plusses. But overall, the California coast is very much between winter pulses.

Have yourself a top old Friday everyone!

tiny dribble at Campus point in Santa Barbara this morning

Weather Situation

 

A high pressure system to the east of New Zealand is moving slowly east and will maintain a ridge to the north coast over the next day or so. A trough looks set to bring a weak southerly change to southern parts of the coast later today. Another stronger southerly change is expected along southern and central coastal areas on Saturday before shifting through northern parts of the coast Sunday morning. A high pressure ridge will extend from the Bight in the wake of the trough, with a new high centre becoming established in the Tasman Sea later on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.

Saturday 9 February

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon then shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Sunday 10 February

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 7th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

If you’ve been lucky enough to catch a wave… then you’ve been lucky enough to catch a wave!

The outlook is for continuing variable wind directions, so there’s not much chance of a swell building. But.. there should be enough movement in the water, at the right tide, at the right place…and if you’re lucky enough to be there, you might be lucky enough to catch a wave! And.. as a bonus here’s an eight day forecast for you 🙂

Probably best at mid to lowish tides – but not too low to be sandbank accident potential – on:

Friday: say around 1-1+ metres East North East

Saturday: around 1-1+ metres East North East

Sunday: changing direction to a little something at dead South places with wind too

Monday: around 1-1+ metres East

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range North East at southern ends, as the Noreaster picks up

Wednesday: around 1-1+ metres North East

Thursday: ditto South East

Friday: ditto ditto.

Stay Safe. Have Fun.

TG

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 7 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 7 00:30:00 2019

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-37.878,145.165,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22, 23

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Mostly sunny.Sydney29
Mostly sunny.Penrith32
Mostly sunny.Liverpool31
Mostly sunny.Terrey Hills27
Mostly sunny.Richmond31
Mostly sunny.Parramatta30
Mostly sunny.Campbelltown31
Mostly sunny.Bondi25

Friday 8 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 9 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwest to southwesterly during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 10 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then shifting northeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 11 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 12 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 13 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning


Thursday tiny bumps

Posted on February 7th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

From the look of the various cams early, there isn’t much going on wavewise for Sydney. Wind was light from the northern quarters as the day got started under mostly clear skies. It’ll pick up later this morning as it settles to the NE. Swell looks short period and knee to maybe occasionally waist on the biggest ones. Tide’s coming into a 1.74 m high at 1045. As of 0400 the MHL buoy was seeing 1-2 metres of 8-sec stuff from the east (124 degrees). Beachwatch hadn’t reported in at time I wrote this, but I’d expect water will still be around the 21-22C range. Should be mostly sunny with a high of 28.

Today’s the Goat’s forecast, so it’ll be interesting to see if he thinks there’s any hope for a noticeable improvement in your prospects…

Sorry no pic, but maybe later I can grab a postcard to share!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is bringing east to northeasterly winds to New South Wales waters, and will maintain a ridge to the north coast over the next few days as it moves east. A trough looks set to bring a weak southerly change to southern parts of the coast on Friday. Another stronger southerly change is expected along southern and central coastal areas on Saturday before shifting through northern parts of the coast on Sunday. A high pressure ridge will extend from the Bight in the wake of the trough, with a new high centre becoming established in the Tasman Sea on Monday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 8 February

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday 9 February

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Weak and tiny here and there

Posted on February 6th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a nice sunny summer morning in Sydney with light NE breezes but only the faintest of wind swells making itself felt. If you can dial expectations down to ankle to knee, you should be about in line with what’s on offer. Ocean temp according to Beachwatch is sitting on 22C. High tide is a 1.74 at 1010 and water quality should be good everywhere. At 0700 the MHL buoy was seeing less than a metre from the SE at 8 seconds apart.

The lowly conditions don’t look like improving in the near term. I guess the good news is that if you’ve found something worthy of your time, it should pretty much be the same again tomorrow and beyond for three or four days. For what it’s worth, mid-month is looking hopeful for a run of decent size swell from the easterly quarters…

Meanwhile, here in California we’re experiencing brisk weather and surf remains really sorry. I went down to the nearest view of the sea and grabbed you a couple postcards…

Passing shower between the mainland and Santa Cruz Island

The spot I learned to surf at a mere 50 years ago…

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking

No warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 6 February 2019.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is bringing east to northeasterly winds to New South Wales waters today. The high will drift slowly east during the next day or two, while maintaining a ridge towards the north coast. A trough looks set to bring a change to southern and central parts at the end of the week, before stalling and decaying in the north as a new high develops over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.

Thursday 7 February

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 8 February

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northerly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

 


 

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