"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Dull old Saturday morning

Hello Friends,

Light NW wind wafting into the beaches under heavily overcast skies as the day started. The wind will pick up soon and be into the 15-20 kt range from the north ahead of a midday south change. Swell was coming from the ESE at sea as of 0400 – but it was only 1.3 metres offshore at 8 seconds apart. The results were not exciting at Dee Why as of 0700. A few people were in the waster waiting hopefully, but wave faces were struggling to make much above knee to waist. At least the water is around 24.

Tide is coming in to a 1.6 m high at 1055. There’s also a 70% chance of a shower.

Not the most exciting look to the surf prospects for my first week back home. Basically it looks marginal to flat until about Wednesday when all of the models are showing a brief spike into the surfable range (1-2 metres at 8-9 seconds from the SE), which may deliver waist to chest with plusses at magnets. Unfortunately it looks as though there’ll be SE wind with it, so I’m only cautiously hopeful.

The very long range modelling currently suggests that week after next could see a lot of south wind and swell into the 2-3 metre range…

Have a great Saturday everyone, it’s good to be home again.

Only a hint of a bump up the beach toward No Mans at 0700
Too tiny to surf at Dee Why this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing east to northeasterly winds along most of the northern half and central parts of the coast. Over the far southern parts, a trough has established a southerly flow and a weak low is expected to develop offshore within this trough today. This setup will extend the southerly change through the central parts of the coast before dissipating on Sunday. The next significant cold front looks set to arrive in the middle of the coming week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots around the middle of the day
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 10 March
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Monday 11 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.