Hello Friends,
Light NW breezes for the early high tide session this morning. Sadly, the already marginal conditions look to have slipped backward. The MHL buoy was detecting just under a metre of 15-second energy from the SSE. It could be that I grabbed the picture between sets, but the fact that there were only two or three people in the water at the Dee Why end supports my view that it’s clean but nearly flat. Tide hits a swampy 1.95 high at 0830, so that’s not too helpful either.
This morning’s swell models haven’t moved off the previous projections, which is to say it looks as though we’re stuck in the small to marginal range until early next week. Today’s predictions from both the ECM and Wavewatch are showing a southerly event mid next week. They’re saying swell could be in the 2-3+ metre range from the south – unfortunately the southerly wind will be going hard on top of it. So, not getting too excited at this point.
Have yourself a top old Wednesday everyone!
Weather Situation
A broad trough of low pressure lingers in the western Tasman Sea and directs southerly winds along the coast. Winds tend north to northeasterly later Friday and Saturday as the trough weakens and is replaced by a ridge, extending from a high centre near New Zealand. A trough approaching from the west is expected to cross southern parts of the coast on Sunday, bringing a southerly change.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
- Winds
- Southerly about 10 knots.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Easterly below 1 metre.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 21 March
- Winds
- Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the morning.
- Swell
- Easterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Friday 22 March
- Winds
- Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Easterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
