As of 0645 the wind was 8-12 kts from the NE and the MHL buoy’s latest data showed 1.6 m at 11 seconds from 158° (SSE). As the pictures show, the surface conditions were lightly choppy and wave faces were in the waist to chest range at Dee Why.
Outlook for the rest of the day and tomorrow is not too interesting surfwise. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models show us approaching near flat conditions by tomorrow morning. The forecasts continue to show a southerly pulse coming our way on Sunday. ECM predicts that it’ll still be small on Sunday morning, while Wavewatch says it could be into the 2 metre range at 10 seconds apart by 0600. Wavewatch sees the swell ramping into the 3+ metre range by mid afternoon, but ECM says naw, only a little bigger than the morning. Both models show wind out of the SW to W across the day. By Monday Wavewatch says it should still be solid, but ECM’s saying a touch under 2 metres at 9 seconds (definitely surfable). They’re calling for wind to be offshoreish early but then a blasting southerly hits by about midday. Wavewatch remains excitable as it predicts 4 metres of 11 sec south for Tuesday morning. ECM is again less enthusiastic, calling for maybe half that. Both models show the energy levels declining across the day on Tuesday.
Have a top old Friday!
A vigorous cold front will cross the coast today, associated with a deepening low near Bass Strait. This low should slowly move away to the east during the weekend, as the next high extends into New South Wales.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots shifting westerly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or early evening. Winds reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the evening.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore by early evening.
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore late this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 7 September
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Westerly 25 to 30 knots increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the morning then tending southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the late evening.
2 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres offshore around midday.
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Sunday 8 September
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the evening.
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.