Scrappy but surfable morning

Posted by: on October 7th, 2019

Hello Friends,

Hazy atmosphere and sideshore 10-15 kts from the SSW as of 0800. Waves at Dee Why look to be in the waist high range with the odd bigger face in the mix. The MHL Sydney buoy hasn’t reported in since yesterday afternoon, but looking at Port Kembla and Crowdy Head data, I’d say that out at sea it’s around the 1.5 metre mark at 6-7 seconds apart from the east to NE. Tide is currently dropping to the low at 1000. Water quality has come back into the normal range and Beachwatch says the temp has bumped up to 19C.
Outlook seems to have improved a little in this morning’s models. Both the ECM and Wavewatch are showing a south influx in the 2-3 m 8-9 second range for Weds-Thrs. Wind is the wildcard in the pack, with GFS seeing southerly on Weds but changing SW for Thursday, but ECM predicting SW through the period. Thereafter the outlook is for onshore conditions to see out the work week.
Have yourself a top old Monday!

Picking up a little bump at Kiddies 0800

Not too interesting up the beach toward No Mans

Not great quality, but definitely catchable at the point 0800

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving across the central parts of the coast this morning, bringing a southerly change in the wake, before stalling about the Mid North Coast this afternoon. During Tuesday a low is expected to develop over the southern Tasman Sea, driving a stronger southerly change along the entire New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 8 October
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning, turning westerly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 9 October
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots turning south to southwesterly during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

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