Archive for November 2019

Onshore from early but waves for the keen

Posted on November 16th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Last night’s south change leaves us with a small, messy south swell and 9-13 kts of SSE wind along the beaches. At optimal exposures such as Dee Why, conditions are junky but definitely surfable. Set wave faces looked to be in the waist to shoulder high range. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.8 metres at 11 seconds from 162°.
Wind is set to come around to the NE later today, but not to weaken. On the other hand, the Bureau says the waves should pick up a little more during the day.
Tide is a swampy 1.78 m high at 1125. It’ll be back to low a little after 1800. We should see a high around 24C today and Beachwatch’s latest says water’s still 19C and quality is good.
Surf outlook is pretty typical for this time of year, ie mostly around the waist high mark at surfable spots, but blown out by mid morning. Tomorrow morning might see a little bump in the north corners, but the rest of the week is looking fairly ho-hum.
Get out there if you can and have yourself a top old Saturday!

Nothing much happening at Long Reef

Fun ones in the sideshores at Dee Why

Dee Why showing possibilities at 0630

South Narrabeen 0625

Nothing of interest along the Narabeen stretch at 0625


 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight will slowly move east over the coming days while extending a ridge across parts of New South Wales. At the same time, a number of troughs will move through parts of the coast: one bringing a southerly change to the north coast today, another bringing a resurgence of south to southeasterly winds to the coast on Sunday, and yet another ushering a southerly change to the southern and central coast on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning east to northeasterly in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 17 November
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Monday 18 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy


Friday wave activity

Posted on November 15th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A beautiful morning along the beaches as Friday got started. But it looks like a fair amount of smoke up north. There seemed to be a layer of smoke over the southern bits of the Central Coast when I looked toward Lion Is;land. But Dee Why, as the pictures show, was delightfully sunny and, better than that, we have some swell too. The crew at the point was seeing somewhat fat waves with faces into the chest high range on the bigger ones. Along the beach there were others looking for a little something, but I didn’t see anyone catch one.
The MHL buoy was showing 1.7 m of 10 second energy from 160° at daybreak. Wind was coming lightly from the SW. Tide is coming into a swampy 1.79 m high at 1040, it’ll be back to low at 1720. Beachwatch says the water’s fine and sitting on 19C. Should get to a hot 32C along the beaches today and wind will come around to the NE by lunch time.

As ever, the Goat spilled his surf guts last night, so check out the wise one’s predictions here.
Go well everybody!

Lines up the beach at 0700

Another set at the point

Plausible little lines up the beach

Waves getting caught at 0700

 

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Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure is extending across New South Wales. A cold front is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern coastal waters this morning, moving across the remainder of the coast during later Friday and into Saturday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day. A south to southwesterly change at 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Sunny. Smoke haze, easing during the morning.
Saturday 16 November
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 17 November
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 November 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Waves popped up this morning at places open to dead South swell, but it was short lived and has eased back now. To be precise the swell height didn’t actually pop up, but the period did, so more energy was able to get in to receptive beaches.

The outlook, with variable winds and weather forecast, is not looking too exciting.

Let’s keep it rooly simple… cause that’s what I am>>>

Any waves are likely to get in to places open to dead South… other places aren’t likely to see anything much…

Friday – next Thursday: If it’s 1 metre ish or so dead South, be happy.

If it’s not, still be happy.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 14 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 14 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Smoke haze developing from the north into the evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 15 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 32
Early smoke then mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then turning south to southwesterly in the evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 15 November 2019

Fire Danger – Severe

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Sydney 17 32
Early smoke then sunny. Penrith 14 35
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Liverpool 13 34
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 14 30
Early smoke then sunny. Richmond 13 34
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Parramatta 13 33
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 11 33
Early smoke. Becoming windy. Bondi 17 26

Saturday 16 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the evening. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then shifting easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 17 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning, most likely along the coast. Light winds becoming southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Monday 18 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 19 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h later in the day.

Wednesday 20 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 21 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.


Micro and sunny morning at Dee Why

Posted on November 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
A beautiful morning to start Thursday. Wind was lightly offshore and skies were cloudless, but alas, as the pictures show, Huey doesn’t have anything for us to play with at Dee Why. Swell out at sea is 1.2 metres at 10 seconds, but it’s straight south and therefore missing the joint. Water is on 19C and the next tide is a high at 1000.

The Goat will be along later with his usual look at the surf prospects for the weekend and beyond. A quick scan of the prospects does not leave me overly hopeful however. Maybe he’ll see something encouraging for the coming week…

Have a top old Thursday everyone and go well!

Pretty morning, but no surf

Hopefuls in the water at DY around 0650


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Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure is extending across New South Wales. A cold front is forecast to bring a southerly change to coastal waters during Friday and Saturday as it moves along the entire New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day then tending north to northeasterly in the evening. Winds inshore possibly reaching up to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 15 November
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending east to northeasterly in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre in the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 16 November
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy


Clear skies and beautiful again

Posted on November 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
An extraordinary transformation overnight from thick, scary smoky skies at sundown yesterday to a sparkling morning along the beaches today. There are even a few little waves and 9-10 kts of WSW wind was making Dee Why look pretty clean. Out at sea the 2.2 metre swell is coming from 164° at 9 seconds apart. That means knee to waist high up the beach, but nothing really at the point. Tide is coming in to a swampy 1.7 metre high at 0925. By the time it’s back to low at 1550, the wind will be around to the NE. It looks from the models as though the surf conditions will be gradually fading out to near flatness tomorrow. We should see a high of 23C and water is sitting on 19C.
Have a good one and here’s hoping the fires along the east coast are tamed quickly.

0700 clean and tiny at Dee Why

Little wave gets caught up toward No Mans at 0700

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure will extend across central New South Wales today, while a cold front is forecast to skim across the state’s south overnight. Another, weaker front should move along the entire New South Wales coast during Friday and Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore during the morning, tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon then northwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 14 November
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to northeasterly in the middle of the day then north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 15 November
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then becoming west to northwesterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Take care everyone

Posted on November 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Putting this first, surf report stuff below:

Dangerous fire conditions forecast for Tuesday 12 November

Summary

Catastrophic fire danger is now forecast for the Greater Sydney, Greater Hunter and Illawarra Shoalhaven areas on Tuesday 12 November 2019, due to worsening weather conditions.

Catastrophic fire danger – Sydney, Hunter and Illawarra/Shoalhaven areas

Catastrophic is the highest level of bush fire danger. Homes are not designed to withstand a fire under these conditions.

If a fire starts and takes hold during Catastrophic fire danger conditions, lives and homes will be at risk.

Advice for people in areas of Catastrophic fire danger include:

  • Avoid bush fire prone areas. A safer area may be a large town or city, shopping centres or facilities well away from bushland areas.
  • Schools in identified high risk areas will be closed. Schools will notify affected students. Start making arrangements now.
  • If you are unable to leave, identify a safe location which may be nearby. This may include a Neighbourhood Safer Place.

Large areas of the state are also forecast to experience Severe and Extreme fire danger.

LINK to above 

RFS Fires Near Me real-time fire map for NSW

Smoky and tiny at Dee Why before 0800

Tiny lines showing toward No Mans at 0730

As you can see from the pictures, it’s pretty smoky and there’s nothing much going on at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning. Swell out at sea is coming from the south with heights at sea in the 1.6 m range at about 6 seconds. Water is 19C. Wind as of 0800 was 10-15 kts from the NNW.

Tomorrow should see southerly to SW wind and an uptick into (hopefully) the surfable range at south magnets.

Stay safe everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea, while a cold front approaches New South Wales from the west. This front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central waters today, reaching the northern border by early Wednesday. On Wednesday, a high pressure ridge is forecast to develop in the wake of the front and should remain dominant until another, weaker, cold front arrives later Friday or Saturday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, tending north to northwesterly during the day ahead of a gusty southerly change 25 to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3.5 metres in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 13 November
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots early in the morning, shifting east to northeasterly around 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 14 November
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting northeasterly during the afternoon then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.


Fire

Posted on November 11th, 2019 in Big Picture.

Dee Why Monday evening 630 pm

Looking toward Elanora Monday evening 630pm

Tuesday’s forecast is horrific. As I write this on Monday evening the blue skies of this morning are gone, replaced by a smoky beige. And the wind is gusting into the 30 kt range.

Here’s the latest from the Bureau:

Fire Weather Warning

for the Far North Coast, North Coast, Greater Hunter, Greater Sydney Region, Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Far South Coast, Monaro Alpine, Southern Ranges, Central Ranges, New England, Northern Slopes, North Western, Upper Central West Plains, Lower Central West Plains, Southern Slopes and Southern Riverina fire areas

Issued at 3:45 pm EDT on Monday 11 November 2019.

Weather Situation
Hot, dry and gusty winds will generate very dangerous fire conditions across large parts of the state on Tuesday.

For the rest of Monday 11 November:
Very High Fire Danger in the following fire area:
Southern Riverina
For Tuesday 12 November:
Catastrophic Fire Danger is forecast for the following fire areas:
Greater Hunter, Greater Sydney Region and Illawarra/Shoalhaven
Extreme Fire Danger is forecast for the following fire areas:
North Coast, Southern Ranges, Central Ranges, New England, Northern Slopes and North Western
Severe Fire Danger is forecast for the following fire areas:
Far North Coast, Far South Coast and Monaro Alpine
Very High Fire Danger is forecast for the following fire areas:
Upper Central West Plains, Lower Central West Plains and Southern Slopes
The NSW Rural Fire Service advises you to:

Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.rfs.nsw.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
The Rural Fire Service advises that if you are in an area of Severe Fire Danger:

If you plan to leave finalise your options and leave early on the day
Only stay if your home is well prepared and you can actively defend it
Prepare for the emotional, mental and physical impact of defending your property – if in doubt, leave.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.rfs.nsw.gov.au.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Tuesday.

These fires are a direct consequence of the climate emergency. We no longer live in the world us older people grew up in. From now on we will face catastrophic conditions like Tuesday at an ever-increasing frequency. This is a matter of physics. This is not a thing that might happen. It is something that will happen – for the rest of our lives. And for centuries to come if humans don’t stop adding CO2, methane and other heat-trapping gases to the atmosphere.

With the terrible threat facing us, it is exactly the time to name the climate emergency for what it is.

If you haven’t seen it already, please go read this article in today’s SMH by Greg Mullins, former Fire and Rescue NSW commissioner

 

RFS Fires Near Me page

RFS major fire updates

School closures


Fat, full but waves to be had

Posted on November 11th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Definitely some swell around this morning, but high tide was 1.6m, so conditions at Dee Why and Curly were both strongly affected. Wind swung around to the NE by 0900 too, so the offshore conditions in the two Dee Why snaps have now been replaced with beat-up looking onshore slop. Should still be an option or two in the north corners through the day. Next tide’s a low at 1435.
Stay safe and keep an eye on the weather warnings as a strong cold front is due tomorrow with hot winds ahead of it.

Best moment of this brief wave at high tide Curly

Pulling an air at Curly this morning

High tide fatness at Curly

Locals jumping all over it at Curly

Mal with rocks at the point

Set trying not to be fat at Dee Why


TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS
Weather Situation: A strong cold front will move through New South Wales and the ACT on Tuesday, with vigorous northwesterly winds expected ahead of the front over the southern ranges and Illawarra. The front will also bring a gusty southerly buster to the coastal fringe of the Illawarra, Sydney and Hunter districts in the late afternoon and evening.
For Tuesday: DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h, are possible over the Snowy Mountains district, Illawarra districts, eastern parts of the Southern Tablelands district, parts of the South Coast district and southern parts of the ACT. For Alpine areas above 1900 metres DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 80 to 90 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 110 km/h, are expected.
For Tuesday evening: DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h, are possible along the coastal fringe of the Sydney Metropolitan and Hunter districts (including the coastal fringe of the Central Coast).
Winds are expected to ease by Wednesday.
Locations which may be affected include Sydney, Wollongong, The Entrance, Nowra, Bowral, Braidwood, Goulburn, Cooma, Thredbo and Bombala.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Monday.
Weather Situation
Winds will gradually shift north to northeasterly as a high pressure system moves from southeast Australia over the Tasman Sea, and a cold front approaches from the west. This front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central waters on Tuesday, and to northern waters early Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 12 November
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then shifting southerly 25 to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
North to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 13 November
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then turning west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 0.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Hey, where’d the waves go?

Posted on November 10th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
1.4 metres at 9 seconds from 175° means no waves at Dee Why as of 0830 this morning. However, the Bureau says that the southerly swell should come up into the 2-3 metre range from the south. FWIW, there’s no sign of it on the buoys off to the south of us, so I guess we’ll see. There’s also a strong wind warning for W-WSW ahead of a SE change after lunch. As of 0830 it was west 11-17 kts at North Head. Tide was high at 0745 and will be back to low a little before 1400. Ocean temp’s on 19C according to Beachwatch, and today’s high should be 25 along the coast.
Outlook is for today’s south bump to fade out tomorrow and then for another similar size pulse to turn up mid-week, but at this stage the models aren’t showing anything really interesting. Another week of scratching around for ankle to knee through to maybe waist to chest at standouts tomorrow am and again Wednesday.
Have a good one!

Very quiet at Dee Why on a beautiful, sunny Sunday morning about 0820

Searcher moves on at No Mans

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Weather Situation
Winds will remain predominantly south to southwesterly for the remainder of the weekend, then weaken before turning northerly and strengthen again early next week as a high pressure system over the Bight crosses New South Wales and moves into the Tasman Sea. Then the next cold front looks set to cross the New South Wales coastal waters between Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing a strong southerly wind change.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 11 November
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 12 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


South swell lighting up the magnet spots

Posted on November 9th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

South swell popped up overnight and the best exposures are seeing wave faces into the head plus range on the bigger sets. It’s pretty straight though. According to the latest data from the MHL buoy, the energy is coming from 160-162° with heights at sea averaging 2.4 metres and typical periods of 10 seconds. Wind was 10-12 kts by 0700 and a tide peaking at 0710 have combined to produce a textured surface and somewhat full looking faces. Wind should go SW soon and then swing SE this afternoon. So, the plan is to get in sooner rather than later. Ocean’s about 19C and weather should be sunny and a mild 21C.

Outlook as the Goat observes in his update forecast, is for the swell energy to stick around and even pick up a little tomorrow before fading again by Tuesday morning.

Get out there and have some fun !

 

 

No Man’s standing one up at 0640

Set stacks into Long Reef at 0635

South swell showing at Long Reef

No Mans looking a bit fat on the high tide

Just south of the Lugga at 0630

The crew on it at Northy

No takers for the little ones at south Narrabeen

Weather Situation
Winds will remain predominantly south to southwesterly during the weekend in the wake of the southerly change this morning, then weaken before turning northerly and strengthens again early next week as a high pressure system over the Bight crosses New South Wales and moves into the Tasman Sea. Then the next cold front looks set to cross the New South Wales coastal waters between Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing the next southerly wind change.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon then tending westerly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Sunday 10 November
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots, tending southerly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres around midday.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 11 November
Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.