The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Sick of the bushfire smoke here… imagine what it’s like for people up the coast.
Scientific analysis of How Bushfires start in Oz … “The majority of bushfires are started either intentionally or unintentionally by people.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2019-11-20/bushfire-ignition-source-how-we-know/11701132
Being aware of the causes can help reduce the risk of fire in hot dry weather conditions.
In between staying inside out of the smoke to stay healthy, and looking at the surf, there hasn’t been much surf to miss out on.
With more flip flopping wind changes and smoke haze forecast by the Bureau, don’t expect much joy in the days ahead. At least the water’s getting to a more comfortable temperature for a cool down swim.
Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East
Saturday: 1 metre or so North East, to be chopped around by Southerly and E/SE onshore wind
Sunday: around 1ish metres East North East then South East, and ditto re wind from S/SE
Monday: around 1 metre Eastish
Tuesday: 1 or 1+ metres North East
And, beyond that I can’t see through the pesky smoke haze at the moment…
Leave you with a couple of thoughts:
“The best surfer out there is the one having the most fun” Phil Edwards.
“Stay cool. Have fun!” TG
Up in the Air
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc
Down in the Sea
Water temp is improving… currently around 20
Tides
https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Smoke. Windy.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Thursday, 21st November, 2019.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]
Friday 22 November
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 26
- Morning smoke and haze.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Areas of haze and smoke haze in the morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM10 and PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 22nd November, 2019.
Fire Danger – High
Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]
7 day Town Forecasts
| Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Sydney | 20 | 26 |
|
Penrith | 19 | 33 |
|
Liverpool | 18 | 29 |
|
Terrey Hills | 19 | 24 |
|
Richmond | 19 | 32 |
|
Parramatta | 18 | 27 |
|
Campbelltown | 16 | 30 |
|
Bondi | 20 | 23 |
Saturday 23 November
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 25
- Possible late shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the west in the morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly in the late morning then becoming light in the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 3:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]
Sunday 24 November
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 24
- Cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]
Monday 25 November
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 28
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending northerly during the evening.
Tuesday 26 November
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 34
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 10 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southwesterly during the day.
Wednesday 27 November
- Summary
- Min 16
- Max 23
- Partly cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly during the morning.
Thursday 28 November
- Summary
- Min 17
- Max 27
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
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