Archive for December 2019

Grey, southerly and tiny for Sunday morning

Posted on December 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
By 0800 when I took the pictures, the southerly was belting along 15-20 kts under gloomy but at least not smoky skies. As of 0500 the MHL buoy was bouncing around in 7 second 2.6 m SSE swell. But as you can see, there wasn’t much of a line evident at the point (and no takers). There were a few super keen types in the water just north of Kiddies but they didn’t catch anything while I watched. My guess is that they’d be seeing the odd set into the waist high range. Tide is dropping to the low at 1215.
Weather is supposed to be cloudy all day with a high of 23C and a 10% chance of a light sprinkle.
There’s some divergence between the ECM and Wavewatch models about our prospects for a wave during the Christmas week. Wavewatch predicts heights in the metre range – give or take a bit – with 12-13 second periods tomorrow and Tuesday. The ECM model predicts 1.2-1.4 metre heights but periods only in the 6-7 second range. As always, we’ll see what happens…
Have a good Sunday and hope the cooler weather helps the RFS get on top of the fires this week.

 

Raven surfing the southerly over tiny junky Dee Why at 0800

The dedicated few determined to get a Sunday morning wave

 
Weather Situation
A trough associated with a cold front over the southern Tasman Sea brought a gusty southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast yesterday. This southerly change will weaken as it moves northward along the north coast today. At the same time, a high pressure system south of the Bight will track east across Bass Straight, reaching the western Tasman Sea by the end of today. From Monday afternoon this high will ensure the dominance of northeasterly winds over most coastal zones for the remainder of the weak, apart from the possibility of two brief weak southerly changes over southern waters on Christmas Eve and Boxing Day.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the day. Winds turning southeasterly in the late afternoon and early evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 23 December
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy.
Tuesday 24 December
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Weak, tiny, smoky, breezy but not flat

Posted on December 21st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Grey, hazy and a strong smell of burnt bush this morning along the beaches. As the pictures show, there were some weak knee to waist high waves at magnet exposures such as Long Reef and North Narrabeen. Ocean was lightly textured by the rising NNE wind. Out at sea as of 0400, the MHL buoy was detecting 1.2 metres of 7-second wind bump from the SE. Tide was high at 0500 and will bottom out at 1100. Ocean temperature is sitting on 21C according to Beachwatch.

Outlook is for a strong south change to roar up the coast late this afternoon. In its wake we’ll have much cooler and more temperate conditions with the prospect of trace amounts of precipitation right through to the end of the Christmas week.

The Goat rolled out his annual Christmas message and thoughts for the surf week ahead last night, so, as always, I commend his unimpeachable wisdom to you.

Like everyone else, I’m grateful for the volunteers who are today facing catastrophic conditions to protect us. It’ll be 36 along the coast but into the upper 40’s inland (Penrith is facing 47). And summer is just getting started…

 

Lugga left at 0630

Long Reef bomb set

Slim prospects at Dee Why

Collaroy hopelessly unsurfable

Through the smoke haze, a rider at North Narrabeen 0620

Forecast for the rest of Saturday

Summary
Max 36
Hot. Smoky. Late cool gusty change.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Very hot and partly cloudy. Areas of thick smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west late this afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending westerly int he early afternoon before shifting southerly 35 to 50 km/h in the late afternoon, possibly reaching 55 to 60km/h near the coast. Wind decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle and ozone levels in Sydney for Saturday 21 December 2019

Fire Danger – Catastrophic

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 3:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will continue to move east. A low pressure trough and associated cold front will bring a southerly change to the southern and central coast today, reaching the northern coast on Sunday. Following this, another high pressure system will move over the southern Tasman Sea at the beginning of the new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon, reaching up to 35knots inshore in the early evening. Winds decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze.
Sunday 22 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 23 December
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast and Message

Posted on December 20th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast and Message

Surf forecast issued Friday 20 December 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hey hey only five more sleeps to Christmas Day.

Which is one reason the forecast is a day late… Santa needs his little/ big helpers.. The other is, I’ve been having Fun!!

First then the surf outlook…

Some more chopping and changing winds ahead, to 1 make the surf choppy and changeable, and slow down the momentum of much swell building, and b just be helpful enough to blow the same smoke and a bit more back and forth…although hopefully there could be some periods in the coming week when there are exceptions to both.  So we’ve got good news and bad news.  Are you with me so far??

Then TG’s advice is to focus on the good news.

Good news is there should be some waves from time to time, the air should be clear from time to time and the Bureau says we might even get a few drops of rain if we’re lucky,

Saturday: around 1 ish metres South East, then coming up at dead South spotz (new word for 2020), with a Southerly change much later

Sunday: somewhere around 2, 2+ metres at those dead South spotz, only, then down somewhat later

Monday:around 1-1+ metres South East

Tuesday: around 1ish metres, sort of Eastish

Wednesday (Chrissy Day): dittoish sort of, maybe a little bigger for you to try out all the new toys

Thursday (Boxing Day): coming up at dead South spotz (what? you’re sick of TG’s Experimental English already.. too bad) say 2 – 2+ metres South… with onshorew ind currently forecast might be a good day for you to kick back and watch the start of the Sydney Hobart on TV… unless you’re in it

Friday: similar.

Now you know how Santa Know’s who’s been naughty and nice… well this summer there have been more than a few people who’ve been beyond naughty to outright criminal. Yesterday, a total fire ban day I saw a dill driving and flicking his ash out his car window.. I couldn’t get close enough to give him some advice in my native Australian English tongue, but hopefully someone else reported him.

TG’s Nice Award goes to the four local teenage kids who asked me (in my surf patrol uniform) could they hand in to me , a mobile phone they found in the carpark with the guy’s drivers licence and credit cards in it. (he was happily reunited with it later)  I hope they get everything they want for Christmas!

Have fun..Stay safe… Have a very Happy Christmas!!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Fri Dec 20 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Dec 20 08:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.066,150.816,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21.

Watch out for brown jelly blubbers.. I got stung by one today.

 

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of smoke haze. Winds easterly 20 to 25 km/h turning northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle levels in Sydney for Friday 20 December 2019

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 21 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 36
Hot. Smoky. Afternoon gusty change.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Areas of thick smoke haze. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending westerly before shifting to a gusty southerly 35 to 55 km/h in the afternoon, reaching up to 60 km/h about the coast. Winds then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle and ozone levels in Sydney for Saturday 21 December 2019

Fire Danger – Catastrophic

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 3:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Hot. Smoky. Afternoon gusty change. Sydney 21 36
Very hot. Smoky. Afternoon change. Penrith 18 47
Very hot. Smoky. Afternoon change. Liverpool 18 44
Hot. Smoky. Afternoon gusty change. Terrey Hills 19 37
Very hot. Smoky. Afternoon change. Richmond 18 47
Hot. Smoky. Afternoon cool change. Parramatta 18 42
Very hot. Smoky. Afternoon change. Campbelltown 17 44
Hot. Smoky. Afternoon gusty change. Bondi 21 32

Sunday 22 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze, mainly in the west. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 3:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 23 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the morning and afternoon, mainly in the west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Tuesday 24 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Wednesday 25 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 26 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Friday 27 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


Back to micro for Friday morning

Posted on December 20th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Smoke haze wasn’t too bad early but the surf situation’s another thing… a near flat thing in fact. The south wind was around 10 kts, so, at the picture shows, the surface was textured. At 0400 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.3 metres from the SSE, but the period was just 6 seconds. Not that it’s terribly relevant given the lack of surf, but the first tide of the daylight hours will be a low at 0950.

Thankfully we’re getting a break from the heat today with a high of 26C on the cards. It’ll be back again tomorrow but from Sunday it’s set to go back to a more typical mid-20s for much of next week. There’s even a prospect of the odd little sprinkle too.

A quick glance at the models suggests tiny for a couple of days yet, but some possible increase in wave energy later in the week.

Go well with your Friday!

 

0645 and looking near flat at Dee Why

Weather Situation

The low pressure trough that brought a southerly change to New South Wales waters yesterday is slowly decaying along the northern coast, as the high pressure system over the Tasman Sea reasserts its dominance and turns winds northeasterly along the New South Wales coast through today. Another low pressure trough and cold front will bring a second southerly change to the southern and central coast during Saturday, with the change reaching the northern coast on Sunday. Following this, another high pressure system will move over the southern Tasman Sea at the start of next week.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 21 December

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 22 December

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy.

Smoke and hottest day of the year

Posted on December 19th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says we’re going to see 41C in Sydney ahead of an afternoon south change. As the pictures show, the atmosphere was dense with smoke haze and unsurprisingly, the Bureau is carrying a POOR air quality alert from the DPIE.  Speaking of which, so far as I can tell, there are no air quality monitoring sites for the Northern Beaches, so we have to guess at what our levels are by looking at the air. I’ve written to Brad Hazzard and Jason Falinski to ask what’s going on. BH’s office has acknowledged the note and have promised to follow up. Jason’s people have been quiet so far. If you have the inclination, I’d suggest raising the issue with them yourself.
Surfwise there are little waves thanks to a 1.3 metre 9-second south swell. If you don’t mind breathing in the equivalent of a packet of gaspers, there are some soft knee to waist high bumps coming in. Tide was low at 0835 and will be back to high at 1450. Beachwatch reports water temps of 20C.
Stay cool, look in on any vulnerable folk you may know and go well.

Soft but surfable bumps at the point

A little activity on the beach before 0700

0645 and the smoke is back. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle and ozone levels in Sydney for Thursday 19 December 2019


Smooth small swell

Posted on December 18th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Knee to waist high along the Dee Why stretch this morning with clean, smooth surface conditions, light wind at 0730, sunny skies and a faint breeze from the north that should go NE by late morning. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 metres from the SSE at 10 seconds apart. Tide was high at 0730 when I grabbed the snaps, but waves didn’t look too fat. It’s a low key set of variables, but you should be able to jag the odd little bump at lots of beaches with decent south exposure. Going to a high along the coast of 27 and we can expect smoke haze – which means we have a particulate/ozone warning.

Enjoy the little waves this morning if you can. Tomorrow we’re expected to have a very hot day and only short period, sub-1 metre bump. It looks like the tiny, short period stuff will run into next week unfortunately.

Get up to some good!

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle and ozone levels in Sydney for Wednesday.

 

Line at No Mans

Little lines on low tide 0730

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing southeast to northeasterly winds onto the New South Wales coast today. A trough will bring a southerly change to southern and central waters on Thursday, before decaying on the northern coast during Friday. Winds in most areas are expected to tend northeasterly again later Friday, ahead of a second southerly change on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day, and reaching 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 19 December

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 20 December

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Smooth little waves on offer this morning

Posted on December 17th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A light SW breeze under sunny and only slightly hazy skies as Tuesday got started. And there were little knee to waist high waves at Dee Why point. You should be able to find a bit bigger stuff around at Curly or other places better tuned to the current swell direction. The MHL Sydney buoy report from 0500 wasn’t showing anything obvious to account for the little bumps as it was seeing only 1.4 metres of 7 second bump from 170° (close to dead south). Curiously, the nearest buoy to the north of us at Crowdy head was showing 2 metres of 9-second stuff from 164°. But off to the south of us at Port Kembla the swell was a touch smaller and closer together than in Sydney. Interesting inversion of the usual pattern (ie bigger as you go south on a south swell that, according to the BoM should be coming up during the day).
Tide was low at 0625 and is currently running into the high at 1250. We should see a high of 25 along the coast and light E-NE wind by this afternoon. Water is clear and 20C according to Beachwatch.
Outlook is for not much change. We could have some small bumps again tomorrow morning and possibly on Thursday as well.
Go well with your Tuesday everyone!

A crew on it at the point for the first time in quite awhile

 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system is developing over the western Tasman Sea, and will bring a gradual shift from southerly to northerly winds along the New South Wales coast during the next day or two. A trough and southerly change are expected to briefly affect southern and central waters during Thursday as a cold front passes to the south, with another change likely on the weekend.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly below 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 18 December
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Thursday 19 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. A south to southeasterly change at 20 to 25 knots moving through during the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Blustery southerly, smoke haze and no waves

Posted on December 16th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

No waves at Dee Why this morning.

Windblown, grey and tiny at 0730

Wind was straight south 15-25 kts as of 0730. Skies were partly cloudy with the odd sunny break and smoke haze reducing visibility to around 10 km. As the picture shows, it may have been 2 metres from the SSE out at sea, but the 6 second period ensured that nothing was coming into Dee Why.

A quick scan of the forecast models reveals that our near term outlook is pretty much what it’s been for the last week – ie, really small and weak mainly south wind bump.

Go well with your Monday and here’s hoping for a more interesting surf outlook soon…

Weather Situation
A southerly change associated with a trough of low pressure is moving across the central and northern parts of the coast, reaching the Queensland border by this afternoon. Winds will gradually become east to northeasterly during Tuesday and Wednesday as a high pressure system following the trough moves into the Tasman Sea by mid-week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning, tending southeasterly 10 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 17 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to below 10 knots in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending south to southeasterly around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Wednesday 18 December
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Not Dee Why, but maybe Longy or Curly

Posted on December 15th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

24C before 0900 and 70% humidity under high overcast skies this morning. Wind wasn’t a factor and out at sea the MHL buoy was registering a metre at 8 seconds from 172° (ie close to dead south). As the pictures indicate, there was next to no wave activity at the Dee Why end of the beach. But, you might find something in the knee to thigh high range up toward the lagoon entrance, or over the hill at mid to north Curly.  Tide is coming into a 1.89 m high at 1111 and our temp should top out at 28 along the coast with possible smoke haze. Wind should wander around through the east before settling to the NE and coming up to a standard summer issue 15-20 kts. Swell looks like luffing along at the current low level intensity through the day.
We’re set to switch into southerly mode tomorrow but, while swell heights out at sea will likely come up into the 1.5-2 metre range as a mix of south and east arrive, the models show periods in the gutless chop zone of 6-7 seconds. So, I’m not holding out much hope for reasonable conditions. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models predict weak (short period) and tiny surf through to the end of the work week. Hope they turn out to be low-balling the reality!
Have a great Sunday everyone.

 

Some manner of paddleboard race off No Mans


 

Super keen types hanging around between Kiddies and No Mans.


 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is weakening while another, stronger, high builds over southern Australia. These systems are promoting generally east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coastal waters. Later on Sunday a trough and associated southerly change will move into the far south, quickly tracking up the coast during the remainder of the day.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 16 December
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 17 December
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming southeasterly about 10 knots during the morning then east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Very small but not flat Saturday morning

Posted on December 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light wind, an incoming tide and weak, small, but catchable waves (with the right equipment) on offer this morning. As the pictures show, size is in the knee to thigh high range. It’s not super consistent, but given the 9 second period of the 1 metre south swell, you don’t have to wait too long for another little bump to roll in. Ocean is on 20C and as of 0700 the breeze is light from the NNE. It should settle into a standard summery NEr by this afternoon. Tide is highish 1.89m high at 1025 and back to low at 1705.
While they differ a bit on prevailing direction, both the ECM and Wavewatch models are telling us to expect more very small and short period little wind swell over the coming week. If I had to pick, I reckon the best shot for a wave will be on Tuesday morning.
Have yourself a good Saturday everyone!

Tiny waves at Northy 0620

Contest on near the lugga at 0630

Coppery sea at Long Reef

Dee Why peak at 0630

Ripping at the Lugga

Stroller at south Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving slowly off the northern New South Wales coast, while a high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge across southern Australia to the western Tasman Sea. Another trough looks set to affect the southern half of the coast later Saturday as a cold front passes to the south, before the next significant southerly change arrives early Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 15 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 16 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.